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Load forecasting is crucial for multiple energy management tasks such as scheduling generation capacity, planning supply and demand, and minimizing energy trade costs. Such relevance has increased even more in recent years due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas , José A. Lozano

Learning from small data sets is critical in many practical applications where data collection is time consuming or expensive, e.g., robotics, animal experiments or drug design. Meta learning is one way to increase the data efficiency of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-10 Steindór Sæmundsson , Katja Hofmann , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Load-forecasting problems have already been widely addressed with different approaches, granularities and objectives. Recent studies focus not only on deep learning methods but also on forecasting loads on single building level. This study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-15 Thomas Steens , Jan-Simon Telle , Benedikt Hanke , Karsten von Maydell , Carsten Agert , Gian-Luca di Modica , Bernd Engel , Matthias Grottke

An effective way to oppose global warming and mitigate climate change is to electrify our energy sectors and supply their electric power from renewable wind and solar. Spatio-temporal predictions of electric load become increasingly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Arsam Aryandoust , Anthony Patt , Stefan Pfenninger

The increasing use of renewable energy sources with variable output, such as solar photovoltaic and wind power generation, calls for Smart Grids that effectively manage flexible loads and energy storage. The ability to forecast consumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-02 Andreas Veit , Christoph Goebel , Rohit Tidke , Christoph Doblander , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in the energy planning such as generation and distribution. However, the nonlinearity and dynamic uncertainties in the smart grid environment are the main obstacles in forecasting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Faisal Mohammad , Ki Boem Lee , Young-Chon Kim

This study addresses the challenge of predicting electric vehicle (EV) charging profiles in urban locations with limited data. Utilizing a neural network architecture, we aim to uncover latent charging profiles influenced by spatio-temporal…

Power load forecast with Machine Learning is a fairly mature application of artificial intelligence and it is indispensable in operation, control and planning. Data selection techniqies have been hardly used in this application. However,…

We propose a simple empirical scaling law that describes load forecasting accuracy at different levels of aggregation. The model is justified based on a simple decomposition of individual consumption patterns. We show that for different…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-01 Raffi Sevlian , Ram Rajagopal

We report on an empirical study of the main strategies for quantile regression in the context of stochastic computer experiments. To ensure adequate diversity, six metamodels are presented, divided into three categories based on order…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-22 Léonard Torossian , Victor Picheny , Robert Faivre , Aurélien Garivier

Accurate electrical load forecasting is of great importance for the efficient operation and control of modern power systems. In this work, a hybrid long short-term memory (LSTM)-based model with online correction is developed for day-ahead…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-07 Nan Lu , Quan Ouyang , Yang Li , Changfu Zou

A smart home energy management system (HEMS) can contribute towards reducing the energy costs of customers; however, HEMS suffers from uncertainty in both energy generation and consumption patterns. In this paper, we propose a sequence to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-28 Mina Razghandi , Hao Zhou , Melike Erol-Kantarci , Damla Turgut

Spatial-temporal prediction is a fundamental problem for constructing smart city, which is useful for tasks such as traffic control, taxi dispatching, and environmental policy making. Due to data collection mechanism, it is common to see…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Huaxiu Yao , Yiding Liu , Ying Wei , Xianfeng Tang , Zhenhui Li

Short-term load forecasting is one of the crucial sections in smart grid. Precise forecasting enables system operators to make reliable unit commitment and power dispatching decisions. With the advent of big data, a number of artificial…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-27 Tiantian Li , Bo Wang , Min Zhou , Junzo Watada

Long-term load forecast (LTLF) for area distribution feeders is one of the most critical tasks frequently performed in electric distribution utility companies. For a specific planning area, cost-effective system upgrades can only be planned…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-02 Ming Dong , Jian Shi , QingXin Shi

The electric vehicle (EV) and electric vehicle charging station (EVCS) have been widely deployed with the development of large-scale transportation electrifications. However, since charging behaviors of EVs show large uncertainties, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-25 Yuanzheng Li , Shangyang He , Yang Li , Leijiao Ge , Suhua Lou , Zhigang Zeng

Undoubtedly, the increase of available data and competitive machine learning algorithms has boosted the popularity of data-driven modeling in energy systems. Applications are forecasts for renewable energy generation and energy consumption.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Stefan Meisenbacher , Janik Pinter , Tim Martin , Veit Hagenmeyer , Ralf Mikut

We propose a novel machine learning approach for forecasting the distribution of stock returns using a rich set of firm-level and market predictors. Our method combines a two-stage quantile neural network with spline interpolation to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Jozef Barunik , Martin Hronec , Ondrej Tobek

The goal of meta-learning is to train a model on a variety of learning tasks, such that it can adapt to new problems within only a few iterations. Here we propose a principled information-theoretic model that optimally partitions the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-10 Heinke Hihn , Daniel A. Braun

In this paper we investigate to what extent long short-term memory neural networks (LSTMs) are suitable for demand forecasting in the e-grocery retail sector. For this purpose, univariate as well as multivariate LSTM-based models were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-20 Marta Gołąbek , Robin Senge , Rainer Neumann