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Related papers: Precipitation Nowcasting Using Physics Informed Di…

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Deep learning methods dominate short-term high-resolution precipitation nowcasting in terms of prediction error. However, their operational usability is limited by difficulties explaining dynamics behind the predictions, which are smoothed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Matej Choma , Petr Šimánek , Jakub Bartel

Climate change is intensifying rainfall extremes, making high-resolution precipitation projections crucial for society to better prepare for impacts such as flooding. However, current Global Climate Models (GCMs) operate at spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Ran Lyu , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Hedanqiu Bai , Chang-Tien Lu

Addressing the challenges of climate change requires accurate and high-resolution mapping of geospatial data, especially climate and weather variables. However, many existing geospatial datasets, such as the gridded outputs of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Guiye Li , Guofeng Cao

Accurately forecasting extreme rainfall is notoriously difficult, but is also ever more crucial for society as climate change increases the frequency of such extremes. Global numerical weather prediction models often fail to capture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-24 Ilan Price , Stephan Rasp

Precipitation Nowcasting, which aims to predict precipitation within the next 0 to 6 hours, is critical for disaster mitigation and real-time response planning. However, most time series forecasting benchmarks in meteorology are evaluated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Yifang Zhang , Shengwu Xiong , Henan Wang , Wenjie Yin , Jiawang Peng , Yuqiang Zhang , Chen Zhou , Hua Chen , Qile Zhao , Pengfei Duan

Radar-based convective precipitation nowcasting suffers from rapid performance degradation beyond 30 minutes due to missing thermodynamic variables. Existing deep learning models also face blurring effects, training instability, and limited…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-06 Dandan Chen , Yaqiang Wang , Anyuan Xiong , Enda Zhu

Accurate short-term precipitation forecasting is critical for weather-sensitive decision-making in agriculture, transportation, and disaster response. Existing deep learning approaches often struggle to balance global structural consistency…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Penghui Wen , Mengwei He , Patrick Filippi , Na Zhao , Feng Zhang , Thomas Francis Bishop , Zhiyong Wang , Kun Hu

Effective training of Deep Neural Networks requires massive amounts of data and compute. As a result, longer times are needed to train complex models requiring large datasets, which can severely limit research on model development and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Siddharth Samsi , Christopher J. Mattioli , Mark S. Veillette

Deep learning has significantly improved the accuracy of precipitation nowcasting. However, most existing multimodal models typically use simple channel concatenation or interpolation methods for data fusion, which often overlook the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Henan Wang , Shengwu Xiong , Yifang Zhang , Wenjie Yin , Chen Zhou , Yuqiang Zhang , Pengfei Duan

Reliable nowcasting of extreme precipitation remains difficult because convective systems are strongly nonlinear, multiscale, and nonstationary in 3D. Radar is the backbone of nowcasting, yet existing methods struggle to predict extremes:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Huaguan Chen , Wei Han , Haofei Sun , Ning Lin , Xingtao Song , Yunfan Yang , Jie Tian , Yang Liu , Ji-Rong Wen , Xiaoye Zhang , Xueshun Shen , Hao Sun

Precipitation nowcasting is critical for disaster mitigation and aviation safety. However, radar-only models frequently suffer from a lack of large-scale atmospheric context, leading to performance degradation at longer lead times. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Yuze Qin , Qingyong Li , Zhiqing Guo , Wen Wang , Yan Liu , Yangli-ao Geng

AI-based systems, such as Google's GenCast, have recently redefined the state of the art in weather forecasting, offering more accurate and timely predictions of both everyday weather and extreme events. While these systems are on the verge…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Erik Imgrund , Thorsten Eisenhofer , Konrad Rieck

Climate models encapsulate our best understanding of the Earth system, allowing research to be conducted on its future under alternative assumptions of how human-driven climate forces are going to evolve. An important application of climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-05-14 Alexis Ayala , Christopher Drazic , Brian Hutchinson , Ben Kravitz , Claudia Tebaldi

Modeling the risk of extreme weather events in a changing climate is essential for developing effective adaptation and mitigation strategies. Although the available low-resolution climate models capture different scenarios, accurate risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-06 Anamitra Saha , Sai Ravela

We introduce the Probabilistic Generative Adversarial Network (PGAN), a new GAN variant based on a new kind of objective function. The central idea is to integrate a probabilistic model (a Gaussian Mixture Model, in our case) into the GAN…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Hamid Eghbal-zadeh , Gerhard Widmer

Short-term precipitation nowcasting is essential for flood management, transportation, energy system operations, and emergency response. However, many existing models fail to fully exploit the extensive atmospheric information available,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Jie Shi , Aleksej Cornelissen , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Future climate change scenarios are usually hypothesized using simulations from weather generators. However, there only a few works comparing and evaluating promising deep learning models for weather generation against classical approaches.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Jorge Guevara , Dario Borges , Campbell Watson , Bianca Zadrozny

Deep learning-based time series forecasting has dominated the short-term precipitation forecasting field with the help of its ability to estimate motion flow in high-resolution datasets. The growing interest in precipitation nowcasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Sojung An , Tae-Jin Oh , Eunha Sohn , Donghyun Kim

Precipitation nowcasting plays a pivotal role in socioeconomic sectors, especially in severe convective weather warnings. Although notable progress has been achieved by approaches mining the spatiotemporal correlations with deep learning,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Junchao Gong , Siwei Tu , Weidong Yang , Ben Fei , Kun Chen , Wenlong Zhang , Xiaokang Yang , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Precipitation nowcasting aims to forecast short-term radar echo sequences for extreme weather warning, where both prediction fidelity and inference efficiency are critical for real-world deployment. However, diffusion-based models, despite…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yufeng Zhu , Chunlei Shi , Yongchao Feng , Dan Niu