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Accurate calibration of stochastic agent-based models (ABMs) in epidemiology is crucial to make them useful in public health policy decisions and interventions. Traditional calibration methods, e.g., Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-28 Connor Robertson , Cosmin Safta , Nicholson Collier , Jonathan Ozik , Jaideep Ray

Understanding how genetically encoded rules drive and guide complex neuronal growth processes is essential to comprehending the brain's architecture, and agent-based models (ABMs) offer a powerful simulation approach to further develop this…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Tobias Duswald , Lukas Breitwieser , Thomas Thorne , Barbara Wohlmuth , Roman Bauer

Agent based models (ABMs) are a useful tool for modeling spatio-temporal population dynamics, where many details can be included in the model description. Their computational cost though is very high and for stochastic ABMs a lot of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Stefanie Winkelmann , Johannes Zonker , Christof Schütte , Natasa Djurdjevac Conrad

Taking agent-based models (ABM) closer to the data is an open challenge. This paper explicitly tackles parameter space exploration and calibration of ABMs combining supervised machine-learning and intelligent sampling to build a surrogate…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-07 Francesco Lamperti , Andrea Roventini , Amir Sani

Agent-based modelling (ABMing) is a powerful and intuitive approach to modelling complex systems; however, the intractability of ABMs' likelihood functions and the non-differentiability of the mathematical operations comprising these models…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Arnau Quera-Bofarull , Ayush Chopra , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge , Joel Dyer

Parameter calibration is a significant challenge in agent-based modelling and simulation (ABMS). An agent-based model's (ABM) complexity grows as the number of parameters required to be calibrated increases. This parameter expansion leads…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Rylan Perumal , Terence L van Zyl

Systematic exploration of Agent-Based Models (ABMs) is challenged by the curse of dimensionality and their inherent stochasticity. We present a multi-stage pipeline integrating the systematic design of experiments with machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Paul Saves , Matthieu Mastio , Nicolas Verstaevel , Benoit Gaudou

Agent Based Modelling (ABM) is a computational framework for simulating the behaviours and interactions of autonomous agents. As Agent Based Models are usually representative of complex systems, obtaining a likelihood function of the model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-09 D. Townsend

Agent-based models (ABMs) are widely used to study infectious disease dynamics, but their calibration is often computationally intensive, limiting their applicability in time-sensitive public health settings. We propose DeepIMC (Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Sima Najafzadehkhoei , George Vega Yon , Derek S. Meyer , Bernardo Modenesi

Epidemiological models can not only be used to forecast the course of a pandemic like COVID-19, but also to propose and design non-pharmaceutical interventions such as school and work closing. In general, the design of optimal policies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-06 Jan-Hendrik Niemann , Samuel Uram , Sarah Wolf , Nataša Djurdjevac Conrad , Martin Weiser

Agent-based models (ABMs) highlight the importance of simulation validation, such as qualitative face validation and quantitative empirical validation. In particular, we focused on quantitative validation by adjusting simulation input…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Dongjun Kim , Tae-Sub Yun , Il-Chul Moon , Jang Won Bae

Agent-based simulators (ABS) are a popular epidemiological modelling tool to study the impact of various non-pharmaceutical interventions in managing an epidemic in a city (or a region). They provide the flexibility to accurately model a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-13 Daksh Mittal , Sandeep Juneja

Agent-based models (ABMs) simulate complex systems by capturing the bottom-up interactions of individual agents comprising the system. Many complex systems of interest, such as epidemics or financial markets, involve thousands or even…

Determining subgroups that respond especially well (or poorly) to specific interventions (medical or policy) requires new supervised learning methods tailored specifically for causal inference. Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) is a recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-16 Nikolay Krantsevich , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

Parameter calibration is a major challenge in agent-based modelling and simulation (ABMS). As the complexity of agent-based models (ABMs) increase, the number of parameters required to be calibrated grows. This leads to the ABMS equivalent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-28 Rylan Perumal , Terence L van Zyl

Mechanistic simulators are an indispensable tool for epidemiology to explore the behavior of complex, dynamic infections under varying conditions and navigate uncertain environments. Agent-based models (ABMs) are an increasingly popular…

The reproduction of realistic dynamics in financial markets is of great significance, as it enhances our understanding of market evolution beyond other physical processes, and facilitates the development and backtesting of investment…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Tianlang He , Fengming Zhu , Keyan Lu , Chang Xu , Yang Liu , Weiqing Liu , Fangzhen Lin , S. -H. Gary Chan , Jiang Bian

Public Policies are not intrinsically positive or negative. Rather, policies provide varying levels of effects across different recipients. Methodologically, computational modeling enables the application of multiple influences on empirical…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Bernardo Alves Furtado , Gustavo Onofre Andreão

Agent-based modeling (ABM) is a powerful computational approach for studying complex biological and biomedical systems, yet its widespread use remains limited by significant computational demands. As models become increasingly…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-17 Kerri-Ann Norton , Daniel Bergman , Harsh Vardhan Jain , Trachette Jackson

Calibrating agent-based models (ABMs) to data is among the most fundamental requirements to ensure the model fulfils its desired purpose. In recent years, simulation-based inference methods have emerged as powerful tools for performing this…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , J. Doyne Farmer , Sebastian M. Schmon
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