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Companies do not operate in a vacuum. As companies move towards an increasingly specialized production function and their reach is becoming truly global, their aptitude in managing and shaping their inter-organizational network is a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-24 Tore Opsahl , William Newton

Instruction-tuned language models exhibit behavioural fairness in high-stakes decisions while retaining biased associations in their internal representations. However, whether these suppressed representations can affect model outputs - and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Jagdish Tripathy , Marcus Buckmann

Cluster-randomized trials (CRTs) are widely used to evaluate interventions delivered at the clinic, practice, or community level. Although standard analyses typically target average treatment effects, such summaries mask potentially…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Changjun Li , Xi Fang , Michael O. Harhay , Andrew B. Forbes , F. Perry Wilson , Guangyu Tong , Fan Li

It had been believed in the conventional practice that the risk of a bank going bankrupt is lessened in a straightforward manner by transferring the risk of loan defaults. But the failure of American International Group in 2008 posed a more…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-17 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima

Using a semi-structural approach, the paper identifies how heterogeneity and financial frictions affect the transmission of aggregate shocks. Approximating a heterogeneous agent model around the representative agent allocation can…

General Economics · Economics 2020-07-29 Andreas Tryphonides

Credit Default Swap (CDS) levels provide a market appreciation of companies' default risk. These derivatives are not always available, creating a need for CDS approximations. This paper offers a simple, global and transparent CDS structural…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-15 Mathieu Mercadier , Jean-Pierre Lardy

In this paper, we assess how the stability of financial networks is affected by interconnectedness considering its tiniest variation: the edge. We compute the impact of edges as the percentage difference in the systemic risk (SR) of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-06 Michel Alexandre , Thiago Christiano Silva , Francisco A. Rodrigues

Social and professional networks affect labor market dynamics, knowledge diffusion and new business creation. To understand the determinants of how these networks are formed in the first place, we analyze a unique dataset of business cards…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-04 Juan Nelson Martínez Dahbura , Shota Komatsu , Takanori Nishida , Angelo Mele

Uncovering causal effects in multiple treatment setting at various levels of granularity provides substantial value to decision makers. Comprehensive machine learning approaches to causal effect estimation allow to use a single causal…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-17 Michael Lechner , Jana Mareckova

Algorithmic systems are known to impact marginalized groups severely, and more so, if all sources of bias are not considered. While work in algorithmic fairness to-date has primarily focused on addressing discrimination due to individually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Vishwali Mhasawade , Rumi Chunara

Corporate credit rating serves as a crucial intermediary service in the market economy, playing a key role in maintaining economic order. Existing credit rating models rely on financial metrics and deep learning. However, they often…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-06 Yumeng Shi , Zhongliang Yang , DiYang Lu , Yisi Wang , Yiting Zhou , Linna Zhou

We use bank-level balance sheet data from 2005 to 2010 to study interactions within the banking system of five emerging countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Taiwan. For each country we construct a financial network based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-08 Diego Aparicio , Daniel Fraiman

Machine learning is traditionally studied at the model level: researchers measure and improve the accuracy, robustness, bias, efficiency, and other dimensions of specific models. In practice, the societal impact of machine learning is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-04 Connor Toups , Rishi Bommasani , Kathleen A. Creel , Sarah H. Bana , Dan Jurafsky , Percy Liang

Increasingly, software is making autonomous decisions in case of criminal sentencing, approving credit cards, hiring employees, and so on. Some of these decisions show bias and adversely affect certain social groups (e.g. those defined by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Joymallya Chakraborty , Suvodeep Majumder , Tim Menzies

Machine learning currently plays an increasingly important role in people's lives in areas such as credit scoring, auto-driving, disease diagnosing, and insurance quoting. However, in many of these areas, machine learning models have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Zhuo Zhao

Scientists have been interested in estimating causal peer effects to understand how people's behaviors are affected by their network peers. However, it is well known that identification and estimation of causal peer effects are challenging…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-07 Naoki Egami , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Extracting from shared resources requires making choices to balance personal profit and sustainability. We present the results of a behavioural experiment wherein we manipulate the default extraction from a finite resource. Participants…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Eladio Montero-Porras , Rémi Suchon , Tom Lenaerts , Elias Fernández Domingos

We present a reactive beta model that includes the leverage effect to allow hedge fund managers to target a near-zero beta for market neutral strategies. For this purpose, we derive a metric of correlation with leverage effect to identify…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-05 Sebastien Valeyre , Denis S. Grebenkov , Sofiane Aboura

We examine the challenges in ranking multiple treatments based on their estimated effects when using linear regression or its popular double-machine-learning variant, the Partially Linear Model (PLM), in the presence of treatment effect…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-06 Apoorva Lal

The importance of adequately modeling credit risk has once again been highlighted in the recent financial crisis. Defaults tend to cluster around times of economic stress due to poor macro-economic conditions, {\em but also} by directly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Sebastian Heise , Reimer Kuehn
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