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In binary classification tasks, accurate representation of probabilistic predictions is essential for various real-world applications such as predicting payment defaults or assessing medical risks. The model must then be well-calibrated to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Agathe Fernandes Machado , Arthur Charpentier , Emmanuel Flachaire , Ewen Gallic , François Hu

Evaluating the pedagogical quality of AI tutors remains challenging: standard NLG metrics do not determine whether responses identify mistakes, scaffold reasoning, or avoid revealing the answers. For the task of mistake remediation, we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Kseniia Petukhova , Ekaterina Kochmar

This technical report studies the problem of ranking from pairwise comparisons in the classical Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model, with a focus on score estimation. For general graphs, we show that, with sufficiently many samples, maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-17 Yanxi Chen

Pairwise comparison models have been widely used for utility evaluation and rank aggregation across various fields. The increasing scale of modern problems underscores the need to understand statistical inference in these models when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Ruijian Han , Wenlu Tang , Yiming Xu

The restricted polynomially-tilted pairwise interaction (RPPI) distribution gives a flexible model for compositional data. It is particularly well-suited to situations where some of the marginal distributions of the components of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-15 Janice L. Scealy , Kassel L. Hingee , John T. Kent , Andrew T. A. Wood

We propose a ridge-penalized adaptive Mantel test (AdaMant) for evaluating the association of two high-dimensional sets of features. By introducing a ridge penalty, AdaMant tests the association across many metrics simultaneously. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-23 Dustin Pluta , Tong Shen , Gui Xue , Chuansheng Chen , Hernando Ombao , Zhaoxia Yu

In high-dimensional model selection problems, penalized simple least-square approaches have been extensively used. This paper addresses the question of both robustness and efficiency of penalized model selection methods, and proposes a…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-06 Jelena Bradic , Jianqing Fan , Weiwei Wang

The standard way to evaluate language models on subjective tasks is through pairwise comparisons: an annotator chooses the "better" of two responses to a prompt. Leaderboards aggregate these comparisons into a single Bradley-Terry (BT)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Hadi Khalaf , Serena L. Wang , Daniel Halpern , Itai Shapira , Flavio du Pin Calmon , Ariel D. Procaccia

The Bradley-Terry model is widely used for pairwise comparison data analysis. In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator of the Bradley-Terry model in its logistic parameterization, under a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Weichen Wu , Brian W. Junker , Nynke M. D. Niezink

We provide an algorithm with constant running time that given a weighted tournament $T$, distinguishes with high probability of success between the cases that $T$ can be represented by a Bradley--Terry model, or cannot even be approximated…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Agelos Georgakopoulos , Konstantinos Tyros

Logistic regression is a ubiquitous method for probabilistic classification. However, the effectiveness of logistic regression depends upon careful and relatively computationally expensive tuning, especially for the regularisation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Angus Dempster , Geoffrey I. Webb , Daniel F. Schmidt

We consider a method of pairwise variations for smooth optimization problems, which involve polyhedral constraints. It consists in making steps with respect to the difference of two selected extreme points of the feasible set together with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-12 I. V. Konnov

The Heuristic Ratio Estimation (HRE) approach proposes a new way of using the pairwise comparisons matrix. It allows the assumption that the weights of some alternatives (herein referred to as concepts) are known and fixed, hence the weight…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-09-25 Konrad Kułakowski

We propose the Heterogeneous Thurstone Model (HTM) for aggregating ranked data, which can take the accuracy levels of different users into account. By allowing different noise distributions, the proposed HTM model maintains the generality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Tao Jin , Pan Xu , Quanquan Gu , Farzad Farnoud

A paired comparison analysis is the simplest way to make comparative judgments between objects where objects may be goods, services or skills. For a set of problems, this technique helps to choose the most important problem to solve first…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-27 Maqsood Ali , Muhammad Aslam

Recently there has been sustained interest in modifying prediction algorithms to satisfy fairness constraints. These constraints are typically complex nonlinear functionals of the observed data distribution. Focusing on the path-specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-15 Razieh Nabi , Daniel Malinsky , Ilya Shpitser

Penalization schemes like Lasso or ridge regression are routinely used to regress a response of interest on a high-dimensional set of potential predictors. Despite being decisive, the question of the relative strength of penalization is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-08 Britta Velten , Wolfgang Huber

We consider problems of rating alternatives based on their pairwise comparison under various assumptions, including constraints on the final scores of alternatives. The problems are formulated in the framework of tropical mathematics to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Nikolai Krivulin

Stochastic transitivity is central for rank aggregation based on pairwise comparison data. The existing models, including the Thurstone, Bradley-Terry (BT), and nonparametric BT models, adopt a strong notion of stochastic transitivity,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-09 Haoran Zhang , Yunxiao Chen

Inference based on the penalized density ratio model is proposed and studied. The model under consideration is specified by assuming that the log--likelihood function of two unknown densities is of some parametric form. The model has been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-17 Konstantinos Fokianos
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