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This paper studies identification and inference of the welfare gain that results from switching from one policy (such as the status quo policy) to another policy. The welfare gain is not point identified in general when data are obtained…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-12 Undral Byambadalai

Bayesian nonparametric estimates of Australian mental health distributions are obtained to assess how the mental health status of the population has changed over time and to compare the mental health status of female/male and…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-16 David Gunawan , William Griffiths , Duangkamon Chotikapanich

Decision theory does not traditionally include uncertainty over utility functions. We argue that the a person's utility value for a given outcome can be treated as we treat other domain attributes: as a random variable with a density…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Urszula Chajewska , Daphne Koller

We consider the estimation of wealth inequality measures with their confidence interval, based on survey data with interval censoring. We rely on a Bayesian hierarchical model. It consists of a model where, due to survey sampling and unit…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-01 Eric Gautier

Measurement of well-being has been a highly debated topic since the end of the last century. While some specific aspects are still open issues, a multidimensional approach as well as the construction of shared and well-rooted systems of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-19 Federica Onori , Giovanna Jona Lasinio

We study how a monopolist's use of consumer data for price discrimination affects welfare. To answer this question, we develop a model of market segmentation subject to residual uncertainty. We fully characterize when data usage…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-20 Maryam Farboodi , Nima Haghpanah , Ali Shourideh

We employ a flexible parametric model to estimate global income, health, and education distributions from 1980 to 2015. Using these marginal distributions within a copula-based framework, we construct a global joint distribution of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-31 Koen Decancq , Vanesa Jorda

This paper proposes asymptotically distribution-free inference methods for comparing a broad range of welfare indices across dependent samples, including those employed in inequality, poverty, and risk analysis. Two distinct situations are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-29 Jean-Marie Dufour , Tianyu He

We derive a Bayesian framework for incorporating selection effects into population analyses. We allow for both measurement uncertainty in individual measurements and, crucially, for selection biases on the population of measurements, and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-04-10 Ilya Mandel , Will M. Farr , Jonathan R. Gair

This paper is motivated by the panel surveys, called Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (SILC), conducted annually on (randomly selected) country-representative households to monitor EU 2020 aims on poverty reduction. We…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-04 Özgür Asar

The standard approach to Bayesian inference is based on the assumption that the distribution of the data belongs to the chosen model class. However, even a small violation of this assumption can have a large impact on the outcome of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-22 Jeffrey W. Miller , David B. Dunson

Intersectionality is a framework that analyzes how interlocking systems of power and oppression affect individuals along overlapping dimensions including race, gender, sexual orientation, class, and disability. Intersectionality theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-11 James Foulds , Rashidul Islam , Kamrun Keya , Shimei Pan

Spaces with locally varying scale of measurement, like multidimensional structures with differently scaled dimensions, are pretty common in statistics and machine learning. Nevertheless, it is still understood as an open question how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Christoph Jansen , Georg Schollmeyer , Hannah Blocher , Julian Rodemann , Thomas Augustin

In this paper, we develop a family of bivariate beta distributions that encapsulate both positive and negative correlations, and which can be of general interest for Bayesian inference. We then invoke a use of these bivariate distributions…

Although being a crucial question for the development of machine learning algorithms, there is still no consensus on how to compare classifiers over multiple data sets with respect to several criteria. Every comparison framework is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-06 Christoph Jansen , Malte Nalenz , Georg Schollmeyer , Thomas Augustin

The analysis of data from multiple experiments, such as observations of several individuals, is commonly approached using mixed-effects models, which account for variation between individuals through hierarchical representations. This makes…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-05 Henrik Häggström , Sebastian Persson , Marija Cvijovic , Umberto Picchini

Reinforcement learning studies how to balance exploration and exploitation in real-world systems, optimizing interactions with the world while simultaneously learning how the world operates. One general class of algorithms for such learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-10 Iñigo Urteaga , Chris H. Wiggins

Information policies such as scores, ratings, and recommendations are increasingly shaping society's choices in high-stakes domains. We provide a framework to study the welfare implications of information policies on a population of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-09-06 Laura Doval , Alex Smolin

Most analyses of manipulation of voting schemes have adopted two assumptions that greatly diminish their practical import. First, it is usually assumed that the manipulators have full knowledge of the votes of the nonmanipulating agents.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Tyler Lu , Pingzhong Tang , Ariel D. Procaccia , Craig Boutilier

We combine Bayesian prediction and weighted inference as a unified approach to survey inference. The general principles of Bayesian analysis imply that models for survey outcomes should be conditional on all variables that affect the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Rob Trangucci , Jonah Sol Gabry , Andrew Gelman