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Related papers: Relational event models with global covariates

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Reciprocity--the tendency of individuals to form mutual ties--is a fundamental structural feature of many directed networks. Despite its ubiquity, reciprocity remains insufficiently integrated into statistical network models, particularly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Rui Feng , Chenlei Leng

Travel time estimation is a key task in navigation apps and web mapping services. Existing deterministic and probabilistic methods, based on the assumption of trip independence, predominantly focus on modeling individual trips while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Chen Xu , Qiang Wang , Lijun Sun

Temporal networks have been increasingly used to model a diversity of systems that evolve in time; for example human contact structures over which dynamic processes such as epidemics take place. A fundamental aspect of real-life networks is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-08 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

We apply Gaussian process (GP) regression, which provides a powerful non-parametric probabilistic method of relating inputs to outputs, to survival data consisting of time-to-event and covariate measurements. In this context, the covariates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-08 James E. Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen

We propose a general framework for non-normal multivariate data analysis called multivariate covariance generalized linear models (McGLMs), designed to handle multivariate response variables, along with a wide range of temporal and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner Hugo Bonat , Bent Jørgensen

In this thesis we contribute to the understanding of the pivotal role of the temporal dimension in networked social systems, previously neglected and now uncovered by the data revolution recently blossomed in this field. To this aim, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-15 Michele Starnini

Cycling is critical for cities to transition to more sustainable transport modes. Yet, safety concerns remain a critical deterrent for individuals to cycle. If individuals perceive an environment as unsafe for cycling, it is likely that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Miguel Costa , Manuel Marques , Carlos Lima Azevedo , Felix Wilhelm Siebert , Filipe Moura

The problem of covariance estimation for replicated surface-valued processes is examined from the functional data analysis perspective. Considerations of statistical and computational efficiency often compel the use of separability of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Tomas Masak , Victor M. Panaretos

Models of complex networks often incorporate node-intrinsic properties abstracted as hidden variables. The probability of connections in the network is then a function of these variables. Real-world networks evolve over time, and many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-19 Harrison Hartle , Fragkiskos Papadopoulos , Dmitri Krioukov

Human communication, the essence of collective social phenomena ranging from small-scale organizations to worldwide online platforms, features intense reciprocal interactions between members in order to achieve stability, cohesion, and…

In complex systems, crucial parameters are often subject to unpredictable changes in time. Climate, biological evolution and networks provide numerous examples for such non-stationarities. In many cases, improved statistical models are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-09 Frederik Meudt , Martin Theissen , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

Extreme events are often multivariate in nature. A compound extreme occurs when a combination of variables jointly produces a significant impact, even if individual components are not necessarily marginally extreme. Compound extremes have…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Cathy Yin , Adam M. Sykulski , Almut E. D. Veraart

Dynamical models of cognition play an increasingly important role in driving theoretical and experimental research in psychology. Therefore, parameter estimation, model analysis and comparison of dynamical models are of essential…

Working with SEM and crosssectional data, and depending on the studied phenomenon, assuming an acyclic model may mean that we obtain only a partial view of the mechanisms that explain causal relationships between a set of theoretical…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-25 Lamberti Giuseppe , Lopez-Sintas Jordi , Pandolfo Giuseppe

A class of multivariate mixed survival models for continuous and discrete time with a complex covariance structure is introduced in a context of quantitative genetic applications. The methods introduced can be used in many applications in…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-06 Rafael Pimentel Maia , Per Madsen , Rodrigo Labouriau

Human migration exhibits complex spatiotemporal dependence driven by environmental and socioeconomic forces. Modeling such patterns at scale requires methods that accommodate many random effects while remaining feasible when raw data or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Lida Chalangar Jalili Dehkharghani , Li-Hsiang Lin

As relational event models are an increasingly popular model for studying relational structures, the reliability of large-scale event data collection becomes more and more important. Automated or human-coded events often suffer from…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-25 Cornelius Fritz , Marius Mehrl , Paul W. Thurner , Göran Kauermann

The complexity of interactions between networks and territories has been widely acknowledged empirically, in particular through the existence of circular causal relations in their co-development, that can be understood as a co-evolution.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-06 Juste Raimbault

Human close-range proximity interactions are the key determinant for spreading processes like knowledge diffusion, norm adoption, and infectious disease transmission. These dynamical processes can be modeled with time-respecting paths on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-28 Silvia Guerrini , Ciro Cattuto , Lorenzo Dall'Amico

Research in transportation frequently involve modelling and predicting attributes of events that occur at regular intervals. The event could be arrival of a bus at a bus stop, the volume of a traffic at a particular point, the demand at a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-08-14 Narayanan U. Edakunni , Aditi Raghunathan , Abhishek Tripathi , John Handley , Fredric Roulland
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