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Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

In this article we consider the filtering problem associated to partially observed diffusions, with observations following a marked point process. In the model, the data form a point process with observation times that have its intensity…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-17 Miguel Alvarez , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

In this paper, we study the estimation of drift and diffusion coefficients in a two dimensional system of N interacting particles modeled by a degenerate stochastic differential equation. We consider both complete and partial observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Chiara Amorino , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė

A Kalman filter can be used to determine material parameters using uncertain experimental data. However, starting with inappropriate initial values for material parameters might include false local attractors or even divergence. Also,…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-02-13 Abdallah Shokry , Per Ståhle

In this paper the filtering of partially observed diffusions, with discrete-time observations, is considered. It is assumed that only biased approximations of the diffusion can be obtained, for choice of an accuracy parameter indexed by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-19 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Kody J. H. Law , Yan Zhou

We study the problem of parameter estimation for a univariate discretely observed ergodic diffusion process given as a solution to a stochastic differential equation. The estimation procedure we propose consists of two steps. In the first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

We consider partially observed multiscale diffusion models that are specified up to an unknown vector parameter. We establish for a very general class of test functions that the filter of the original model converges to a filter of reduced…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Existing deterministic variational inference approaches for diffusion processes use simple proposals and target the marginal density of the posterior. We construct the variational process as a controlled version of the prior process and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Christian Wildner , Heinz Koeppl

This paper examines learning the optimal filtering policy, known as the Kalman gain, for a linear system with unknown noise covariance matrices using noisy output data. The learning problem is formulated as a stochastic policy optimization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-27 Shahriar Talebi , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Mehran Mesbahi

We construct a novel estimator for the diffusion coefficient of the limiting homogenized equation, when observing the slow dynamics of a multiscale model, in the case when the slow dynamics are of bounded variation. Previous research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Theodoros Manikas , Anastasia Papavasiliou

This paper presents a novel Wasserstein distributionally robust control and state estimation algorithm for partially observable linear stochastic systems, where the probability distributions of disturbances and measurement noises are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-05 Minhyuk Jang , Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

This paper is the first part of a series of papers on filtering for partially observed jump diffusions satisfying a stochastic differential equation driven by Wiener processes and Poisson martingale measures. The coefficients of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-18 Fabian Germ , István Gyöngy

In this paper, we consider the filtering problem for partially observed diffusions, which are regularly observed at discrete times. We are concerned with the case when one must resort to time-discretization of the diffusion process if the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Marco Ballesio , Ajay Jasra , Erik von Schwerin , Raul Tempone

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

Many nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter, e.g., the extended and the unscented Kalman filter, reduce the state densities to Gaussian densities. This approximation gives sufficient results in many cases. However, this filters only…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-19 Oliver Grothe

We consider the problem of statistical inference for a class of partially-observed diffusion processes, with discretely-observed data and finite-dimensional parameters. We construct unbiased estimators of the score function, i.e. the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-12 Jeremy Heng , Jeremie Houssineau , Ajay Jasra

We consider the problem of randomly choosing the sensors of a linear time-invariant dynamical system subject to process and measurement noise. We sample the sensors independently and from the same distribution. We measure the performance of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-23 Christopher I. Calle , Shaunak D. Bopardikar

The classic, two-component, crust-superfluid model of a neutron star can be formulated as a noise-driven, linear dynamical system, in which the angular velocities of the crust and superfluid are tracked using a Kalman filter applied to…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2021-07-14 Patrick M. Meyers , Nicholas J. O'Neill , Andrew Melatos , Robin J. Evans

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

In this paper we develop a nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate of the mixing distribution of the parameters of a linear stochastic dynamical system. This includes, for example, pharmacokinetic population models with process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-16 Alona Kryshchenko , Alan Schumitzky , Mike van Guilder , Michael Neely