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Kaplan et al. [2020] (`Kaplan') and Hoffmann et al. [2022] (`Chinchilla') studied the scaling behavior of transformers trained on next-token language prediction. These studies produced different estimates for how the number of parameters…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Tim Pearce , Jinyeop Song

The quality of Large Language Model (LLM) pretraining depends on multiple factors, including the compute budget and the choice of optimization algorithm. Empirical scaling laws are widely used to predict loss as model size and training data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Alexandra Volkova , Mher Safaryan , Christoph H. Lampert , Dan Alistarh

Hoffmann et al. (2022) propose three methods for estimating a compute-optimal scaling law. We attempt to replicate their third estimation procedure, which involves fitting a parametric loss function to a reconstruction of data from their…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Tamay Besiroglu , Ege Erdil , Matthew Barnett , Josh You

Large language model (LLM) scaling laws are empirical formulas that estimate changes in model quality as a result of increasing parameter count and training data. However, these formulas, including the popular Deepmind Chinchilla scaling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Nikhil Sardana , Jacob Portes , Sasha Doubov , Jonathan Frankle

Large language model pre-training has become increasingly expensive, with most practitioners relying on scaling laws to allocate compute budgets for model size and training tokens, commonly referred to as Compute-Optimal or Chinchilla…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Zhen Guo

Scaling laws are useful guides for derisking expensive training runs, as they predict performance of large models using cheaper, small-scale experiments. However, there remain gaps between current scaling studies and how language models are…

Hoffman et al (2022)'s Chinchilla paper introduced the principle of compute-optimal scaling, laying a foundation for future scaling of language models. In the years since, however, valid concerns about Chinchilla have been raised: wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Rylan Schaeffer , Noam Levi , Andreas Kirsch , Theo Guenais , Brando Miranda , Elyas Obbad , Sanmi Koyejo

Recent empirical studies show three phenomena with increasing size of language models: compute-optimal size scaling, emergent capabilities, and performance plateauing. We present a simple unified mathematical framework to explain all of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Anuj K. Nayak , Lav R. Varshney

Scaling the number of parameters and the size of training data has proven to be an effective strategy for improving large language model (LLM) performance. Yet, as these models grow increasingly powerful and widely deployed, the cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Song Bian , Tao Yu , Shivaram Venkataraman , Youngsuk Park

Scaling laws are powerful tools to predict the performance of large language models. However, current scaling laws fall short of accounting for inference costs. In this work, we first show that model architecture affects inference latency,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Song Bian , Minghao Yan , Shivaram Venkataraman

Why do larger language models generalize better? To investigate this question, we develop generalization bounds on the pretraining objective of large language models (LLMs) in the compute-optimal regime, as described by the Chinchilla…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Marc Finzi , Sanyam Kapoor , Diego Granziol , Anming Gu , Christopher De Sa , J. Zico Kolter , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We study the compute-optimal trade-off between model and training data set sizes for large neural networks. Our result suggests a linear relation similar to that supported by the empirical analysis of chinchilla. While that work studies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Hong Jun Jeon , Benjamin Van Roy

Scaling laws for language model training traditionally characterize how performance scales with model size and dataset volume. Prior work has explored architecture variants and data treatments such as dataset filtering and noise injection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Anirudh Subramanyam , Yuxin Chen , Robert L. Grossman

Efficient LLM pre-training requires well-tuned hyperparameters (HPs), including learning rate $\eta$ and weight decay $\lambda$. We study scaling laws for HPs: formulas for how to scale HPs as we scale model size N, dataset size D, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Shane Bergsma , Nolan Dey , Gurpreet Gosal , Gavia Gray , Daria Soboleva , Joel Hestness

Training compute is increasingly outpacing the availability of high-quality data. This shifts the central challenge from optimal compute allocation to extracting maximum value from limited data. The widely adopted Chinchilla scaling law…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Justin Lovelace , Christian Belardi , Srivatsa Kundurthy , Shriya Sudhakar , Kilian Q. Weinberger

Large language models (LLMs) have made remarkable advances in recent years, with scaling laws playing a critical role in this rapid progress. In this paper, we empirically investigate how a critical hyper-parameter, i.e., the global batch…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Xian Shuai , Yiding Wang , Yimeng Wu , Xin Jiang , Xiaozhe Ren

Scaling law principles indicate a power-law correlation between loss and variables such as model size, dataset size, and computational resources utilized during training. These principles play a vital role in optimizing various aspects of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-08 Hui Su , Zhi Tian , Xiaoyu Shen , Xunliang Cai

Traditional scaling laws in natural language processing suggest that increasing model size and training data enhances performance. However, recent studies reveal deviations, particularly in large language models, where performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Zhengyu Chen , Siqi Wang , Teng Xiao , Yudong Wang , Shiqi Chen , Xunliang Cai , Junxian He , Jingang Wang

Recent work has identified simple empirical scaling laws for language models, linking compute budget, dataset size, model size, and autoregressive modeling loss. The validity of these simple power laws across orders of magnitude in model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-27 Amélie Chatelain , Amine Djeghri , Daniel Hesslow , Julien Launay , Iacopo Poli

Scaling laws guide the development of large language models (LLMs) by offering estimates for the optimal balance of model size, tokens, and compute. More recently, loss-to-loss scaling laws that relate losses across pretraining datasets and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Prasanna Mayilvahanan , Thaddäus Wiedemer , Sayak Mallick , Matthias Bethge , Wieland Brendel
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