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Background: Cannabis use disorder (CUD) is a growing public health problem. Early identification of adolescents and young adults at risk of developing CUD in the future may help stem this trend. A logistic regression model fitted using a…

Estimating the causal effects of an intervention in the presence of confounding is a frequently occurring problem in applications such as medicine. The task is challenging since there may be multiple confounding factors, some of which may…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-28 Sonali Parbhoo , Mario Wieser , Volker Roth

Sepsis is a severe medical condition caused by a dysregulated host response to infection that has a high incidence and mortality rate. Even with such a high-level occurrence rate, the detection and diagnosis of sepsis continues to pose a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-27 Jeffrey R. Smith , Yao Xie , Christopher S. Josef , Rishikesan Kamaleswaran

Knowledge of the underlying causal relations is essential for inferring the effect of interventions in complex systems. In a widely studied approach, structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among interacting variables,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

Inferring the effect of interventions within complex systems is a fundamental problem of statistics. A widely studied approach employs structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-14 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

A decision-maker must consider cofounding bias when attempting to apply machine learning prediction, and, while feature selection is widely recognized as important process in data-analysis, it could cause cofounding bias. A causal Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-02 Akihiro Yabe

Interpreting the environmental, behavioural and psychological data from in-home sensory observations and measurements can provide valuable insights into the health and well-being of individuals. Presents of neuropsychiatric and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-24 Roonak Rezvani , Samaneh Kouchaki , Ramin Nilforooshan , David J. Sharp , Payam Barnaghi

Sepsis is a serious, life-threatening condition. When treating sepsis, it is challenging to determine the correct amount of intravenous fluids and vasopressors for a given patient. While automated reinforcement learning (RL)-based methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Taisiya Khakharova , Lucas Sakizloglou , Leen Lambers

Estimating how a treatment affects units individually, known as heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimation, is an essential part of decision-making and policy implementation. The accumulation of large amounts of data in many domains,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Christopher Tran , Elena Zheleva

This PhD thesis contains several contributions to the field of statistical causal modeling. Statistical causal models are statistical models embedded with causal assumptions that allow for the inference and reasoning about the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Martin Emil Jakobsen

Bayesian causal discovery benefits from prior information elicited from domain experts, and in heterogeneous domains any prior knowledge would be badly needed. However, so far prior elicitation approaches have assumed a single causal graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Zachris Björkman , Jorge Loría , Sophie Wharrie , Samuel Kaski

Sepsis remains one of the leading causes of mortality in intensive care units, where timely and accurate treatment decisions can significantly impact patient outcomes. In this work, we propose an interpretable decision support framework.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Punit Kumar , Vaibhav Saran , Divyesh Patel , Nitin Kulkarni , Alina Vereshchaka

Substance use disorders (SUDs) are a serious public health concern in the United States. Alcohol and cannabis are two of the most widely used substances. For adolescent/youth users of alcohol or cannabis, we propose a joint Bayesian…

Contagion processes are strongly linked to the network structures on which they propagate, and learning these structures is essential for understanding and intervention on complex network processes such as epidemics and (mis)information…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-08-12 Caitlin Gray , Lewis Mitchell , Matthew Roughan

Latent confounders---unobserved variables that influence both treatment and outcome---can bias estimates of causal effects. In some cases, these confounders are shared across observations, e.g. all students taking a course are influenced by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-15 Sam Witty , Kenta Takatsu , David Jensen , Vikash Mansinghka

A typical problem in causal modeling is the instability of model structure learning, i.e., small changes in finite data can result in completely different optimal models. The present work introduces a novel causal modeling algorithm for…

Machine learning strategies like multi-task learning, meta-learning, and transfer learning enable efficient adaptation of machine learning models to specific applications in healthcare, such as prediction of various diseases, by leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Sophie Wharrie , Lisa Eick , Lotta Mäkinen , Andrea Ganna , Samuel Kaski , FinnGen

The fundamental challenge in causal induction is to infer the underlying graph structure given observational and/or interventional data. Most existing causal induction algorithms operate by generating candidate graphs and evaluating them…

High-dimensional data can be useful for causal inference by providing many confounders that may bolster the plausibility of the ignorability assumption. Propensity score methods are powerful tools for causal inference, are popular in health…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-10 Jacob Spertus , Sharon-Lise Normand

The past two decades have seen a growing interest in combining causal information, commonly represented using causal graphs, with machine learning models. Probability trees provide a simple yet powerful alternative representation of causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Tue Herlau
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