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Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

The Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) simulates complex interactions between the coupled Earth and human systems, providing valuable insights into the co-evolution of land, water, and energy sectors under different future scenarios.…

One of the major sources of uncertainty in the current generation of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is the representation of sub-grid scale physical processes. Over the years, a series of deep-learning-based parameterization schemes have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Shuochen Wang , Nishant Yadav , Auroop R. Ganguly

The Earth's weather system encompasses intricate weather data modalities and diverse weather understanding tasks, which hold significant value to human life. Existing data-driven models focus on single weather understanding tasks (e.g.,…

Climate simulations, at all grid resolutions, rely on approximations that encapsulate the forcing due to unresolved processes on resolved variables, known as parameterizations. Parameterizations often lead to inaccuracies in climate models,…

World models (WMs) demonstrate strong capabilities in prediction, generation, and planning tasks. Existing WMs primarily focus on unstructured data and cannot leverage the ubiquitous structured data, often represented as graphs, in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Tao Feng , Yexin Wu , Guanyu Lin , Jiaxuan You

Post-processing typically takes the outputs of a Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model and applies linear statistical techniques to produce improve localized forecasts, by including additional observations, or determining systematic…

Predictions of global climate models typically operate on coarse spatial scales due to the large computational costs of climate simulations. This has led to a considerable interest in methods for statistical downscaling, a similar process…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Christina Winkler , Paula Harder , David Rolnick

Using machine learning (ML), high performance computing, and a large body of geospatial information, we develop surrogate models to predict soil liquefaction across regional scales. Two sets of models - one global and one specific to New…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Morgan D. Sanger , Mertcan Geyin , Brett W. Maurer

Accurate weather and climate modeling is critical for both scientific advancement and safeguarding communities against environmental risks. Traditional approaches rely heavily on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models, which simulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Muhammad Akhtar Munir , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Salman Khan

Accurate weather forecasts are important for disaster prevention, agricultural planning, etc. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods offer physically interpretable high-accuracy predictions but are computationally expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Ruiqi Shu , Huanshuo Dong , Fan Xu , Rui Ray Chen , Yibo Yan , Qingsong Wen , Xuming Hu , Kun Wang , Jiahao Wu , Qing Li , Hui Xiong , Xiaomeng Huang

Due to computational constraints, climate simulations cannot resolve a range of small-scale physical processes, which have a significant impact on the large-scale evolution of the climate system. Parameterization is an approach to capture…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-12 Cem Gultekin , Adam Subel , Cheng Zhang , Matan Leibovich , Pavel Perezhogin , Alistair Adcroft , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Laure Zanna

Accurately representing surface precipitation is crucial for the operational use of weather and climate models. Presently, global numerical weather prediction (NWP) models struggle to accurately generate precipitation due to their…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-30 Raul Moreno , Dale Durran

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) and machine learning (ML) methods are popular for solar forecasting. However, NWP models have multiple possible physical parameterizations, which requires site-specific NWP optimization. This is further…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Nigel Yuan Yun Ng , Harish Gopalan , Venugopalan S. G. Raghavan , Chin Chun Ooi

Local spatial models such as Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) and Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) serve as instrumental tools to capture intrinsic contextual effects through the estimates of the local intercepts…

In climate modelling, the reality of simulated flows in the middle atmosphere is largely affected by the model's representation of gravity wave processes that are unresolved, while these processes are usually simplified to facilitate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-26 Young-Ha Kim , Georg S. Voelker , Gergely Bölöni , Günther Zängl , Ulrich Achatz

Sub-grid scale parameterizations in atmospheric models involve numerous uncertain parameters that must be tuned to align simulations with observations. Here, we propose a framework for assessing objective tuning frameworks using the Single…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-07 Pappu Paul , Cristian Proistosescu

Can we improve the modeling of urban land surface processes with machine learning (ML)? A prior comparison of urban land surface models (ULSMs) found that no single model is 'best' at predicting all common surface fluxes. Here, we develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 David Meyer , Sue Grimmond , Peter Dueben , Robin Hogan , Maarten van Reeuwijk

Climate change is accelerating the frequency and severity of unprecedented events, deviating from established patterns. Predicting these out-of-distribution (OOD) events is critical for assessing risks and guiding climate adaptation. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Maria Conchita Agana Navarro , Geng Li , Theo Wolf , María Pérez-Ortiz

Spatial data collected worldwide at a huge number of locations are frequently used in environmental and climate studies. Spatial modelling for this type of data presents both methodological and computational challenges. In this work we…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-16 Fedele Greco , Massimo Ventrucci , Elisa Castelli
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