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We study online conformal prediction for non-stationary data streams subject to unknown distribution drift. While most prior work studied this problem under adversarial settings and/or assessed performance in terms of gaps of time-averaged…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jiadong Liang , Zhimei Ren , Yuxin Chen

Online learning algorithms for dynamical systems provide finite time guarantees for control in the presence of sequentially revealed cost functions. We pose the classical linear quadratic tracking problem in the framework of online…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-18 Aren Karapetyan , Diego Bolliger , Anastasios Tsiamis , Efe C. Balta , John Lygeros

The goal of a learner, in standard online learning, is to have the cumulative loss not much larger compared with the best-performing function from some fixed class. Numerous algorithms were shown to have this gap arbitrarily close to zero,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-04 Nina Vaits , Edward Moroshko , Koby Crammer

Many machine learning algorithms can be interpreted as procedures for estimating functions defined on the data distribution. In this paper we present a conceptual framework that formulates a wide range of learning problems as variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 K. Lakshmanan

Improving algorithms via predictions is a very active research topic in recent years. This paper initiates the systematic study of mechanism design in this model. In a number of well-studied mechanism design settings, we make use of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Chenyang Xu , Pinyan Lu

Many prediction domains, such as ad placement, recommendation, trajectory prediction, and document summarization, require predicting a set or list of options. Such lists are often evaluated using submodular reward functions that measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-14 Stephane Ross , Jiaji Zhou , Yisong Yue , Debadeepta Dey , J. Andrew Bagnell

We consider the on-line predictive version of the standard problem of linear regression; the goal is to predict each consecutive response given the corresponding explanatory variables and all the previous observations. We are mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-22 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

In online learning, the data is provided in a sequential order, and the goal of the learner is to make online decisions to minimize overall regrets. This note is concerned with continuous-time models and algorithms for several online…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-20 Lexing Ying

We consider a general framework of online learning with expert advice where regret is defined with respect to sequences of experts accepted by a weighted automaton. Our framework covers several problems previously studied, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Mehryar Mohri , Scott Yang

Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users. Although applications of probabilistic prediction and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-19 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

Motivated by the predictable nature of real-life in data streams, we study online regression when the learner has access to predictions about future examples. In the extreme case, called transductive online learning, the sequence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Vinod Raman , Shenghao Xie , Samson Zhou

We introduce a framework for online structure theory. Our approach generalises notions arising independently in several areas of computability theory and complexity theory. We suggest a unifying approach using operators where we allow the…

Logic · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Rod Downey , Alexander Melnikov , Keng Meng Ng

Online model selection involves selecting a model from a set of candidate models 'on the fly' to perform prediction on a stream of data. The choice of candidate models henceforth has a crucial impact on the performance. Although employing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Pouya M. Ghari , Yanning Shen

In non-clairvoyant scheduling, the task is to find an online strategy for scheduling jobs with a priori unknown processing requirements with the objective to minimize the total (weighted) completion time. We revisit this well-studied…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Alexander Lindermayr , Nicole Megow

We present online prediction methods for time series that let us explicitly handle nonstationary artifacts (e.g. trend and seasonality) present in most real time series. Specifically, we show that applying appropriate transformations to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-28 Christopher Xie , Avleen Bijral , Juan Lavista Ferres

Online algorithms with predictions is a popular and elegant framework for bypassing pessimistic lower bounds in competitive analysis. In this model, online algorithms are supplied with future predictions, and the goal is for the competitive…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-12-23 Yossi Azar , Debmalya Panigrahi , Noam Touitou

Machine-learned predictors, although achieving very good results for inputs resembling training data, cannot possibly provide perfect predictions in all situations. Still, decision-making systems that are based on such predictors need not…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Antonios Antoniadis , Christian Coester , Marek Elias , Adam Polak , Bertrand Simon

We review the application of Statistical Mechanics methods to the study of online learning of a drifting concept in the limit of large systems. The model where a feed-forward network learns from examples generated by a time dependent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Renato Vicente , Osame Kinouchi , Nestor Caticha

Prediction models based on deep neural networks are increasingly gaining attention for fast and accurate virtual screening systems. For decision makings in virtual screening, researchers find it useful to interpret an output of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Soojung Yang , Kyung Hoon Lee , Seongok Ryu

Predictive learning has emerged as a central paradigm for training models across diverse data domains and is increasingly viewed as a foundation for modern artificial intelligence. A common intuition for this success is that accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Aviv Ratzon , Omri Barak