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We derive recursions for the probability distribution of random sums by computer algebra. Unlike the well-known Panjer-type recursions, they are of finite order and thus allow for computation in linear time. This efficiency is bought by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-23 S. Gerhold , R. Warnung

The generalized Poisson distribution is well known to be a compound Poisson distribution with Borel summands. As a generalization we present closed formulas for compound Bartlett and Delaporte distributions with Borel summands and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-14 Helmut Finner , Peter Kern , Marsel Scheer

Estimation of the operational risk capital under the Loss Distribution Approach requires evaluation of aggregate (compound) loss distributions which is one of the classic problems in risk theory. Closed-form solutions are not available for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Pavel V. Shevchenko

The paper investigates a discrete time Binomial risk model with different types of polices and shock events may influence some of the claim sizes. It is shown that this model can be considered as a particular case of the classical compound…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Evelina Veleva

In this paper, a new mixed Poisson distribution is introduced. This new distribution is obtained by utilizing mixing process, with Poisson distribution as mixed distribution and Transmuted Exponential distribution as mixing distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-05 Deepesh Bhati , Pooja Kumawat , E. Gómez Déniz

We consider the problem of computing the joint distribution of order statistics of stochastically independent random variables in one- and two-group models. While recursive formulas for evaluating the joint cumulative distribution function…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-24 Jonathan von Schroeder , Thorsten Dickhaus

The collective risk model differentiates usually between claims frequencies (and their distribution) and claim sizes (and their distribution). For the claims frequencies typically classical discrete distributions are considered, such as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-12 Dietmar Pfeifer

Consider two different portfolios which have claims triggered by the same events. Their corresponding collective model over a fixed time period is given in terms of individual claim sizes $(X_i,Y_i), i\ge 1$ and a claim counting random…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-07 Enkelejd Hashorva , Gildas Ratovomirija , Maissa Tamraz

The aim of this paper is to present a mixture composite regression model for claim severity modelling. Claim severity modelling poses several challenges such as multimodality, heavy-tailedness and systematic effects in data. We tackle this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Tsz Chai Fung , George Tzougas , Mario Wuthrich

In quantitative finance, it is often necessary to analyze the distribution of the sum of specific functions of observed values at discrete points of an underlying process. Examples include the probability density function, the hedging…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Jong Jun Park , Kyungsub Lee

The distribution of the sum of dependent risks is a crucial aspect in actuarial sciences, risk management and in many branches of applied probability. In this paper, we obtain analytic expressions for the probability density function (pdf)…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-02 José María Sarabia , Emilio Gómez-Déniz , Faustino Prieto , Vanesa Jordá

An expanded family of mixtures of multivariate power exponential distributions is introduced. While fitting heavy-tails and skewness has received much attention in the model-based clustering literature recently, we investigate the use of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-15 Utkarsh J. Dang , Ryan P. Browne , Paul D. McNicholas

We suggest a general method for analyzing aggregate insurance claims that arrive according to a very general point process, known in the literature as the order statistic point process, which includes as special cases the classical compound…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-26 Kristina P. Sendova , Ričardas Zitikis

When observations are organized into groups where commonalties exist amongst them, the dependent random measures can be an ideal choice for modeling. One of the propositions of the dependent random measures is that the atoms of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-28 Cheng Luo , Richard Yi Da Xu , Yang Xiang

Understanding variable dependence, particularly eliciting their statistical properties given a set of covariates, provides the mathematical foundation in practical operations management such as risk analysis and decision-making given…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

In actuarial research, a task of particular interest and importance is to predict the loss cost for individual risks so that informative decisions are made in various insurance operations such as underwriting, ratemaking, and capital…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-15 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

In this article, we propose a new three parameter distribution by compounding negative binomial with reciprocal inverse Gaussian model called negative binomial-reciprocal inverse Gaussian distribution. This model is tractable with some…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-10 Ishfaq Shah Ahmad , Anwar Hassan , Peer Bilal Ahmad

In this paper, we introduce a risk process, namely, the mixed fractional risk process (MFRP) in which the number of claims in the associated claim process are modelled using the mixed fractional Poisson process (MFPP). The covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

In this paper, the joint distribution of the sum and maximum of independent, not necessarily identically distributed, nonnegative random variables is studied for two cases: i) continuous and ii) discrete random variables. First, a recursive…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Christos N. Efrem

The ability to adequately model risks is crucial for insurance companies. The method of "Copula-based hierarchical risk aggregation" by Arbenz et al. offers a flexible way in doing so and has attracted much attention recently. We briefly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Fabio Derendinger
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