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A new general procedure for a priori selection of more predictable events from a time series of observed variable is proposed. The procedure is applicable to time series which contains different types of events that feature significantly…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Igor B. Konovalov

Variational inference has become one of the most widely used methods in latent variable modeling. In its basic form, variational inference employs a fully factorized variational distribution and minimizes its KL divergence to the posterior.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Robert Bamler , Cheng Zhang , Manfred Opper , Stephan Mandt

Considering the flexibility and applicability of Bayesian modeling, in this work we revise the main characteristics of two hierarchical models in a regression setting. We study the full probabilistic structure of the models along with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Juan Sosa , Jeimy Aristizabal

Symmetry properties of conservation laws of partial differential equations are developed by using the general method of conservation law multipliers. As main results, simple conditions are given for characterizing when a conservation law…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-12-21 Stephen C. Anco

The solution of time dependent differential equations with neural networks has attracted a lot of attention recently. The central idea is to learn the laws that govern the evolution of the solution from data, which might be polluted with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-14 Eike Hermann Müller

This paper extends, to a class of systems of semi-linear hyperbolic second order PDEs in three variables, the geometric study of a single nonlinear hyperbolic PDE in the plane as presented in [Anderson I.M., Kamran N., Duke Math. J. 87…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Sara Froehlich

A general principle is advanced allowing the classification of nonunique solutions to nonlinear evolution equations, corresponding to different spatio-temporal patterns. This is done by defining the probability distribution of patterns,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 V. I. Yukalov

Recent theories suggest that Neural Scaling Laws arise whenever the task is linearly decomposed into power-law distributed units. Alternatively, scaling laws also emerge when data exhibit a hierarchically compositional structure, as is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Francesco Cagnetta , Hyunmo Kang , Matthieu Wyart

A general theorem on conservation laws for arbitrary difference equations is proved. The theorem is based on an introduction of an adjoint system related with a given difference system, and it does not require the existence of a difference…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-07-08 Linyu Peng

Consider a high-dimensional linear regression problem, where the number of covariates is larger than the number of observations and the interest is in estimating the conditional variance of the response variable given the covariates. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-29 David Azriel

We investigate conservation laws of diffusion-convection equations to construct first-order potential systems corresponding to these equations. We do two iterations of the construction procedure, looking, in the second step, for the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Nataliya M. Ivanova

Covariance matrix estimation arises in multivariate problems including multivariate normal sampling models and regression models where random effects are jointly modeled, e.g. random-intercept, random-slope models. A Bayesian analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Ignacio Alvarez , Jarad Niemi , Matt Simpson

Each conservation law of a given partial differential equation is determined (up to equivalence) by a function known as the characteristic. This function is used to find conservation laws, to prove equivalence between conservation laws, and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-01-29 Timothy J. Grant , Peter E. Hydon

We develop a formula for the power-law decay of various sets for symmetric stable random vectors in terms of how many vectors from the support of the corresponding spectral measure are needed to enter the set. One sees different decay rates…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Malin Palö Forsström , Jeffrey E. Steif

We consider a Bayesian approach to variable selection in the presence of high dimensional covariates based on a hierarchical model that places prior distributions on the regression coefficients as well as on the model space. We adopt the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-28 Naveen Naidu Narisetty , Xuming He

We obtain a strong invariance principle for nonconventional sums and applying this result we derive for them a version of the law of iterated logarithm, as well as an almost sure central limit theorem. Among motivations for such results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-11 Yuri Kifer

We prove that under certain assumptions a partial differential equation can be derived from a variational principle. It is well-known from Noether's theorem that symmetries of a variational functional lead to conservation laws of the…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2019-10-07 Markus Dafinger

If the prior probability distributions of all possible hypothetical true means and all possible observed means of a continuous variable are conditional on the universal set of all numbers (i.e., before the nature of a study is known and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Huw Llewelyn

The hierarchical and recursive expressive capability of rooted trees is applicable to represent statistical models in various areas, such as data compression, image processing, and machine learning. On the other hand, such hierarchical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Akira Kamatsuka , Toshiyasu Matsushima

We propose a cautious Bayesian variable selection routine by investigating the sensitivity of a hierarchical model, where the regression coefficients are specified by spike and slab priors. We exploit the use of latent variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Jochen Einbeck
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