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Formula 1 performance is a combination of the car's ability and the driver's ability. While a given race or season can tell you how well a car and driver performed jointly, isolating the individual impact of the driver and constructor…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-04 Saurabh Rane

Evaluating the overall ability of players in the National Hockey League (NHL) is a difficult task. Existing methods such as the famous "plus/minus" statistic have many shortcomings. Standard linear regression methods work well when player…

Applications · Statistics 2013-03-01 A. C. Thomas , Samuel L. Ventura , Shane Jensen , Stephen Ma

We study estimation and inference using data collected by reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms. These algorithms adaptively experiment by interacting with individual units over multiple stages, updating their strategies based on past…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-06 Vasilis Syrgkanis , Ruohan Zhan

This project aims to assess the performance of various regression models in predicting the performance of hockey players. The measure of performance is chosen to be points scored (sum of goals scored and assists made) by individual players…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Shuja Khalid

Shot charts in basketball analytics provide an indispensable tool for evaluating players' shooting performance by visually representing the distribution of field goal attempts across different court locations. However, conventional methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Luca Scrucca , Dimitris Karlis

In the sports of soccer, hockey and basketball the most commonly used statistics for player performance assessment are divided into two categories: offensive statistics and defensive statistics. However, qualitative assessments of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-04 Shael Brown

The topic of aging decline on performance of NBA players has been discussed in this study. The autoencoder with K-means clustering machine learning method was adopted to career trend classification of NBA players, and the LSTM deep learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Yi-chen Yao , Jerry Wang , Yi-cheng Lai , Lyn Chao-ling Chen

Sports competitions are widely researched in computer and social science, with the goal of understanding how players act under uncertainty. While there is an abundance of computational work on player metrics prediction based on past…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Nadav Oved , Amir Feder , Roi Reichart

Understanding the dynamics of momentum and game fluctuation in tennis matches is cru-cial for predicting match outcomes and enhancing player performance. In this study, we present a comprehensive analysis of these factors using a dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Wankang Zhai , Yuhan Wang

Unlike other major professional sports, American football lacks comprehensive statistical ratings for player evaluation that are both reproducible and easily interpretable in terms of game outcomes. Existing methods for player evaluation in…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-13 Ronald Yurko , Samuel Ventura , Maksim Horowitz

This paper introduces a new model and methodology for estimating the ability of NBA players. The main idea is to directly measure how good a player is by comparing how their team performs when they are on the court as opposed to when they…

Applications · Statistics 2010-08-05 Paul Fearnhead , Benjamin M. Taylor

The burgeoning growth of the esports and multiplayer online gaming community has highlighted the critical importance of evaluating the Most Valuable Player (MVP). The establishment of an explainable and practical MVP evaluation method is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Haifeng Sun , Yu Xiong , Runze Wu , Kai Wang , Lan Zhang , Changjie Fan , Shaojie Tang , Xiang-Yang Li

Many estimators of the average effect of a treatment on an outcome require estimation of the propensity score, the outcome regression, or both. It is often beneficial to utilize flexible techniques such as semiparametric regression or…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Cheng Ju , David Benkeser , Mark J. van der Laan

Shooting location is a core indicator of offensive style in invasion sports. Existing basketball shot-chart analyses often use spatial information for descriptive visualization, location-based efficiency modeling, or clustering players into…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Kazuhiro Yamada , Keisuke Fujii

The success of a football team depends on various individual skills and performances of the selected players as well as how cohesively they perform. We propose a two-stage process for selecting optimal playing eleven of a football team from…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-14 Soudeep Deb , Shubhabrata Das

Predicting the outcomes of professional basketball games, particularly in the National Basketball Association (NBA), has become increasingly important for coaching strategy, fan engagement, and sports betting. However, many existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Charles Rios , Longzhen Han , Almas Baimagambetov , Nikolaos Polatidis

The National Basketball Association (NBA) imposes a player salary cap. It is therefore useful to develop tools to measure the relative realized return of a player's salary given their on court performance. Very few such studies exist,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-03 Jackson P. Lautier

We present evidence, based on play-by-play data from all 6087 games from the 2006/07--2009/10 seasons of the National Basketball Association (NBA), that basketball scoring is well described by a weakly-biased continuous-time random walk.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-07-25 Alan Gabel , S. Redner

Basketball players' performance measurement is of critical importance for a broad spectrum of decisions related to training and game strategy. Despite this recognized central role, the main part of the studies on this topic focus on…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-24 Paola Zuccolotto , Marco Sandri , Marica Manisera , Rodolfo Metulini

Performative prediction characterizes environments where predictive models alter the very data distributions they aim to forecast, triggering complex feedback loops. While prior research treats single-agent and multi-agent performativity as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-04 Zhixian Zhang , Xiaotian Hou , Linjun Zhang