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Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series data is important in many engineering and scientific applications. Recent state-of-the-art works ignore the inter-relations between variates, using their model on each variate independently.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Liran Nochumsohn , Hedi Zisling , Omri Azencot

Stress-strain curves, or more generally, stress functions, are an extremely important characterization of a material's mechanical properties. However, stress functions are often difficult to derive and are narrowly tailored to a specific…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-12-21 Garrett Blum , Ryan Doris , Diego Klabjan , Horacio Espinosa , Ron Szalkowski

Real-world time series often exhibit complex interdependencies that cannot be captured in isolation. Global models that model past data from multiple related time series globally while producing series-specific forecasts locally are now…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Abishek Sriramulu , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Reliable mechanical fault detection with limited data is crucial for the effective operation of induction machines, particularly given the real-world challenges present in industrial datasets, such as significant imbalances between healthy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-04 Ali Pourghoraba , MohammadSadegh KhajueeZadeh , Ali Amini , Abolfazl Vahedi , Gholam Reza Agah , Akbar Rahideh

Forecasting models that are trained across sets of many time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), have shown recently promising results in forecasting competitions and real-world applications, outperforming many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-07 Kasun Bandara , Hansika Hewamalage , Yuan-Hao Liu , Yanfei Kang , Christoph Bergmeir

Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning (MAML), a popular gradient-based meta-learning framework, assumes that the contribution of each task or instance to the meta-learner is equal. Hence, it fails to address the domain shift between base and novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Krishnateja Killamsetty , Changbin Li , Chen Zhao , Rishabh Iyer , Feng Chen

Industrial machine learning systems face data challenges that are often under-explored in the academic literature. Common data challenges are data distribution shifts, missing values and anomalies. In this paper, we discuss data challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Shubham Kapoor , Tim Januschowski

Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporate state-dependent uncertainty quantification based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Manuel Pulido , Juan J. Ruiz , Pierre Tandeo

The goal of optimization-based meta-learning is to find a single initialization shared across a distribution of tasks to speed up the process of learning new tasks. Conditional meta-learning seeks task-specific initialization to better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Ruohan Wang , Yiannis Demiris , Carlo Ciliberto

Machine Learning (ML) is increasingly used across many disciplines with impressive reported results. However, recent studies suggest published performance of ML models are often overoptimistic. Validity concerns are underscored by findings…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Pouria Saidi , Gautam Dasarathy , Visar Berisha

We consider the problem of retraining machine learning (ML) models when new batches of data become available. Existing approaches greedily optimize for predictive power independently at each batch, without considering the stability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vassilis Digalakis , Yu Ma , Phevos Paschalidis

Sample re-weighting strategies provide a promising mechanism to deal with imperfect training data in machine learning, such as noisily labeled or class-imbalanced data. One such strategy involves formulating a bi-level optimization problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Yinjun Wu , Adam Stein , Jacob Gardner , Mayur Naik

Synthetic data has been proposed as a solution to address the issue of high-quality data scarcity in the training of large language models (LLMs). Studies have shown that synthetic data can effectively improve the performance of LLMs on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Jie Chen , Yupeng Zhang , Bingning Wang , Wayne Xin Zhao , Ji-Rong Wen , Weipeng Chen

Ensemble models are powerful model building tools that are developed with a focus to improve the accuracy of model predictions. They find applications in time series forecasting in varied scenarios including but not limited to process…

In this paper, we introduce a novel theoretical framework for multi-task regression, applying random matrix theory to provide precise performance estimations, under high-dimensional, non-Gaussian data distributions. We formulate a…

Dynamical weather and climate prediction models underpin many studies of the Earth system and hold the promise of being able to make robust projections of future climate change based on physical laws. However, simulations from these models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Peter A. G. Watson

Spatio-temporal machine learning is critically needed for a variety of societal applications, such as agricultural monitoring, hydrological forecast, and traffic management. These applications greatly rely on regional features that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-09 Zhexiong Liu , Licheng Liu , Yiqun Xie , Zhenong Jin , Xiaowei Jia

The problem of model collapse has presented new challenges in iterative training of generative models, where such training with synthetic data leads to an overall degradation of performance. This paper looks at the problem from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-19 Soham Bakshi , Sunrit Chakraborty

Despite the rapid expansion of smart grids and large volumes of data at the individual consumer level, there are still various cases where adequate data collection to train accurate load forecasting models is challenging or even impossible.…

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu