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Infectious diseases that incorporate pre-symptomatic transmission are challenging to monitor, model, predict and contain. We address this scenario by studying a variant of a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

We study the extinction time $\uptau$ of the contact process on finite trees of bounded degree. We show that, if the infection rate is larger than the critical rate for the contact process on $\Z$, then, uniformly over all trees of degree…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-15 Thomas Mountford , Jean-Christophe Mourrat , Daniel Valesin , Qiang Yao

The transmission dynamics of some infectious diseases is related to the contact structure between individuals in a network. We used five algorithms to generate contact networks with different topological structure but with the same…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-28 Raul Ossada , José H. H. Grisi-Filho , Fernando Ferreira , Marcos Amaku

The time process of transport on randomly evolving trees is investigated. By introducing the notions of living and dead nodes a model of random tree evolution is constructed which describes the spreading in time of objects corresponding to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Pal

The quadratic contact process (QCP) is a natural extension of the well studied linear contact process where infected (1) individuals infect susceptible (0) neighbors at rate $\lambda$ and infected individuals recover ($1 \longrightarrow 0$)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-28 Chris Varghese , Rick Durrett

We consider connectivity properties of certain i.i.d. random environments on $\Z^d$, where at each location some steps may not be available. Site percolation and oriented percolation can be viewed as special cases of the models we consider.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Mark Holmes , Thomas S. Salisbury

We study locally interacting processes in discrete time, often called probabilistic cellular automata, indexed by locally finite graphs. For infinite regular trees and certain generalized Galton-Watson trees, we show that the marginal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Daniel Lacker , Kavita Ramanan , Ruoyu Wu

Contagion processes have been proven to fundamentally depend on the structural properties of the interaction networks conveying them. Many real networked systems are characterized by clustered substructures representing either collections…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-01 Giulio Burgio , Alex Arenas , Sergio Gómez , Joan T. Matamalas

We propose a new model that describes the dynamics of epidemic spreading on connected graphs. Our model consists in a PDE-ODE system where at each vertex of the graph we have a standard SIR model and connexions between vertices are given by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Christophe Besse , Grégory Faye

The contact process is a non-equilibrium Hamiltonian model that, even in one dimension, lacks an exact solution and has been extensively studied via Monte Carlo simulations, both in steady-state and time-dependent scenarios. Although the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-15 Roberto da Silva , Eliseu Venites Filho , Henrique Almeida Fernandes , Paulo F. Gomes

The contact process is a particular case of birth-and-death processes on infinite particle configurations. We consider the contact models on locally compact separable metric spaces. We prove the existence of a one-parameter set of invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Sergey Pirogov , Elena Zhizhina

We analyze variants of the contact process that are built by modifying the percolative structure given by the graphical construction and develop a robust renormalization argument for proving extinction in such models. With this method, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Marcelo Hilário , Daniel Ungaretti , Daniel Valesin , Maria Eulália Vares

Drug resistance and strong contacts actually play crucial roles in epidemic spread in complex systems. Nevertheless, neither theoretical model or methodology is proposed to address this. We thus consider an edge-based epidemic spread model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-13 Peng-Bi Cui , Lei Gao , Wei Wang

We give a construction of a tree in which the contact process with any positive infection rate survives but, if a certain privileged edge $e^*$ is removed, one obtains two subtrees in which the contact process with infection rate smaller…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Réka Szabó , Daniel Valesin

We propose a novel infection spread model based on a random connection graph which represents connections between $n$ individuals. Infection spreads via connections between individuals and this results in a probabilistic cluster formation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Batuhan Arasli , Sennur Ulukus

The propagation of information in social, biological and technological systems represents a crucial component in their dynamic behavior. When limited to pairwise interactions, a rather firm grip is available on the relevant parameters and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-09-15 Z. Li , Z. Deng , Z. Han , K. Alfaro-Bittner , B. Barzel , S. Boccaletti

We consider contact processes on the hierarchical group, where sites infect other sites at a rate depending on their hierarchical distance, and sites become healthy with a constant recovery rate. If the infection rates decay too fast as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Siva R. Athreya , Jan M. Swart

We study phase transition and percolation at criticality for three random graph models on the plane, viz., the homogeneous and inhomogeneous enhanced random connection models (RCM) and the Poisson stick model. These models are built on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-03 Srikanth K. Iyer , Sanjoy Kr. Jhawar

We revisit the random tree model with nearest-neighbour interaction as described in previous work, enhancing growth. When the underlying free Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson (BGW) model is sub-critical, we show that the (non-Markov) model with…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Pierre Collet , François Dunlop , Thierry Huillet , Arif Mardin

Human diseases spread over networks of contacts between individuals and a substantial body of recent research has focused on the dynamics of the spreading process. Here we examine a model of two competing diseases spreading over the same…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-19 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman
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