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Agent-based modeling (ABM) has emerged as a powerful tool in social policy-making and socio-economics, offering a flexible and dynamic approach to understanding and simulating complex systems. While traditional analytic methods may be less…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Shayan Firouzian Haji

Agent-based modeling (ABM) has long been used in economics to study human behavior, and large language model (LLM) agents now enable new forms of social and economic simulation. While prior work has discovered strategic deception by LLM…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Shijun Lei , Quang Nguyen , Swapneel S Mehta , Zeping Li , Huichuan Fu , Xiaolong Zheng , Siki Chen , Yunji Liang , Philip Torr , Zhenfei Yin

This paper introduces an agent-based artificial financial market in which heterogeneous agents trade one single asset through a realistic trading mechanism for price formation. Agents are initially endowed with a finite amount of cash and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Marco Raberto , Silvano Cincotti , Sergio M. Focardi , Michele Marchesi

The evaluation of the financial markets to predict their behaviour have been attempted using a number of approaches, to make smart and profitable investment decisions. Owing to the highly non-linear trends and inter-dependencies, it is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-02 Shaswat Mohanty , Anirudh Vijay , Nandagopan Gopakumar

We study how AI agents form expectations and trade in experimental asset markets. Using a simulated open-call auction populated by autonomous Large Language Model (LLM) agents, we document three main findings. First, AI agents exhibit…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-21 Shumiao Ouyang , Pengfei Sui

The believable simulation of multi-user behavior is crucial for understanding complex social systems. Recently, large language models (LLMs)-based AI agents have made significant progress, enabling them to achieve human-like intelligence…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Yijun Liu , Wu Liu , Xiaoyan Gu , Yong Rui , Xiaodong He , Yongdong Zhang

Artificial stock market simulation based on agent is an important means to study financial market. Based on the assumption that the investors are composed of a main fund, small trend and contrarian investors characterized by four…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-22 Yong Shi , Bo Li , Guangle Du

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate human decision-making, but their intrinsic biases often diverge from real human behavior--limiting their ability to reflect population-level diversity. We address this challenge…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Ayato Kitadai , Yusuke Fukasawa , Nariaki Nishino

Agent-based models (ABMs) are simulation models used in economics to overcome some of the limitations of traditional frameworks based on general equilibrium assumptions. However, agents within an ABM follow predetermined 'bounded rational'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Simone Brusatin , Tommaso Padoan , Andrea Coletta , Domenico Delli Gatti , Aldo Glielmo

Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as formidable instruments capable of comprehending and producing human-like text. This paper explores the potential of LLMs, to shape user perspectives and subsequently influence their decisions on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Ganesh Prasath Ramani , Shirish Karande , Santhosh V , Yash Bhatia

Multi-agent market simulators usually require careful calibration to emulate real markets, which includes the number and the type of agents. Poorly calibrated simulators can lead to misleading conclusions, potentially causing severe loss…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-19 Andrea Coletta , Aymeric Moulin , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

Autonomous agents based on Large Language Models (LLMs) that devise plans and tackle real-world challenges have gained prominence.However, tailoring these agents for specialized domains like quantitative investment remains a formidable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Saizhuo Wang , Hang Yuan , Lionel M. Ni , Jian Guo

Recent advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs) have exhibited notable efficacy in question-answering (QA) tasks across diverse domains. Their prowess in integrating extensive web knowledge has fueled interest in developing LLM-based…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-05 Yangyang Yu , Haohang Li , Zhi Chen , Yuechen Jiang , Yang Li , Denghui Zhang , Rong Liu , Jordan W. Suchow , Khaldoun Khashanah

Agent-based models, particularly those applied to financial markets, demonstrate the ability to produce realistic, simulated system dynamics, comparable to those observed in empirical investigations. Despite this, they remain fairly…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-24 Donovan Platt , Tim Gebbie

Investors and regulators can greatly benefit from a realistic market simulator that enables them to anticipate the consequences of their decisions in real markets. However, traditional rule-based market simulators often fall short in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-01 Zhiyuan Yao , Zheng Li , Matthew Thomas , Ionut Florescu

The paper proposes a computational adaptation of the principles underlying principal component analysis with agent based simulation in order to produce a novel modeling methodology for financial time series and financial markets. Goal of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Filippo Neri

We demonstrate a situation in which Large Language Models, trained to be helpful, harmless, and honest, can display misaligned behavior and strategically deceive their users about this behavior without being instructed to do so. Concretely,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Jérémy Scheurer , Mikita Balesni , Marius Hobbhahn

Companies across all economic sectors continue to deploy large language models at a rapid pace. Reinforcement learning is experiencing a resurgence of interest due to its association with the fine-tuning of language models from human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 David Byrd

The field of artificial intelligence (AI) agents is evolving rapidly, driven by the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) to autonomously perform and refine tasks with human-like efficiency and adaptability. In this context,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-18 Tianjiao Zhao , Jingrao Lyu , Stokes Jones , Harrison Garber , Stefano Pasquali , Dhagash Mehta

The purpose of this article is to propose a new "theory," the Strategic Analysis of Financial Markets (SAFM) theory, that explains the operation of financial markets using the analytical perspective of an enlightened gambler. The gambler…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-01-09 Steven D. Moffitt