Related papers: Large Deviations of Piecewise-Deterministic-Markov…
Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) are a class of continuous-time Markov processes that were recently used to develop a new class of Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. However, the implementation of the processes is…
For one-dimensional Jump-Drift and Jump-Diffusion processes converging towards some steady state, the large deviations of a long dynamical trajectory are described from two perspectives. Firstly, the joint probability of the empirical…
We consider the context of molecular motors modelled by a diffusion process driven by the gradient of a weakly periodic potential that depends on an internal degree of freedom. The switch of the internal state, that can freely be…
We present a systematic analysis of stochastic processes conditioned on an empirical measure $Q_T$ defined in a time interval $[0,T]$ for large $T$. We build our analysis starting from a discrete time Markov chain. Results for a continuous…
Probabilistic model checking can provide formal guarantees on the behavior of stochastic models relating to a wide range of quantitative properties, such as runtime, energy consumption or cost. But decision making is typically with respect…
We consider multiscale stochastic spatial gene networks involving chemical reactions and diffusions. The model is Markovian and the transitions are driven by Poisson random clocks. We consider a case where there are two different spatial…
We consider the problem of estimating parameter sensitivities for stochastic models of multiscale reaction networks. These sensitivity values are important for model analysis, and, the methods that currently exist for sensitivity estimation…
Piecewise Diffusion Markov Processes (PDifMPs) are valuable for modelling systems where continuous dynamics are interrupted by sudden shifts and/or changes in drift and diffusion. The first-passage time (FPT) in such models plays a central…
The Whittaker 2d growth model is a triangular continuous Markov diffusion process that appears in many scientific contexts. It has been theoretically intriguing to establish a large deviation principle for this 2d process with a scaling…
Recently-proposed particle MCMC methods provide a flexible way of performing Bayesian inference for parameters governing stochastic kinetic models defined as Markov (jump) processes (MJPs). Each iteration of the scheme requires an estimate…
The event of large losses plays an important role in credit risk. As these large losses are typically rare, and portfolios usually consist of a large number of positions, large deviation theory is the natural tool to analyze the tail…
In this paper, we first provide a criterion on uniform large deviation principles (ULDP) of stochastic differential equations under Lyapunov conditions on the coefficients, which can be applied to stochastic systems with coefficients of…
In this paper, a condition-based imperfect maintenance model based on piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) is constructed. The degradation of the system includes two types: natural degradation and random shocks. The natural…
The inference of Markov models from data on stochastic dynamical trajectories over the large time-window $T$ is revisited via the Large Deviations at Level 2.5 for the time-empirical density and the time-empirical flows. The goal is to…
Determinantal Point Processes (DPPs) are a family of probabilistic models that have a repulsive behavior, and lend themselves naturally to many tasks in machine learning where returning a diverse set of objects is important. While there are…
This paper introduces a novel stochastic framework for modelling tax evasion dynamics by extending the deterministic model of Bertotti and Modanese (2018) through the use of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). A key limitation…
We develop the connection between large deviation theory and more applied approaches to stochastic hybrid systems by highlighting a common underlying Hamiltonian structure. A stochastic hybrid system involves the coupling between a…
In this paper, the large deviations on trajectory level for ergodic Markov processes are studied. These processes take values in the non-negative quadrant of the two dimension lattice and are concentrated on step-wise functions. The rates…
In this paper, we prove the large deviation principle (LDP) for stochastic differential equations driven by stochastic integrals in one dimension. The result can be proved with a minimal use of rough path theory, and this implies the LDP…
In this paper, we focus on numerical approximations of Piecewise Diffusion Markov Processes (PDifMPs), particularly when the explicit flow maps are unavailable. Our approach is based on the thinning method for modelling the jump mechanism…