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Related papers: Assessing Model Generalization in Vicinity

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Consider a nonparametric regression model with one-sided errors and regression function in a general H\"older class. We estimate the regression function via minimization of the local integral of a polynomial approximation. We show uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-12 Holger Drees , Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

We present simple methods for out-of-distribution detection using a trained generative model. These techniques, based on classical statistical tests, are model-agnostic in the sense that they can be applied to any differentiable generative…

In regression modelling approach, the main step is to fit the regression line as close as possible to the target variable. In this process most algorithms try to fit all of the data in a single line and hence fitting all parts of target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-07 Kumarjit Pathak , Jitin Kapila , Aasheesh Barvey , Nikit Gawande

Existing defenses against adversarial examples such as adversarial training typically assume that the adversary will conform to a specific or known threat model, such as $\ell_p$ perturbations within a fixed budget. In this paper, we focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Sihui Dai , Saeed Mahloujifar , Prateek Mittal

Clustered sampling is prevalent in empirical regression discontinuity (RD) designs, but it has not received much attention in the theoretical literature. In this paper, we introduce a general model-based framework for such settings and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-20 Claudia Noack , Tomasz Olma , Christoph Rothe

In the regression framework, the empirical measure based on the responses resulting from the nearest neighbors, among the covariates, to a given point $x$ is introduced and studied as a central statistical quantity. First, the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 François Portier

Venn Prediction (VP) is a new machine learning framework for producing well-calibrated probabilistic predictions. In particular it provides well-calibrated lower and upper bounds for the conditional probability of an example belonging to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Harris Papadopoulos

Although neural networks achieve promising performance in many tasks, they may still fail when encountering some examples and bring about risks to applications. To discover risky samples, previous literature attempts to search for patterns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Han Yu , Hao Zou , Xingxuan Zhang , Zhengyi Wang , Yue He , Kehan Li , Peng Cui

We consider a patient risk models which has access to patient features such as vital signs, lab values, and prior history but does not have access to a patient's diagnosis. For example, this occurs in a model deployed at intake time for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Alexander Peysakhovich , Rich Caruana , Yin Aphinyanaphongs

Transfer learning enhances prediction accuracy on a target distribution by leveraging data from a source distribution, demonstrating significant benefits in various applications. This paper introduces a novel dissimilarity measure that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-12 Mitsuhiro Fujikawa , Yohei Akimoto , Jun Sakuma , Kazuto Fukuchi

Existing regression models tend to fall short in both accuracy and uncertainty estimation when the label distribution is imbalanced. In this paper, we propose a probabilistic deep learning model, dubbed variational imbalanced regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Ziyan Wang , Hao Wang

Vector approximate message passing (VAMP) is an efficient approximate inference algorithm used for generalized linear models. Although VAMP exhibits excellent performance, particularly when measurement matrices are sampled from rotationally…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Takashi Takahashi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

The goal of machine learning is to find models that minimize prediction error on data that has not yet been seen. Its operational paradigm assumes access to a dataset $S$ and articulates a scheme for evaluating how well a given model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Maxim Raginsky , Benjamin Recht

Modeling the dependence between outputs is a fundamental challenge in multilabel classification. In this work we show that a generic regularized nonlinearity mapping independent predictions to joint predictions is sufficient to achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-22 Nikos Karampatziakis , Paul Mineiro

Assessing model adequacy is a crucial step in regression analysis, ensuring the validity of statistical inferences. For Generalized Functional Linear Models (GFLMs), which are widely used for modeling relationships between scalar responses…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Feifei Chen , Kaiming Zhang , Yanni Zhang , Hua Liang

Multiclass classification problems such as image annotation can involve a large number of classes. In this context, confusion between classes can occur, and single label classification may be misleading. We provide in the present paper a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-19 Christophe Denis , Mohamed Hebiri

Domain generalization (DG) is essentially an out-of-distribution problem, aiming to generalize the knowledge learned from multiple source domains to an unseen target domain. The mainstream is to leverage statistical models to model the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Fangrui Lv , Jian Liang , Shuang Li , Bin Zang , Chi Harold Liu , Ziteng Wang , Di Liu

Understanding decisions made by neural networks is key for the deployment of intelligent systems in real world applications. However, the opaque decision making process of these systems is a disadvantage where interpretability is essential.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Kai Fischer , Jonas Schneider

Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song

Modern foundation models exhibit remarkable out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization, solving tasks far beyond the support of their training data. However, the theoretical principles underpinning this phenomenon remain elusive. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-29 Jiawei Ge , Amanda Wang , Shange Tang , Chi Jin