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Meta-analysis allows rigorous aggregation of estimates and uncertainty across multiple studies. When a given study reports multiple estimates, such as log odds ratios (ORs) or log relative risks (RRs) across exposure groups, accounting for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Alexander Johnson-Vázquez , Alexander W. Hsu , Peng Zheng , Aleksandr Aravkin

A Two-Stage approach enables researchers to make optimal non-linear predictions via Generalized Ridge Regression using models that contain two or more x-predictor variables and make only realistic minimal assumptions. The optimal regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Robert L. Obenchain

Maximum likelihood estimation in nonlinear models can exhibit substantial instability in finite samples when the data provide limited information about certain parameters. Such instability is driven by rare but extreme realizations of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Masamune Iwasawa

This paper derives a new family of estimators, namely the minimum density power divergence estimators, as a robust generalization of the maximum likelihood estimator for the polytomous logistic regression model. Based on these estimators, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-27 E. Castilla , A. Ghosh , N. Martín , L. Pardo

We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

Overparametrized models can exhibit an excellent generalization performance, although they should be prone to overfitting according to classical statistical theory. The discovery of the "double descent", indicating that the generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Tino Werner

Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) algorithms are widely used in a variety of estimation and prediction tasks in signal-processing and machine learning applications. Despite their popularity, a theory that explains their statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-07 Hossein Taheri , Ramtin Pedarsani , Christos Thrampoulidis

We analyze the prediction error of ridge regression in an asymptotic regime where the sample size and dimension go to infinity at a proportional rate. In particular, we consider the role played by the structure of the true regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Dominic Richards , Jaouad Mourtada , Lorenzo Rosasco

Many real-life data sets can be analyzed using Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). Since these are ordinarily based on normality assumptions, under small deviations from the model the inference can be highly unstable when the associated parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Giovanni Saraceno , Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu , Claudio Agostinelli

Recent works have demonstrated a double descent phenomenon in over-parameterized learning. Although this phenomenon has been investigated by recent works, it has not been fully understood in theory. In this paper, we investigate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-11 Xuran Meng , Jianfeng Yao , Yuan Cao

Linear regression estimators are known to be sensitive to outliers, and one alternative to obtain a robust and efficient estimator of the regression parameter is to model the error with Student's $t$ distribution. In this article, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Amanda Ng , Shangkai Zhu , Archer Gong Zhang , Nancy Reid

Marginal expected shortfall is unquestionably one of the most popular systemic risk measures. Studying its extreme behaviour is particularly relevant for risk protection against severe global financial market downturns. In this context,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli , Matteo Schiavone

Residual minimization is a widely used technique for solving Partial Differential Equations in variational form. It minimizes the dual norm of the residual, which naturally yields a saddle-point (min-max) problem over the so-called trial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-20 Carlos Uriarte , David Pardo , Ignacio Muga , Judit Muñoz-Matute

Relying on a recent progress made in studying bilinearly indexed (bli) random processes in \cite{Stojnicnflgscompyx23,Stojnicsflgscompyx23}, the main foundational principles of fully lifted random duality theory (fl RDT) were established in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-04 Mihailo Stojnic

Beta regression model is useful in the analysis of bounded continuous outcomes such as proportions. It is well known that for any regression model, the presence of multicollinearity leads to poor performance of the maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Ejaz Ahmed , Reza Arabi Belaghi , Yasin Asar , Abdulkhadir Hussein

Large neural networks have proved remarkably effective in modern deep learning practice, even in the overparametrized regime where the number of active parameters is large relative to the sample size. This contradicts the classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Huiyuan Wang , Wei Lin

Random Matrix Theory (RMT) is applied to analyze the weight matrices of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), including both production quality, pre-trained models such as AlexNet and Inception, and smaller models trained from scratch, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-25 Charles H. Martin , Michael W. Mahoney

We provide (high probability) bounds on the condition number of random feature matrices. In particular, we show that if the complexity ratio $\frac{N}{m}$ where $N$ is the number of neurons and $m$ is the number of data samples scales like…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-08 Zhijun Chen , Hayden Schaeffer

Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RL) is crucial for maintaining reliable performance in high-stakes applications. While traditional RL methods aim to learn a point estimate of the random cumulative cost, distributional RL (DRL) seeks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Minheng Xiao , Xian Yu , Lei Ying

We study robust linear regression in high-dimension, when both the dimension $d$ and the number of data points $n$ diverge with a fixed ratio $\alpha=n/d$, and study a data model that includes outliers. We provide exact asymptotics for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-24 Matteo Vilucchio , Emanuele Troiani , Vittorio Erba , Florent Krzakala