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With the proliferation of increasingly complicated Deep Learning architectures, data synthesis is a highly promising technique to address the demand of data-hungry models. However, reliably assessing the quality of a 'synthesiser' model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Julia A. Meister , Khuong An Nguyen

Conformal prediction (CP) for regression can be challenging, especially when the output distribution is heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed. Some of the issues can be addressed by estimating a distribution over the output, but in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Etash Guha , Shlok Natarajan , Thomas Möllenhoff , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Eugene Ndiaye

ICP algorithms typically involve a fixed choice of data association method and a fixed choice of error metric. In this paper, we propose Hybrid ICP, a novel and flexible ICP variant which dynamically optimises both the data association…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Kamil Dreczkowski , Edward Johns

Machine learning can benefit from causal discovery for interpretation and from causal inference for generalization. In this line of research, a few invariant learning algorithms for out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-06 Borja Guerrero Santillan

Invariant causal prediction (ICP) is a popular technique for finding causal parents (direct causes) of a target via exploiting distribution shifts and invariance testing (Peters et al., 2016). However, since ICP needs to run an exponential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Minh Nguyen , Mert R. Sabuncu

Credal sets are sets of probability distributions that are considered as candidates for an imprecisely known ground-truth distribution. In machine learning, they have recently attracted attention as an appealing formalism for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-19 Alireza Javanmardi , David Stutz , Eyke Hüllermeier

Iterative Closest Point (ICP) is a commonly used algorithm to estimate transformation between two point clouds. The key idea of this work is to leverage recent advances in explainable AI for probabilistic ICP methods that provide…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Ziyuan Qin , Jongseok Lee , Rudolph Triebel

This paper applies conformal prediction techniques to compute simultaneous prediction bands and clustering trees for functional data. These tools can be used to detect outliers and clusters. Both our prediction bands and clustering trees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-27 Jing Lei , Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman

Algorithms with predictions is a growing area that aims to leverage machine-learned predictions to design faster beyond-worst-case algorithms. In this paper, we use this framework to design a learned data structure for the incremental…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Ronald Deng , Samuel McCauley , Aidin Niaparast , Helia Niaparast , Bennett Ptak , Shirel Quintanilla , Shikha Singh , Nathan Vosburg

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Machine-learning techniques are essential in modern collider research, yet their probabilistic outputs often lack calibrated uncertainty estimates and finite-sample guarantees, limiting their direct use in statistical inference and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-12-22 Jack Y. Araz , Michael Spannowsky

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a popular method for uncertainty quantification with machine learning models. While conformal prediction provides probabilistic guarantees regarding the coverage of the true label, these guarantees are agnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Aditya T. Vadlamani , Anutam Srinivasan , Pranav Maneriker , Ali Payani , Srinivasan Parthasarathy

Context: The effectiveness of data selection approaches in improving the performance of cross project defect prediction(CPDP) has been shown in multiple previous studies. Beside that, replication studies play an important role in the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Seyedrebvar Hosseini , Burak Turhan

The safe integration of machine learning modules in decision-making processes hinges on their ability to quantify uncertainty. A popular technique to achieve this goal is conformal prediction (CP), which transforms an arbitrary base…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Matteo Zecchin , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone , Fredrik Hellström

Predictive coding networks are neuroscience-inspired models with roots in both Bayesian statistics and neuroscience. Training such models, however, is quite inefficient and unstable. In this work, we show how by simply changing the temporal…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Tommaso Salvatori , Yuhang Song , Yordan Yordanov , Beren Millidge , Zhenghua Xu , Lei Sha , Cornelius Emde , Rafal Bogacz , Thomas Lukasiewicz

The rapid evolution of Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) across various domains like mobility systems, networked control systems, sustainable manufacturing, smart power grids, and the Internet of Things necessitates innovative solutions that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Andreas A. Malikopoulos

Conformal predictions make it possible to define reliable and robust learning algorithms. But they are essentially a method for evaluating whether an algorithm is good enough to be used in practice. To define a reliable learning framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-18 Alberto Carlevaro , Teodoro Alamo Cantarero , Fabrizio Dabbene , Maurizio Mongelli

Conformal prediction is a framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets for previously unseen data, guaranteeing coverage of the true label with a specified probability. However, the efficiency of these prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

This paper presents a data-driven approach to the design of predictive controllers. The prediction matrices utilized in standard model predictive control (MPC) algorithms are typically constructed using knowledge of a system model such as,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-13 P. C. N. Verheijen , G. R. Gonçalves da Silva , M. Lazar

Data attribution methods are used to measure the contribution of training data towards model outputs, and have several important applications in areas such as dataset curation and model interpretability. However, many standard data…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Cathy Jiao , Gary Gao , Aditi Raghunathan , Chenyan Xiong