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Bayesian optimization (BO) suffers from long computing times when processing highly-dimensional or large data sets. These long computing times are a result of the Gaussian process surrogate model having a polynomial time complexity with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Alexander E. Siemenn , Tonio Buonassisi

We propose a novel approach for sequential optimal experimental design (sOED) for Bayesian inverse problems involving expensive models with high-dimensional unknown parameters. This work focuses on designs that maximize the expected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Tiangang Cui , Karina Koval , Roland Herzog , Robert Scheichl

Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane

Boundary condition (BC) calibration to assimilate clinical measurements is an essential step in any subject-specific simulation of cardiovascular fluid dynamics. Bayesian calibration approaches have successfully quantified the uncertainties…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Jakob Richter , Jonas Nitzler , Luca Pegolotti , Karthik Menon , Jonas Biehler , Wolfgang A. Wall , Daniele E. Schiavazzi , Alison L. Marsden , Martin R. Pfaller

Statistical models can involve implicitly defined quantities, such as solutions to nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), that unavoidably need to be numerically approximated in order to evaluate the model. The approximation…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-16 Juho Timonen , Nikolas Siccha , Ben Bales , Harri Lähdesmäki , Aki Vehtari

We develop a general framework for piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) samplers that enables efficient Bayesian inference in non-linear inverse problems with expensive likelihoods. The key ingredient is a surrogate-assisted…

Accurate estimation of Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) is crucial for understanding climate change and its impacts on public health, as aerosols are a measure of air quality conditions. AOD is usually retrieved from satellite imagery at coarse…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 Fernando Rodriguez Avellaneda , Paula Moraga

In the paper, we present a strategy for accelerating posterior inference for unknown inputs in time fractional diffusion models. In many inference problems, the posterior may be concentrated in a small portion of the entire prior support.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-03 Lijian Jiang , Na Ou

Optical scatterometry is a method to measure the size and shape of periodic micro- or nanostructures on surfaces. For this purpose the geometry parameters of the structures are obtained by reproducing experimental measurement results…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Philipp-Immanuel Schneider , Martin Hammerschmidt , Lin Zschiedrich , Sven Burger

We present a Bayesian surrogate model for the analysis of periodic or quasi-periodic time series data. We describe a computationally efficient implementation that enables Bayesian model comparison. We apply this model to simulated and real…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-21 Eric B. Ford , Althea V. Moorhead , Dimitri Veras

Optimization plays an important role in chemical engineering, impacting cost-effectiveness, resource utilization, product quality, and process sustainability metrics. This chapter broadly focuses on data-driven optimization, particularly,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Mathias Neufang , Emma Pajak , Damien van de Berg , Ye Seol Lee , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio Chanona

We propose an efficient surrogate modeling technique for uncertainty quantification. The method is based on a well-known dimension-adaptive collocation scheme. We improve the scheme by enhancing sparse polynomial surrogates with conformal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-05-20 Niklas Georg , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ulrich Römer , Sebastian Schöps

We provide an introduction to POD-MOR with focus on (nonlinear) parametric PDEs and (nonlinear) time-dependent PDEs, and PDE constrained optimization with POD surrogate models as application. We cover the relation of POD and SVD, POD from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Carmen Gräßle , Michael Hinze , Stefan Volkwein

Automatically searching for optimal hyperparameter configurations is of crucial importance for applying deep learning algorithms in practice. Recently, Bayesian optimization has been proposed for optimizing hyperparameters of various…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Ilija Ilievski , Taimoor Akhtar , Jiashi Feng , Christine Annette Shoemaker

Selecting the optimal combination of a machine learning (ML) algorithm and its hyper-parameters is crucial for the development of high-performance ML systems. However, since the combination of ML algorithms and hyper-parameters is enormous,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Kazuki Ishikawa , Ryota Ozaki , Yohei Kanzaki , Ichiro Takeuchi , Masayuki Karasuyama

Cameras and LiDAR are essential sensors for autonomous vehicles. Camera-LiDAR data fusion compensate for deficiencies of stand-alone sensors but relies on precise extrinsic calibration. Many learning-based calibration methods predict…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Ni Ou , Zhuo Chen , Xinru Zhang , Junzheng Wang

Surrogate endpoints play an important role in drug development when they can be used to measure treatment effect early compared to the final clinical outcome and to predict clinical benefit or harm. Such endpoints are assessed for their…

This paper proposes an adaptive random experiment design (ARED) algorithm that can be applied to optimize the multiple factors and levels experiments. The algorithm takes real-time model error as the adaptive condition, and outputs a model…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-01 Zhou Qiao , Duan Xiaochang , Tang Wei

We introduce a surrogate-based black-box optimization method, termed Polynomial-model-based optimization (PMBO). The algorithm alternates polynomial approximation with Bayesian optimization steps, using Gaussian processes to model the error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Janina Schreiber , Pau Batlle , Damar Wicaksono , Michael Hecht

In recent years, surrogate models have been successfully used in likelihood-free inference to decrease the number of simulator evaluations. The current state-of-the-art performance for this task has been achieved by Bayesian Optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-06 Alexander Aushev , Henri Pesonen , Markus Heinonen , Jukka Corander , Samuel Kaski