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Recently, there has been growing interest in the use of machine-learning methods for predicting solar flares. Initial efforts along these lines employed comparatively simple models, correlating features extracted from observations of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-21 Varad Deshmukh , Srinivas Baskar , Elizabeth Bradley , Thomas Berger , James D. Meiss

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are major drivers of stellar space weather and can strongly influence the habitability of exoplanets. However, compared to the frequent occurrence of white-light flares, confirmed stellar CMEs remain extremely…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-18 Yu Shi , Hong-Peng Lu , Li-Yun Zhang , Tian-Hao Su , Chao Tan

Archives of long photometric surveys, like the Kepler database, are a gold mine for studying flares. However, identifying them is a complex task; while in the case of single-target observations it can be easily done manually by visual…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-12 Krisztián Vida , Rachael M. Roettenbacher

Solar flares create adverse space weather impacting space and Earth-based technologies. However, the difficulty of forecasting flares, and by extension severe space weather, is accentuated by the lack of any unique flare trigger or a single…

Accurate and reliable predictions of solar flares are essential due to their potentially significant impact on Earth and space-based infrastructure. Although deep learning models have shown notable predictive capabilities in this domain,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Temitope Adeyeha , Chetraj Pandey , Berkay Aydin

Solar flares, especially C, M, and X class, pose significant risks to satellite operations, communication systems, and power grids. We present a novel approach for predicting extreme solar flares using HMI intensitygrams and magnetograms.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-09 Juyoung Yun , Jungmin Shin

Solar flare activity is characterised by different classification systems, both in optical and X-ray ranges. The most generally accepted classifications of solar flares describe important parameters of flares such as the maximum of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-28 Elena Bruevich

Solar flares, especially the M- and X-class flares, are often associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs). They are the most important sources of space weather effects, that can severely impact the near-Earth environment. Thus it is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-02 Hewei Zhang , Qin Li , Yanxing Yang , Ju Jing , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang , Zuofeng Shang

Among the eruptive activity phenomena observed on the Sun, the most technology threatening ones are flares with associated coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and solar energetic particles (SEPs). Flares with associated CMEs and SEPs are produced…

This paper presents a post hoc analysis of a deep learning-based full-disk solar flare prediction model. We used hourly full-disk line-of-sight magnetogram images and selected binary prediction mode to predict the occurrence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Chetraj Pandey , Rafal A. Angryk , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Berkay Aydin

In this paper, we introduce a novel methodology for leveraging shape-based characteristics of magnetograms of active region (AR) patches and provide a novel capability for predicting solar flares covering the entirety of the solar disk (AR…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Chetraj Pandey , Temitope Adeyeha , Jinsu Hong , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

In this work, six convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been trained based on %different feature images and arrays from the database including 15,638 superflare candidates on solar-type stars, which are collected from the three-years…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-19 Zuo-Lin Tu , Qin Wu , Wenbo Wang , G. Q. Zhang , Zi-Ke Liu , F. Y. Wang

Solar flares not only pose risks to outer space technologies and astronauts' well being, but also cause disruptions on earth to our hight-tech, interconnected infrastructure our lives highly depend on. While a number of machine-learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Junzhi Wen , Md Reazul Islam , Azim Ahmadzadeh , Rafal A. Angryk

This paper explores the application of machine learning methods for classifying astronomical sources using photometric data, including normal and emission line galaxies (ELGs; starforming, starburst, AGN, broad line), quasars, and stars. We…

Machine learning is nowadays the methodology of choice for flare forecasting and supervised techniques, in both their traditional and deep versions, are becoming the most frequently used ones for prediction in this area of space weather.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-25 Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Anna Maria Massone , Michele Piana

With machine learning entering into the awareness of the heliophysics community, solar flare prediction has become a topic of increased interest. Although machine learning models have advanced with each successive publication, the input…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-11 Brandon Panos , Lucia Kleint

High energy solar flares and coronal mass ejections have the potential to destroy Earth's ground and satellite infrastructures, causing trillions of dollars in damage and mass human suffering. Destruction of these critical systems would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Erik Larsen

Solar flares - bursts of high-energy radiation responsible for severe space-weather effects - are a consequence of the occasional destabilization of magnetic fields rooted in active regions (ARs). The complexity of AR evolution is a barrier…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-27 Dattaraj B. Dhuri , Shravan M. Hanasoge , Mark C. M. Cheung

Solar flares are explosions in the solar atmosphere that release intense bursts of short-wavelength radiation and are capable of producing severe space-weather consequences. Flares release free energy built up in coronal fields, which are…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-05 Shamik Bhattacharjee , Rasha Alshehhi , Dattaraj B. Dhuri , Shravan M. Hanasoge

This paper contributes to the growing body of research on deep learning methods for solar flare prediction, primarily focusing on highly overlooked near-limb flares and utilizing the attribution methods to provide a post hoc qualitative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-27 Chetraj Pandey , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin