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We apply recent ideas about complexity and randomness to the philosophy of laws and chances. We develop two ways to use algorithmic randomness to characterize probabilistic laws of nature. The first, a generative chance* law, employs a…
A necessary condition is given for a sequence of identically distributed and pairwise positively quadrant dependent random variables obeying the strong laws of large numbers with respect to the normalising constants $n^{1/p}$ $(1 \leqslant…
This paper explores various distributional aspects of random variables defined as the ratio of two independent positive random variables where one variable has an $\alpha$-stable law, for $0<\alpha<1$, and the other variable has the law…
An infinite convergent sum of independent and identically distributed random variables discounted by a multiplicative random walk is called perpetuity, because of a possible actuarial application. We give three disjoint groups of sufficient…
The paper proposes a natural measure space of zero-sum perfect information games with upper semicontinuous payoffs. Each game is specified by the game tree, and by the assignment of the active player and of the capacity to each node of the…
We study conditioning on null events, or surprises, and behaviorally characterize the Ordered Surprises (OS) representation of beliefs. For feasible events, our Decision Maker (DM) is Bayesian. For null events, our DM considers a hierarchy…
We consider n by n real matrices whose entries are non-degenerate random variables that are independent but non necessarily identically distributed, and show that the probability that such a matrix is singular is O(1/sqrt{n}). The purpose…
For general penalized Markov processes with soft killing, we propose a simple criterion ensuring uniform convergence of conditional distributions in Wasserstein distance to a unique quasi-stationary distribution. We give several examples of…
Consider a random sum $\eta_1 v_1 + ... + \eta_n v_n$, where $\eta_1,...,\eta_n$ are i.i.d. random signs and $v_1,...,v_n$ are integers. The Littlewood-Offord problem asks to maximize concentration probabilities such as $\P(\eta_1 v_1 + ...…
``Behind every limit theorem, there is an inequality'' said Kolmogorov. We say ``for every inequality, there is an approximate inequality under approximate regularity conditions.'' Suppose $X, X'$ are independent and identically distributed…
In a recent paper [1], it has been claimed that the outcomes of a quantum coin toss which is idealized as an infinite binary sequence is 1-random. We also defend the correctness of this claim and assert that the outcomes of quantum…
De Finetti's theorem, also called the de Finetti-Hewitt-Savage theorem, is a foundational result in probability and statistics. Roughly, it says that an infinite sequence of exchangeable random variables can always be written as a mixture…
We define the family of {\it locally path-bounded} digraphs, which is a class of infinite digraphs, and show that on this class it is relatively easy to compute an optimal strategy (winning or nonlosing); and realize a win, when possible,…
Two infinite walks on the same finite graph are called compatible if it is possible to introduce delays into them in such a way that they never collide. Years ago, Peter Winkler asked the question: for which graphs are two independent walks…
Information and uncertainty are closely related and extensively studied concepts in a number of scientific disciplines such as communication theory, probability theory, and statistics. Increasing the information arguably reduces the…
For a general renewal process $N$ (allowing delay, defect and multiple simultaneous arrivals) the independence of the first renewal epochs of the marked processes got from $N$ by Bernoulli $0$/$1$ thinning is characterized. This…
Irreversible aggregation is revisited in view of recent work on renormalization of complex networks. Its scaling laws and phase transitions are related to percolation transitions seen in the latter. We illustrate our points by giving the…
Let $\alpha\in(0,1)_\mathbb{R}$ be irrational and $G_n = G_{{n, 1/n}^\alpha}$ be the random graph with edge probability $1/n^\alpha$; we know that it satisfies the 0-1 law for first order logic. We deal with the failure of the 0-1 law for…
We study a general class of random walks driven by a uniquely ergodic Markovian environment. Under a coupling condition on the environment we obtain strong ergodicity properties and concentration inequalities for the environment as seen…
We prove a general ergodic-theoretic result concerning the return time statistic, which, properly understood, sheds some new light on the common sense phenomenon known as {\it the law of series}. Let \proc be an ergodic process on finitely…