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Ensemble learning serves as a straightforward way to improve the performance of almost any machine learning algorithm. Existing deep ensemble methods usually naively train many different models and then aggregate their predictions. This is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Le Zhang , Qibin Hou , Yun Liu , Jia-Wang Bian , Xun Xu , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Ce Zhu

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

It is critical yet challenging for deep learning models to properly characterize uncertainty that is pervasive in real-world environments. Although a lot of efforts have been made, such as heteroscedastic neural networks (HNNs), little work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Peng Cui , Zhijie Deng , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

Deep learning has achieved great success in modeling dynamical systems, providing data-driven simulators to predict complex phenomena, even without known governing equations. However, existing models have two major limitations: their narrow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Razmik Arman Khosrovian , Takaharu Yaguchi , Hiroaki Yoshimura , Takashi Matsubara

To deal with various datasets over different complexity, this paper presents an self-adaptive learning model that combines the proposed Dynamic Connected Neural Decision Networks (DNDN) and a new pruning method--Dynamic Soft Pruning (DSP).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Xinyu Fan

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGP) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes (GP) that have proven to work effectively on a multiple supervised regression tasks. They combine the well calibrated uncertainty estimates of GPs with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-10 Marton Havasi , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes

It is desirable to have accurate uncertainty estimation from a single deterministic forward-pass model, as traditional methods for uncertainty quantification are computationally expensive. However, this is difficult because single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Frederik Boe Hüttel , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco Câmara Pereira

This paper proposes a sparse Bayesian treatment of deep neural networks (DNNs) for system identification. Although DNNs show impressive approximation ability in various fields, several challenges still exist for system identification…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-02 Hongpeng Zhou , Chahine Ibrahim , Wei Xing Zheng , Wei Pan

In this paper, we present a Stochastic Deep Neural Network-based Model Reference Adaptive Control. Building on our work "Deep Model Reference Adaptive Control", we extend the controller capability by using Bayesian deep neural networks…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-09 Girish Joshi , Girish Chowdhary

We propose a new class of discrete generalized linear models based on the class of Poisson-Tweedie factorial dispersion models with variance of the form $\mu + \phi\mu^p$, where $\mu$ is the mean, $\phi$ and $p$ are the dispersion and…

Understanding why deep neural networks (DNNs) fail to generalize to unseen samples remains a long-standing challenge. Existing studies mainly examine changes in externally observable factors such as data, representations, or outputs, yet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Huiqi Deng , Yibo Li , Quanshi Zhang , Peng Zhang , Hongbin Pei , Xia Hu

Deep learning tools have gained tremendous attention in applied machine learning. However such tools for regression and classification do not capture model uncertainty. In comparison, Bayesian models offer a mathematically grounded…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-05 Yarin Gal , Zoubin Ghahramani

Whilst deep neural networks have shown great empirical success, there is still much work to be done to understand their theoretical properties. In this paper, we study the relationship between random, wide, fully connected, feedforward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-17 Alexander G. de G. Matthews , Mark Rowland , Jiri Hron , Richard E. Turner , Zoubin Ghahramani

Most stochastic gradient descent algorithms can optimize neural networks that are sub-differentiable in their parameters; however, this implies that the neural network's activation function must exhibit a degree of continuity which limits…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Anastasis Kratsios , Behnoosh Zamanlooy

We develop a novel deep learning method for uncertainty quantification in stochastic partial differential equations based on Bayesian neural network (BNN) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). A BNN efficiently learns the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-24 Jeahan Jung , Minseok Choi

Traditional deep neural networks (NNs) have significantly contributed to the state-of-the-art performance in the task of classification under various application domains. However, NNs have not considered inherent uncertainty in data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Yibo Hu , Yuzhe Ou , Xujiang Zhao , Jin-Hee Cho , Feng Chen

We seek to improve crowd counting as we perceive limits of currently prevalent density map estimation approach on both prediction accuracy and time efficiency. We leverage multilevel pixelation of density map as it helps improve SNR of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Zhuojun Chen , Junhao Cheng , Yuchen Yuan , Dongping Liao , Yizhou Li , Jiancheng Lv

This paper develops a randomized approach for incrementally building deep neural networks, where a supervisory mechanism is proposed to constrain the random assignment of the weights and biases, and all the hidden layers have direct links…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-19 Dianhui Wang , Ming Li

We introduce a novel generative model, the Discrete Distribution Networks (DDN), that approximates data distribution using hierarchical discrete distributions. We posit that since the features within a network inherently capture…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Lei Yang

Deep neural networks have seen enormous success in various real-world applications. Beyond their predictions as point estimates, increasing attention has been focused on quantifying the uncertainty of their predictions. In this review, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Chengyu Dong