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There has been significant research done on developing methods for improving robustness to distributional shift and uncertainty estimation. In contrast, only limited work has examined developing standard datasets and benchmarks for…

The performance of machine learning models under distribution shift has been the focus of the community in recent years. Most of current methods have been proposed to improve the robustness to distribution shift from the algorithmic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Ziquan Liu , Yi Xu , Yuanhong Xu , Qi Qian , Hao Li , Rong Jin , Xiangyang Ji , Antoni B. Chan

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free uncertainty quantification method that has gained popularity in the machine learning community due to its finite-sample guarantees and ease of use. Its most common variant, dubbed split conformal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Christos Louizos

Concept drift, i.e., the change of the data generating distribution, can render machine learning models inaccurate. Several works address the phenomenon of concept drift in the streaming context usually assuming that consecutive data points…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Barbara Hammer

When testing conditions differ from those represented in training data, so-called out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs can mar the reliability of learned components in the modern robot autonomy stack. Therefore, coping with OOD data is an…

Explicit finite-sample statistical guarantees on model performance are an important ingredient in responsible machine learning. Previous work has focused mainly on bounding either the expected loss of a predictor or the probability that an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Zhun Deng , Thomas P. Zollo , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Robotic systems often use predictive uncertainty to decide whether to act autonomously or defer to a fallback policy. In threshold-gated autonomy, uncertainty matters mainly through its ability to rank likely errors. Standard metrics such…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Johannes A. Gaus , Jhon P. F. Charaja , Daniel Haeufle

We consider industrial federated learning, a collaboration between a small number of powerful, potentially competing industrial players, mediated by a third party aspiring to improve the service it provides to its customers. We argue that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 David Brunner , Alessio Montuoro

This paper elucidates the importance of governing an artificial intelligence model post-deployment and overseeing potential fluctuations in the distribution of present data in contrast to the training data. The concepts of data drift and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Carlos Mario Braga Ortuño , Blanca Martinez Donoso , Belén Muñiz Villanueva

To meet order fulfillment targets, manufacturers seek to optimize production schedules. Machine learning can support this objective by predicting throughput times on production lines given order specifications. However, this is challenging…

Machine learning models are often brittle under distribution shift, i.e., when data distributions at test time differ from those during training. Understanding this failure mode is central to identifying and mitigating safety risks of mass…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-04 Alex Nguyen , David J. Schwab , Vudtiwat Ngampruetikorn

The application of machine learning in safety-critical systems requires a reliable assessment of uncertainty. However, deep neural networks are known to produce highly overconfident predictions on out-of-distribution (OOD) data. Even if…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Alexander Meinke , Julian Bitterwolf , Matthias Hein

Machine learning systems deployed in the real world must operate under dynamic and often unpredictable distribution shifts. This challenges the validity of statistical safety assurances on the system's risk established beforehand. Common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Alexander Timans , Rajeev Verma , Eric Nalisnick , Christian A. Naesseth

While the traditional viewpoint in machine learning and statistics assumes training and testing samples come from the same population, practice belies this fiction. One strategy -- coming from robust statistics and optimization -- is thus…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-08 Maxime Cauchois , Suyash Gupta , Alnur Ali , John C. Duchi

In decision-dependent games, multiple players optimize their decisions under a data distribution that shifts with their joint actions, creating complex dynamics in applications like market pricing. A practical consequence of these dynamics…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Guangzheng Zhong , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Most of today's distributed machine learning systems assume {\em reliable networks}: whenever two machines exchange information (e.g., gradients or models), the network should guarantee the delivery of the message. At the same time, recent…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Chen Yu , Hanlin Tang , Cedric Renggli , Simon Kassing , Ankit Singla , Dan Alistarh , Ce Zhang , Ji Liu

Distribution shifts on graphs -- the discrepancies in data distribution between training and employing a graph machine learning model -- are ubiquitous and often unavoidable in real-world scenarios. These shifts may severely deteriorate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Kexin Zhang , Shuhan Liu , Song Wang , Weili Shi , Chen Chen , Pan Li , Sheng Li , Jundong Li , Kaize Ding

Machine learning models only provide probabilistic guarantees on the expected loss of random samples from the distribution represented by their training data. As a result, a model with high accuracy, may or may not be reliable for…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Nima Shahbazi , Abolfazl Asudeh

An interesting phenomenon arises: Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) sometimes outperforms methods specifically designed for out-of-distribution tasks. This motivates an investigation into the reasons behind such behavior beyond algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Hong Zheng , Fei Teng