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We extend the recently introduced regularization/Bayesian System Identification procedures to the estimation of time-varying systems. Specifically, we consider an online setting, in which new data become available at given time steps. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-26 Giulia Prando , Diego Romeres , Alessandro Chiuso

We introduce the concept of numerical Gaussian processes, which we define as Gaussian processes with covariance functions resulting from temporal discretization of time-dependent partial differential equations. Numerical Gaussian processes,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-31 Maziar Raissi , Paris Perdikaris , George Em Karniadakis

A method for sequential inference of the fixed parameters of a dynamic latent Gaussian models is proposed and evaluated that is based on the iterated Laplace approximation. The method provides a useful trade-off between computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-29 Tiep Mai , Simon Wilson

We consider delay differential equations with a polynomially distributed delay. We derive an equivalent system of delay differential equations, which includes just two discrete delays. The stability of the equivalent system and its…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-27 Roland Pulch

We propose here a method to estimate a delay from a time series taking advantage of analysis of random walks with delay. This method is applicable to a time series coming out of a system which is or can be approximated as a linear feedback…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 Toru Ohira , Ryusuke Sawatari

This paper proposes a new formulation of functional Gaussian Process regression in manifolds, based on an Empirical Bayes approach, in the spatiotemporal random field context. We apply the machinery of tight Gaussian measures in separable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 MD Ruiz-Medina , AE Madrid , A Torres-Signes , JM Angulo

When modelling time series, it is common to decompose observed variation into a "signal" process, the process of interest, and "noise", representing nuisance factors that obfuscate the signal. To separate signal from noise, assumptions must…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-11 Richard Creswell , Ben Lambert , Chon Lok Lei , Martin Robinson , David Gavaghan

In this paper, we introduce the notion of Gaussian processes indexed by probability density functions for extending the Mat\'ern family of covariance functions. We use some tools from information geometry to improve the efficiency and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-09 A. Fradi , Y. Feunteun , C. Samir , M. Baklouti , F. Bachoc , J-M. Loubes

We propose a novel feedback controller for a class of uncertain higher-order nonlinear systems, subject to delays in both state measurement and control input signals. Building on the prescribed performance control framework, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-11 Thomas Berger , Lampros N. Bikas , Jan Hachmeister , George A. Rovithakis

The numerical solution of differential equations can be formulated as an inference problem to which formal statistical approaches can be applied. However, nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) pose substantial challenges from an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Oksana Chkrebtii , T. J. Sullivan , Chris. J. Oates

We propose a deep unfolding-based approach for stabilization of time-delay linear systems. Deep unfolding is an emerging framework for design and improvement of iterative algorithms and attracting significant attentions in signal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-20 Masaki Ogura , Koki Kobayashi , Kenji Sugimoto

Delay differential equations (DDEs) with large delays play a pivotal role in understanding stability and bifurcations in systems ranging from neural networks to laser dynamics. While prior work has extensively studied DDEs with discrete…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Isam Al-Darabsah , Sue Ann Campbell , Bootan Rahman

Ordinary differential equation models are used to describe dynamic processes across biology. To perform likelihood-based parameter inference on these models, it is necessary to specify a statistical process representing the contribution of…

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

A novel adaptive identifier is developed for nonlinear time-delay systems composed of linear, Lipschitz and non-Lipschitz components. To begin with, an identifier is designed for uncertain systems with a priori known delay values, and then…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-06 Igor Furtat , Yury Orlov

We introduce a simple, rigorous, and unified framework for solving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs), and for solving inverse problems (IPs) involving the identification of parameters in PDEs, using the framework of Gaussian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Yifan Chen , Bamdad Hosseini , Houman Owhadi , Andrew M Stuart

Multipath time-delay estimation is commonly encountered in radar and sonar signal processing. In some real-life environments, impulse noise is ubiquitous and significantly degrades estimation performance. Here, we propose a Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-16 Xingyu Ji , Lei Cheng , Hangfang Zhao

One goal in Bayesian machine learning is to encode prior knowledge into prior distributions, to model data efficiently. We consider prior knowledge from systems of linear partial differential equations together with their boundary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Markus Lange-Hegermann
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