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Poyiadjis et al. (2011) show how particle methods can be used to estimate both the score and the observed information matrix for state space models. These methods either suffer from a computational cost that is quadratic in the number of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-07 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Lyudmila Mihaylova

In this paper, we consider nonlinear diffusion processes driven by space-time white noises, which have an interpretation in terms of partial differential equations. For a specific choice of coefficients, they correspond to the Landau…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Joaquin Fontbona , Helene Guerin , Sylvie Meleard

We revisit the Bayesian online inference problems for the linear dynamic systems (LDS) under non- Gaussian environment. The noises can naturally be non-Gaussian (skewed and/or heavy tailed) or to accommodate spurious observations, noises…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-23 Saikat Saha

We present an optimization-based method for the joint estimation of system parameters and noise covariances of linear time-variant systems. Given measured data, this method maximizes the likelihood of the parameters. We solve the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Léo Simpson , Andrea Ghezzi , Jonas Asprion , Moritz Diehl

The paper studies identification of linear systems with multiplicative noise from multiple-trajectory data. An algorithm based on the least-squares method and multiple-trajectory data is proposed for joint estimation of the nominal system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-07 Yu Xing , Benjamin Gravell , Xingkang He , Karl Henrik Johansson , Tyler Summers

I consider the role of detection noise in quantum-enhanced metrology in collective spin systems, and derive a fundamental bound for the maximum obtainable sensitivity for a given level of added detection noise. I then present an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-10-31 Simon A. Haine

We present a simple derivation of the stochastic equation obeyed by the density function for a system of Langevin processes interacting via a pairwise potential. The resulting equation is considerably different from the phenomenological…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 David S. Dean

This paper addresses sensitivity analysis for dynamic models, linking dependent inputs to observed outputs. The usual method to estimate Sobol indices are based on the independence of input variables. We present a method to overpass this…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-15 Mathilde Grandjacques , Alexandre Janon , Benoit Delinchant , Olivier Adrot

In this paper, we discuss a method to find the most influential power system parameters to the probabilistic transient stability assessment problem---finding the probability distribution of the critical clearing time. We perform the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-23 Raphael L. V. Fortulan , Luís F. C. Alberto

The paper introduces a novel methodology for the identification of coefficients of switched autoregressive linear models. We consider the case when the system's outputs are contaminated by possibly large values of measurement noise. It is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Sarah Hojjatinia , Constantino M. Lagoa , Fabrizio Dabbene

We consider moderately interacting particle systems with singular interaction kernel and environmental noise. It is shown that the mollified empirical measures converge in strong norms to the unique (local) solutions of nonlinear…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Shuchen Guo , Dejun Luo

Interacting particle system (IPS) models have proven to be highly successful for describing the spatial movement of organisms. However, it has proven challenging to infer the interaction rules directly from data. In the field of equation…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-27 Daniel A. Messenger , Graycen E. Wheeler , Xuedong Liu , David M. Bortz

In practice, observations are often contaminated by noise, making the resulting sample covariance matrix to be an information-plus-noise-type covariance matrix. Aiming to make inferences about the spectra of the underlying true covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Ningning Xia , Xinghua Zheng

Simulations are becoming ever more common as a tool for designing complex products. Sensitivity analysis techniques can be applied to these simulations to gain insight, or to reduce the complexity of the problem at hand. However, these…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-02-03 Tom Van Steenkiste , Joachim van der Herten , Ivo Couckuyt , Tom Dhaene

This paper studies the problem of interacting multiple model (IMM) estimation for jump Markov linear systems with unknown measurement noise covariance. The system state and the unknown covariance are jointly estimated in the framework of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-11-06 Wenling Li , Yingmin Jia

A recent paper by Lien et al. (2025) introduces the "colored linear inverse model" (colored LIM), in which stochastic forcing is modeled using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck colored noise rather than idealized white noise. In that work, it is shown…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-06 Cristian Martinez-Villalobos

We consider the problem of fitting a parametric model to time-series data that are afflicted by correlated noise. The noise is represented by a sum of two stationary Gaussian processes: one that is uncorrelated in time, and another that has…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Joshua A. Carter , Joshua N. Winn

The evaluation of the path-integral representation for stochastic processes in the weak-noise limit shows that these systems are governed by a set of equations which are those of a classical dynamics. We show that, even when the noise is…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 S. J. B. Einchcomb , A. J. McKane

In this article a stochastic particle system approximation to the parametric sensitivity in the Smoluchowski coagulation equation is introduced. The parametric sensitivity is the derivative of the solution to the equation with respect to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-08 I. Bailleul , P. L. W. Man , M. Kraft

A new method is introduced for analysis of interactions between time-dependent coupled oscillators, based on the signals they generate. It distinguishes unsynchronized dynamics from noise-induced phase slips, and enables the evolution of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-09 Tomislav Stankovski , Andrea Duggento , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska