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We present a novel Bayesian framework to decompose the posterior predictive variance in a fitted Generalized Additive Mixed Model (GAMM) into explained and unexplained components. This decomposition enables a rigorous definition of Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-21 Abdollah Jalilian , Aki Vehtari , Luigi Sedda

Thul et al. (2020) called attention to problems that arise when chronometric experiments implementing specific factorial designs are analysed with the generalized additive mixed model (GAMM), using factor smooths to capture trial-to-trial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-19 R. Harald Baayen , Matteo Fasiolo , Simon Wood , Yu-Ying Chuang

Generalized additive models have been popular among statisticians and data analysts in multivariate nonparametric regression with non-Gaussian responses including binary and count data. In this paper, a new likelihood approach for fitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Kyusang Yu , Byeong U. Park , Enno Mammen

Off-the-shelf Gaussian Process (GP) covariance functions encode smoothness assumptions on the structure of the function to be modeled. To model complex and non-differentiable functions, these smoothness assumptions are often too…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-12 Roberto Calandra , Jan Peters , Carl Edward Rasmussen , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Latent factor models that integrate data from multiple sources/studies or modalities have garnered considerable attention across various disciplines. However, existing methods predominantly focus either on multi-study integration or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Wei Liu , Qingzhi Zhong

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have shown great promise in tasks like node and graph classification, but they often struggle to generalize, particularly to unseen or out-of-distribution (OOD) data. These challenges are exacerbated when…

Let $R$ be a commutative ring with identity and $G$ a graph. An extending generalized spline on $G$ is a vertex labeling $f \in \prod_{v} M_v$, where for each edge $e=uv$ there exists an $R$-module $M_{uv}$ together with homomorphisms $…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Gökçen Dilaver , Selma Altinok

Machine learning techniques offer a precious tool box for use within astronomy to solve problems involving so-called big data. They provide a means to make accurate predictions about a particular system without prior knowledge of the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-01 J. Elliott , R. S. de Souza , A. Krone-Martins , E. Cameron , E. E. O. Ishida , J. Hilbe

Graph State Space Models (SSMs) have recently been introduced to enhance Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) in modeling long-range interactions. Despite their success, existing methods either compromise on permutation equivariance or limit their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Moshe Eliasof , Alessio Gravina , Andrea Ceni , Claudio Gallicchio , Davide Bacciu , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

State-space models (SSM) are central to describe time-varying complex systems in countless signal processing applications such as remote sensing, networks, biomedicine, and finance to name a few. Inference and prediction in SSMs are…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Víctor Elvira , Émilie Chouzenoux

This study introduces a novel generalized additive mixed model (GAMM) for mortality modelling, utilizing the mortality covariate $k_t$ as proposed by Dastranj-Kolar. Our findings indicate that the GAMM effectively addresses this…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-18 Reza Dastranj , Martin Kolar

Generalized additive index models (GAIMs) offer a flexible semiparametric framework for capturing complex data relationships, balancing the interpretability of parametric models with the flexibility of nonparametric approaches. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Ziyu Peng , Linglingzhi Zhu , Yao Xie

ProfileGLMM is an R package integrating Generalised Linear Mixed Models (GLMMs) as the outcome model for Bayesian profile regression. This statistical framework simultaneously i) explains the variation in the outcome and ii) clusters the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Matteo Amestoy , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

Electricity demand forecasting is key to ensuring that supply meets demand lest the grid would blackout. Reliable short-term forecasts may be obtained by combining a Generalized Additive Models (GAM) with a State-Space model (Obst et al.,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-01 Keshav Das , Julie Keisler , Margaux Brégère , Amaury Durand

Meta-analysis methods are used to combine evidence from multiple studies. Meta-regression as well as model-based meta-analysis are extensions of standard pairwise meta-analysis in which information about study-level covariates and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-02 Burak Kürsad Günhan , Christian Röver , Tim Friede

Background: The use of mixed effect models with a specific functional form such as the Sigmoidal Mixed Model and the Piecewise Mixed Model (or Changepoint Mixed Model) with abrupt or smooth random change allows the interpretation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-26 Ana W Capuano , Maude Wagner

Graphs are used as models in many areas of computer science and computer engineering. For example graphs are used to represent syntax, control and data flow, dependency, state spaces, models such as UML and other types of domain-specific…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Timo Kehrer , Alice Miller

The numerical availability of statistical inference methods for a modern and robust analysis of longitudinal- and multivariate data in factorial experiments is an essential element in research and education. While existing approaches that…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-25 Sarah Friedrich , Frank Konietschke , Markus Pauly

We propose an extension of Markov-switching generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape (MS-GAMLSS) that allows covariates to influence not only the parameters of the state-dependent distributions but also the state…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Katharina Ammann , Timo Adam , Jan-Ole Koslik

The generalized partially linear additive model (GPLAM) is a flexible and interpretable approach to building predictive models. It combines features in an additive manner, allowing each to have either a linear or nonlinear effect on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-29 Yin Lou , Jacob Bien , Rich Caruana , Johannes Gehrke