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We introduce a gradient-based learning method to automatically adapt Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) proposal distributions to intractable targets. We define a maximum entropy regularised objective function, referred to as generalised speed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-07 Michalis K. Titsias , Petros Dellaportas

In this paper we examine the implications of the statistical large sample theory for the computational complexity of Bayesian and quasi-Bayesian estimation carried out using Metropolis random walks. Our analysis is motivated by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-26 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov

One main limitation of the existing optimal scaling results for Metropolis--Hastings algorithms is that the assumptions on the target distribution are unrealistic. In this paper, we consider optimal scaling of random-walk Metropolis…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-05 Jun Yang , Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We examine the behaviour of the pseudo-marginal random walk Metropolis algorithm, where evaluations of the target density for the accept/reject probability are estimated rather than computed precisely. Under relatively general conditions on…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-31 Chris Sherlock , Alexandre H. Thiery , Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling methods provide a mechanism for defining distant proposals with high acceptance probabilities in a Metropolis-Hastings framework, enabling more efficient exploration of the state space than standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 Tianqi Chen , Emily B. Fox , Carlos Guestrin

We develop an iterative framework for Bayesian inference problems where the posterior distribution may involve computationally intensive models, intractable gradients, significant posterior concentration, and pronounced non-Gaussianity. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-16 Daniel Sharp , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Youssef Marzouk

Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for learning from complex data and reasoning under uncertainty. It has been widely applied in machine learning tasks such as medical diagnosis, drug design, and policymaking. In these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Wanrong Zhang , Ruqi Zhang

We investigate the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to sample posterior distribution in a Bayesian inverse problem, where the likelihood function is random. Concretely, we consider the case where one has full field observations of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Emil Løvbak , Sebastian Krumscheid

The Reversible Jump algorithm is one of the most widely used Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for Bayesian estimation and model selection. A generalized multiple-try version of this algorithm is proposed. The algorithm is based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-14 S. Pandolfi , F. Bartolucci , N. Friel

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm has been extensively studied in the estimation and simulation literature, with most prior work focusing on convergence behavior and asymptotic theory. However, its covariance structure-an important…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-03 Jingyi Zhang , James C. Spall

The classical Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm can be extended to generate non-reversible Markov chains. This is achieved by means of a modification of the acceptance probability, using the notion of vorticity matrix. The resulting Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens

We study the Multiple-try Metropolis algorithm using the framework of Poincar\'e inequalities. We describe the Multiple-try Metropolis as an auxiliary variable implementation of a resampling approximation to an ideal Metropolis--Hastings…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-18 Rocco Caprio , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang

Monte Carlo approaches have recently been proposed to quantify connectivity in neuronal networks. The key problem is to sample from the conditional distribution of a single neuronal spike train, given the activity of the other neurons in…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-01 Yuriy Mishchenko , Liam Paninski

In this paper, we consider the well known problem of non-linear identification of the rates of the reactions involved in cells with Monod functions. In bioprocesses, generating data is very expensive and long and so it is important to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-08 Kévin Colin , Håkan Hjalmarsson , Véronique Chotteau

We deal with Bayesian inference for Beta autoregressive processes. We restrict our attention to the class of conditionally linear processes. These processes are particularly suitable for forecasting purposes, but are difficult to estimate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-03 R. Casarin , L. Dalla Valle , F. Leisen

The multi-point Metropolis algorithm is an advanced MCMC technique based on drawing several correlated samples at each step and choosing one of them according to some normalized weights. We propose a variation of this technique where the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-10-18 Luca Martino , Victor Pascual Del Olmo , Jesse Read

This paper is concerned with Bayesian inferential methods for data from controlled branching processes that account for model robustness through the use of disparities. Under regularity conditions, we establish that estimators built on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-19 M. González , C. Minuesa , I. del Puerto , A. N. Vidyashankar

This paper introduces a framework for speeding up Bayesian inference conducted in presence of large datasets. We design a Markov chain whose transition kernel uses an (unknown) fraction of (fixed size) of the available data that is randomly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-01 Florian Maire , Nial Friel , Pierre Alquier

There is a lack of simple and scalable algorithms for uncertainty quantification. Bayesian methods quantify uncertainty through posterior and predictive distributions, but it is difficult to rapidly estimate summaries of these…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-28 Cheng Li , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

We propose a Bayesian inference approach for a class of latent Markov models. These models are widely used for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data, when the interest is in studying the evolution of an individual unobservable…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-05 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Pandolfi
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