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Bayesian phylogenetics is vital for understanding evolutionary dynamics, and requires accurate and efficient approximation of posterior distributions over trees. In this work, we develop a variational Bayesian approach for ultrametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-16 Evan Sidrow , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Lloyd T. Elliott

Gradients of probabilistic model likelihoods with respect to their parameters are essential for modern computational statistics and machine learning. These calculations are readily available for arbitrary models via automatic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-06 Mathieu Fourment , Christiaan J. Swanepoel , Jared G. Galloway , Xiang Ji , Karthik Gangavarapu , Marc A. Suchard , Frederick A. Matsen

Background: Continuous traits evolution of a group of taxa that are correlated through a phylogenetic tree is commonly modelled using parametric stochastic differential equations to represent deterministic change of trait through time,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-03 Bayu Brahmantio , Krzysztof Bartoszek , Etka Yapar

We describe an "embarrassingly parallel" method for Bayesian phylogenetic inference, annealed Sequential Monte Carlo, based on recent advances in the Sequential Monte Carlo literature such as adaptive determination of annealing parameters.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-15 Liangliang Wang , Shijia Wang , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté

Phylogenetic stochastic mapping is a method for reconstructing the history of trait changes on a phylogenetic tree relating species/organisms carrying the trait. State-of-the-art methods assume that the trait evolves according to a…

Computation · Statistics 2014-03-21 Jan Irvahn , Vladimir N. Minin

Decision trees have found widespread application within the machine learning community due to their flexibility and interpretability. This paper is directed towards learning decision trees from data using a Bayesian approach, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Jodie A. Cochrane , Adrian G. Wills , Sarah J. Johnson

Monte Carlo Tree Search is a popular method for solving decision making problems. Faster implementations allow for more simulations within the same wall clock time, directly improving search performance. To this end, we present an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-29 James Ragan , Fred Y. Hadaegh , Soon-Jo Chung

There are several tools available to infer phylogenetic trees, which depict the evolutionary relationships among biological entities such as viral and bacterial strains in infectious outbreaks, or cancerous cells in tumor progression trees.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-12-22 António Pedro Branco , Cátia Vaz , Alexandre P. Francisco

We introduce TyXe, a Bayesian neural network library built on top of Pytorch and Pyro. Our leading design principle is to cleanly separate architecture, prior, inference and likelihood specification, allowing for a flexible workflow where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-04 Hippolyt Ritter , Theofanis Karaletsos

Popular Monte-Carlo tree search (MCTS) algorithms for online planning, such as epsilon-greedy tree search and UCT, aim at rapidly identifying a reasonably good action, but provide rather poor worst-case guarantees on performance improvement…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Zohar Feldman , Carmel Domshlak

Bayesian inference is now a leading technique for reconstructing phylogenetic trees from aligned sequence data. In this short note, we formally show that the maximum posterior tree topology provides a statistically consistent estimate of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-12 Mike Steel

The $\texttt{torch-choice}$ is an open-source library for flexible, fast choice modeling with Python and PyTorch. $\texttt{torch-choice}$ provides a $\texttt{ChoiceDataset}$ data structure to manage databases flexibly and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Tianyu Du , Ayush Kanodia , Susan Athey

Modern LLMs typically require multistage training pipelines to achieve strong downstream performance, with post-training serving as the main interface for adapting open-weight models. We introduce torchtune, a PyTorch-native library…

Reconstructing the evolutionary history relating a collection of molecular sequences is the main subject of modern Bayesian phylogenetic inference. However, the commonly used Markov chain Monte Carlo methods can be inefficient due to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-12 Tianyu Xie , Frederick A. Matsen , Marc A. Suchard , Cheng Zhang

Traditionally, phylogeny and sequence alignment are estimated separately: first estimate a multiple sequence alignment and then infer a phylogeny based on the sequence alignment estimated in the previous step. However, uncertainty in the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-25 Heejung Shim , Bret Larget

Although theoretically compelling, Bayesian learning with modern machine learning models is computationally challenging since it requires approximating a high dimensional posterior distribution. In this work, we (i) introduce posteriors, an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Samuel Duffield , Kaelan Donatella , Johnathan Chiu , Phoebe Klett , Daniel Simpson

Modern time series analysis demands frameworks that are flexible, efficient, and extensible. However, many existing Python libraries exhibit limitations in modularity and in their native support for irregular, multi-source, or sparse data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Zhijin Wang , Senzhen Wu , Yue Hu , Xiufeng Liu

Bayesian optimization provides sample-efficient global optimization for a broad range of applications, including automatic machine learning, engineering, physics, and experimental design. We introduce BoTorch, a modern programming framework…

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a popular and successful general-purpose tool for Bayesian inference. However, MCMC cannot be practically applied to large data sets because of the prohibitive cost of evaluating every likelihood term at…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-25 Dougal Maclaurin , Ryan P. Adams

Phylogenetics is a classical methodology in computational biology that today has become highly relevant for medical investigation of single-cell data, e.g., in the context of cancer development. The exponential size of the tree space is,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-25 Hazal Koptagel , Oskar Kviman , Harald Melin , Negar Safinianaini , Jens Lagergren