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Quantifying changes in the probability and magnitude of extreme flooding events is key to mitigating their impacts. While hydrodynamic data are inherently spatially dependent, traditional spatial models such as Gaussian processes are poorly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-06 Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

The topic of deep learning has seen a surge of interest in recent years both within and outside of the field of Statistics. Deep models leverage both nonlinearity and interaction effects to provide superior predictions in many cases when…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan

Forecasting severe weather conditions is still a very challenging and computationally expensive task due to the enormous amount of data and the complexity of the underlying physics. Machine learning approaches and especially deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Christian Schön , Jens Dittrich

Measuring geometric similarity between high-dimensional network representations is a topic of longstanding interest to neuroscience and deep learning. Although many methods have been proposed, only a few works have rigorously analyzed their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-12 Dean A. Pospisil , Brett W. Larsen , Sarah E. Harvey , Alex H. Williams

Conditionally specified models are often used to describe complex multivariate data. Such models assume implicit structures on the extremes. So far, no methodology exists for calculating extremal characteristics of conditional models since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Stan Tendijck , Jonathan Tawn , Philip Jonathan

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

Climate models play a critical role in understanding and projecting climate change. Due to their complexity, their horizontal resolution of about 40-100 km remains too coarse to resolve processes such as clouds and convection, which need to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Birgit Kühbacher , Fernando Iglesias-Suarez , Niki Kilbertus , Veronika Eyring

With the recent development of new geometric and angular-radial frameworks for multivariate extremes, reliably simulating from angular variables in moderate-to-high dimensions is of increasing importance. Empirical approaches have the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-01 Jakob Benjamin Wessel , Callum J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , Emma S. Simpson

Both marginal and dependence features must be described when modelling the extremes of a stationary time series. There are standard approaches to marginal modelling, but long- and short-range dependence of extremes may both appear. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-17 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

Deep learning is the mainstream technique for many machine learning tasks, including image recognition, machine translation, speech recognition, and so on. It has outperformed conventional methods in various fields and achieved great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-01 Na Lei , Zhongxuan Luo , Shing-Tung Yau , David Xianfeng Gu

Emerging technologies and applications including Internet of Things (IoT), social networking, and crowd-sourcing generate large amounts of data at the network edge. Machine learning models are often built from the collected data, to enable…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Shiqiang Wang , Tiffany Tuor , Theodoros Salonidis , Kin K. Leung , Christian Makaya , Ting He , Kevin Chan

Extreme events are occurrences whose magnitude and potential cause extensive damage on people, infrastructure, and the environment. Motivated by the extreme nature of the current global health landscape, which is plagued by the coronavirus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Nhuong V. Nguyen , Sybille Legitime

Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki

We outline new approaches to incorporate ideas from deep learning into wave-based least-squares imaging. The aim, and main contribution of this work, is the combination of handcrafted constraints with deep convolutional neural networks, as…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-03 Felix J. Herrmann , Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti

The success of deep neural networks in image classification and learning can be partly attributed to the features they extract from images. It is often speculated about the properties of a low-dimensional manifold that models extract and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Roozbeh Yousefzadeh

We examine a Geometric Deep Learning model as a thermodynamic system treating the weights as non-quantum and non-relativistic particles. We employ the notion of temperature previously defined in [7] and study it in the various layers for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 M. Lapenna , F. Faglioni , F. Zanchetta , R. Fioresi

Geometric data analysis and learning has emerged as a distinct and rapidly developing research area, increasingly recognized for its effectiveness across diverse applications. At the heart of this field lies curvature, a powerful and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Yasharth Yadav , Kelin Xia

Projections of extreme sea levels (ESLs) are critical for managing coastal risks, but are made complicated by deep uncertainties. One key uncertainty is the choice of model structure used to estimate coastal hazards. Differences in model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-15 Tony E. Wong , Travis Torline , Mingxuan Zhang

Extreme value theory offers a statistical framework for quantifying the risk of rare events, with the generalized Pareto (GP) distribution providing the canonical limit model for univariate threshold exceedances. In many applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Mirco Lescart , Anna Kiriliouk , Philippe Naveau

Modelling multivariate extreme events is essential when extrapolating beyond the range of observed data. Parametric models that are suitable for real-world extremes must be flexible -- particularly in their ability to capture asymmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-05 Pavel Krupskii , Boris Béranger