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We use the mean exit time to quantify macroscopic dynamical behaviors of stochastic dynamical systems driven by tempered L\'evy fluctuations, which are solutions of nonlocal elliptic equations. Firstly, we construct a new numerical scheme…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Yanjie Zhang , Xiao Wang , Jinqiao Duan

We consider the problem of optimally controlling stochastic, Markovian systems subject to joint chance constraints over a finite-time horizon. For such problems, standard Dynamic Programming is inapplicable due to the time correlation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Niklas Schmid , Marta Fochesato , Sarah H. Q. Li , Tobias Sutter , John Lygeros

The paper addresses the problem of time offset synchronization in the presence of temperature variations, which lead to a non-Gaussian environment. In this context, regular Kalman filtering reveals to be suboptimal. A functional…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Maurizio Mongelli , Stefano Scanzio

In this paper, we provide some results on Skorokhod embedding with local time and its applications to the robust hedging problem in finance. First we investigate the robust hedging of options depending on the local time by using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-31 Julien Claisse , Gaoyue Guo , Pierre Henry-Labordere

We obtain an optimal bound for a Gaussian approximation of a large class of vector-valued random processes. Our results provide a substantial generalization of earlier results that assume independence and/or stationarity. Based on the decay…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

We address the problem of community detection in networks by introducing a general definition of Markov stability, based on the difference between the probability fluxes of a Markov chain on the network at different time scales. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-05 Aurelio Patelli , Andrea Gabrielli , Giulio Cimini

Asymptotic theory for approximate martingale estimating functions is generalised to diffusions with finite-activity jumps, when the sampling frequency and terminal sampling time go to infinity. Rate optimality and efficiency are of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

We introduce a general framework for Markov decision problems under model uncertainty in a discrete-time infinite horizon setting. By providing a dynamic programming principle we obtain a local-to-global paradigm, namely solving a local,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-06 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester , Mario Šikić

Among various rare events, the effective computation of transition paths connecting metastable states in a stochastic model is an important problem. This paper proposes a stochastic optimal control formulation for transition path problems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Yuan Gao , Jian-Guo Liu , Oliver Tse

Living systems often function with regulatory interactions, but the question of how activity, stochasticity and regulations work together for achieving different goals still remains puzzling. We propose a stochastic model of an active…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-03-02 Tai Han , Fanlong Meng

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans

We describe stochastic calculus in the context of processes that are driven by an adapted point process of locally finite intensity and are differentiable between jumps. This includes Markov chains as well as non-Markov processes. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Eric Foxall

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of a stochastic approximation scheme on two timescales with set-valued drift functions and in the presence of non-additive iterate-dependent Markov noise. It is shown that the recursion on each…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-21 Vinayaka Yaji , Shalabh Bhatnagar

This paper studies the exponential stability of random matrix products driven by a general (possibly unbounded) state space Markov chain. It is a cornerstone in the analysis of stochastic algorithms in machine learning (e.g. for parameter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-02 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov , Hoi-To Wai

We consider optimal stopping problems for a Brownian motion and a geometric Brownian motion with a "disorder", assuming that the moment of a disorder is uniformly distributed on a finite interval. Optimal stopping rules are found as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-18 A. N. Shiryaev , M. V. Zhitlukhin

The paper proposes a new stochastic intervention control model conducted in various commodity and stock markets. The essence of the phenomenon of intervention is described in accordance with current economic theory. A review of papers on…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-28 Peter Shnurkov , Daniil Novikov

This paper deals with the problems of stochastic stability and sliding mode control for a class of continuous-time Markovian jump systems with mode-dependent time-varying delays and partly unknown transition probabilities. The design method…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Nasibeh Zohrabi , Hasan Zakeri , Amir Hossein Abolmasoumi , Hamid Reza Momeni

We investigated a cost-constrained static ergodic control problem of the variance of measure-valued affine processes and its application in streamflow management. The controlled system is a jump-driven mixed moving average process that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Hidekazu Yoshioka , Tomohiro Tanaka , Yumi Yoshioka , Ayumi Hashiguchi

For Markov jump processes on irreducible networks with finite number of sites, we derive a general and explicit expression of the squared coefficient of variation for the net number of transitions from one site to a connected site in a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-28 Alberto Garilli , Diego Frezzato

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen