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Empirical studies using Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs often explore heterogeneous treatment effects based on pretreatment covariates, even though no formal statistical methods exist for such analyses. This has led to the widespread…

We propose a nonparametric bivariate time-varying coefficient model for longitudinal measurements with the occurrence of a terminal event that is subject to right censoring. The time-varying coefficients capture the longitudinal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Yue Wang , Bin Nan , Jack D. Kalbfleisch

In this paper, we consider a wide class of time-varying multivariate causal processes which nests many classic and new examples as special cases. We first prove the existence of a weakly dependent stationary approximation for our model…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-02 Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Wei Biao Wu , Yayi Yan

Difference-in-differences (DiD) is the most popular observational causal inference method in health policy, employed to evaluate the real-world impact of policies and programs. To estimate treatment effects, DiD relies on the "parallel…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-09 Shuo Feng , Ishani Ganguli , Youjin Lee , John Poe , Andrew Ryan , Alyssa Bilinski

Concerning bivariate least squares linear regression, the classical approach pursued for functional models in earlier attempts is reviewed using a new formalism in terms of deviation (matrix) traces. Within the framework of classical error…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-03-08 R. Caimmi

Estimating an individual's counterfactual outcomes under interventions is a challenging task for traditional causal inference and supervised learning approaches when the outcome is high-dimensional (e.g. gene expressions, facial images) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Yulun Wu , Louie McConnell , Claudia Iriondo

Regression models with both high-dimensional responses and covariates have attracted growing attention. Standard multivariate regression models become inadequate when the response variables depend not only on observed covariates but also on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Yunxiao Chen , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

We study the problem of learning fair prediction models for unseen test sets distributed differently from the train set. Stability against changes in data distribution is an important mandate for responsible deployment of models. The domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Harvineet Singh , Rina Singh , Vishwali Mhasawade , Rumi Chunara

Undertaking causal inference with observational data is incredibly useful across a wide range of tasks including the development of medical treatments, advertisements and marketing, and policy making. There are two significant challenges…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-19 Matthew James Vowels , Necati Cihan Camgoz , Richard Bowden

Inferring individualised treatment effects from observational data can unlock the potential for targeted interventions. It is, however, hard to infer these effects from observational data. One major problem that can arise is covariate shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Damian Machlanski , Spyros Samothrakis , Paul Clarke

Financial event studies, ubiquitous in finance research, typically use linear factor models with known factors to estimate abnormal returns and identify causal effects of information events. This paper demonstrates that when factor models…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-20 Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham , Tianshu Lyu

Recent advances in causal mediation analysis have formalized conditions for estimating direct and indirect effects in various contexts. These approaches have been extended to a number of models for survival outcomes including accelerated…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-11 Isabel R. Fulcher , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Paige L. Williams

While logistic regression models are easily accessible to researchers, when applied to network data there are unrealistic assumptions made about the dependence structure of the data. For temporal networks measured in discrete time, recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Daniel K. Sewell

Varying coefficient models are useful in applications where the effect of the covariate might depend on some other covariate such as time or location. Various applications of these models often give rise to case-specific prior distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-05 Maria Franco-Villoria , Massimo Ventrucci , Håvard Rue

Inferring the causal direction between two variables from their observation data is one of the most fundamental and challenging topics in data science. A causal direction inference algorithm maps the observation data into a binary value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-08 Yulai Zhang , Jiachen Wang , Gang Cen , Guiming Luo

Regression analysis is commonly conducted in survey sampling. However, existing methods fail when the relationships vary across different areas or domains. In this paper, we propose a unified framework to study the group-wise covariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-25 Mingjun Gang , Xin Wang , Zhonglei Wang , Wei Zhong

Applied analysts often use the differences-in-differences (DID) method to estimate the causal effect of policy interventions with observational data. The method is widely used, as the required before and after comparison of a treated and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-04 Luke J. Keele , Dylan S. Small , Jesse Y. Hsu , Colin B. Fogarty

We propose a framework combining detrended fluctuation analysis with standard regression methodology. The method is built on detrended variances and covariances and it is designed to estimate regression parameters at different scales and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Ladislav Kristoufek

Multivariate regression model is a natural generalization of the classical univari- ate regression model for fitting multiple responses. In this paper, we propose a high- dimensional multivariate conditional regression model for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-26 Junhui Wang

Covariate-specific treatment effects (CSTEs) represent heterogeneous treatment effects across subpopulations defined by certain selected covariates. In this article, we consider marginal structural models where CSTEs are linearly…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Peng Wu , Zhiqiang Tan , Wenjie Hu , Xiao-Hua Zhou