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The randomized controlled trial (RCT) is the gold standard for estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) of a medical intervention but requires 100s-1000s of subjects, making it expensive and difficult to implement. While a cross-over…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-10 Sayeri Lala , Niraj K. Jha

This paper introduces a new method for change detection in psychometric studies based on the recently introduced pseudo Score statistic, for which the sampling distribution under the alternative hypothesis has been determined. Our approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-09 Nicoletta D'Angelo

Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrate strong reasoning capabilities for many tasks, often by explicitly decomposing the task via Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning. Recent work on LLM-based translation designs hand-crafted prompts to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Di Wu , Seth Aycock , Christof Monz

While counterfactual data augmentation offers a promising step towards robust generalization in natural language processing, producing a set of counterfactuals that offer valuable inductive bias for models remains a challenge. Most existing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Phillip Howard , Gadi Singer , Vasudev Lal , Yejin Choi , Swabha Swayamdipta

We study the problem of estimating the distribution of effect sizes (the mean of the test statistic under the alternate hypothesis) in a multiple testing setting. Knowing this distribution allows us to calculate the power (type II error) of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-28 Jennifer Brennan , Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Kevin Jamieson

The field of psychological sciences has been grappling with the replicability crisis. Various issues have been identified as potential sources of this problem. We bring to light a potential source that has largely been overlooked and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Yoav Zeevi , Sofi Astashenko , Liad Mudrik , Yoav Benjamini

We propose a practical and robust method for making inferences on average treatment effects estimated by synthetic controls. We develop a $K$-fold cross-fitting procedure for bias correction. To avoid the difficult estimation of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-26 Victor Chernozhukov , Kaspar Wuthrich , Yinchu Zhu

Background: It has long been advised to account for baseline covariates in the analysis of confirmatory randomised trials, with the main statistical justifications being that this increases power and, when a randomisation scheme balanced…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-09 Tim P. Morris , A. Sarah Walker , Elizabeth J. Williamson , Ian R. White

The policy relevant treatment effect (PRTE) measures the average effect of switching from a status-quo policy to a counterfactual policy. Estimation of the PRTE involves estimation of multiple preliminary parameters, including propensity…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-17 Yuya Sasaki , Takuya Ura

In conventional randomized controlled trials, adjustment for baseline values of covariates known to be at least moderately associated with the outcome increases the power of the trial. Recent work has shown particular benefit for more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica EM Moodie

The quality of the inferences we make from pathogen sequence data is determined by the number and composition of pathogen sequences that make up the sample used to drive that inference. However, there remains limited guidance on how to best…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-13 Lucy D'Agostino McGowan , Shirlee Wohl , Justin Lessler

We introduce a set of resampling-based methods for quantifying uncertainty and statistical precision of evaluation metrics in multilingual and/or multitask NLP benchmarks. We show how experimental variation in performance scores arises from…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Jonne Sälevä , Duygu Ataman , Constantine Lignos

In the big data era, the need to reevaluate traditional statistical methods is paramount due to the challenges posed by vast datasets. While larger samples theoretically enhance accuracy and hypothesis testing power without increasing false…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-09 Xuekui Zhang , Li Xing , Jing Zhang , Soojeong Kim

High dimensional case control studies are ubiquitous in the biological sciences, particularly genomics. To maximise power while constraining cost and to minimise type-1 error rates, researchers typically seek to replicate findings in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 James Liley

We study variants of the average treatment effect on the treated with population parameters replaced by their sample counterparts. For each estimand, we derive the limiting distribution with respect to a semiparametric efficient estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-12 Andrew Yiu

Bibliometricians face several issues when drawing and analyzing samples of citation records for their research. Drawing samples that are too small may make it difficult or impossible for studies to achieve their goals, while drawing samples…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-18 Richard Williams , Lutz Bornmann

When choosing estimands and estimators in randomized clinical trials, caution is warranted as intercurrent events, such as - due to patients who switch treatment after disease progression, are often extreme. Statistical analyses may then…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-13 Hege Michiels , An Vandebosch , Stijn Vansteelandt

Hierarchically-organized data arise naturally in many psychology and neuroscience studies. As the standard assumption of independent and identically distributed samples does not hold for such data, two important problems are to accurately…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Irene Dowding , Stefan Haufe

The generative large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for data augmentation tasks, where text samples are paraphrased (or generated anew) and then used for classifier fine-tuning. Existing works on augmentation leverage the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Jan Cegin , Branislav Pecher , Jakub Simko , Ivan Srba , Maria Bielikova , Peter Brusilovsky

In this paper, we discuss tests for mean vector of high-dimensional data when the dimension $p$ is a function of sample size $n$. One of the tests, called the decomposite $T^{2}$-test, in the high-dimensional testing problem is constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Chia-Hsuan Tsai , Ming-Tien Tsai
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