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Machine learning (ML) methods are highly flexible, but their ability to approximate the true data-generating process is fundamentally constrained by finite samples. We characterize a universal lower bound, the Limits-to-Learning Gap (LLG),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Zhimin Chen , Bryan Kelly , Semyon Malamud

In the dynamic landscape of machine learning, where datasets vary widely in size and complexity, selecting the most effective model poses a significant challenge. Rather than fixating on a single model, our research propels the field…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Syed Tahir Abbas Hasani

Current implementations of Gradient Boosting Machines are mostly designed for single-target regression tasks and commonly assume independence between responses when used in multivariate settings. As such, these models are not well suited if…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Alexander März

Fine-grained urban flow inference is crucial for urban planning and intelligent transportation systems, enabling precise traffic management and resource allocation. However, the practical deployment of existing methods is hindered by two…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Yuanshao Zhu , Xiangyu Zhao , Zijian Zhang , Xuetao Wei , James Jianqiao Yu

The DistFlow model accurately represents power flows in distribution systems, but the model's nonlinearities result in computational challenges for many applications. Accordingly, a linear approximation known as \mbox{LinDistFlow} (and its…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-14 Babak Taheri , Rahul K. Gupta , Daniel K. Molzahn

Neural networks offer a versatile, flexible and accurate approach to loss reserving. However, such applications have focused primarily on the (important) problem of fitting accurate central estimates of the outstanding claims. In practice,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Muhammed Taher Al-Mudafer , Benjamin Avanzi , Greg Taylor , Bernard Wong

Predicting the probability of default (PD) of prospective loans is a critical objective for financial institutions. In recent years, machine learning (ML) algorithms have achieved remarkable success across a wide variety of prediction…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-25 Adrian Iulian Cristescu , Matteo Giordano

The use of credit cards has recently increased, creating an essential need for credit card assessment methods to minimize potential risks. This study investigates the utilization of machine learning (ML) models for credit card default…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Anas Arram , Masri Ayob , Musatafa Abbas Abbood Albadr , Alaa Sulaiman , Dheeb Albashish

Credit card fraud detection remains a critical challenge in financial security, with machine learning models like XGBoost(eXtreme gradient boosting) emerging as powerful tools for identifying fraudulent transactions. However, the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Siyaxolisa Kabane

Solving large-scale robust portfolio optimization problems is challenging due to the high computational demands associated with an increasing number of assets, the amount of data considered, and market uncertainty. To address this issue, we…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-16 Chung-Han Hsieh , Jie-Ling Lu

Decision-Focused Learning (DFL) is an emerging learning paradigm that tackles the task of training a machine learning (ML) model to predict missing parameters of an incomplete optimization problem, where the missing parameters are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Yehya Farhat

This paper establishes the equivalence between Local Differential Privacy (LDP) and a global limit on learning any knowledge specific to a queried object. However, an output from an LDP query is not necessarily required to provide exact…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Mingen Pan

Automatic Machine Learning (Auto-ML) has attracted more and more attention in recent years, our work is to solve the problem of data drift, which means that the distribution of data will gradually change with the acquisition process,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-30 Jinlong Chai , Jiangeng Chang , Yakun Zhao , Honggang Liu

Using gradient descent (GD) with fixed or decaying step-size is a standard practice in unconstrained optimization problems. However, when the loss function is only locally convex, such a step-size schedule artificially slows GD down as it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-03 Nhat Ho , Tongzheng Ren , Sujay Sanghavi , Purnamrita Sarkar , Rachel Ward

Gradient Boosting (GB) is a popular methodology used to solve prediction problems by minimizing a differentiable loss function, $L$. GB performs very well on tabular machine learning (ML) problems; however, as a pure ML solver it lacks the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Michael T. Horrell

Bertsimas and Lo's seminal work laid the groundwork for addressing the implementation shortfall dilemma in institutional investing, emphasizing the significance of market microstructure and price dynamics in minimizing execution costs.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Simeon Kolev

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a powerful data-driven technique for construction of reduced-order models of complex dynamical systems. Multiple numerical tests have demonstrated the accuracy and efficiency of DMD, but mostly for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Hannah Lu , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

Deep Metric Learning (DML) methods have been proven relevant for visual similarity learning. However, they sometimes lack generalization properties because they are trained often using an inappropriate sample selection strategy or due to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Jorge Gonzalez-Zapata , Ivan Reyes-Amezcua , Daniel Flores-Araiza , Mauricio Mendez-Ruiz , Gilberto Ochoa-Ruiz , Andres Mendez-Vazquez

Extreme weather variations and the increasing unpredictability of load behavior make it difficult to determine power grid dispatches that are robust to uncertainties. While machine learning (ML) methods have improved the ability to model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-21 Aayushya Agarwal , Larry Pileggi

The prediction of extreme greenhouse temperatures to which crops are susceptible is essential in the field of greenhouse planting. It can help avoid heat or freezing damage and economic losses. Therefore, it's important to develop models…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Liao Qu , Shuaiqi Huang , Yunsong Jia , Xiang Li