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We provide a rigorous analysis of training by variational inference (VI) of Bayesian neural networks in the two-layer and infinite-width case. We consider a regression problem with a regularized evidence lower bound (ELBO) which is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-12 Arnaud Descours , Tom Huix , Arnaud Guillin , Manon Michel , Éric Moulines , Boris Nectoux

Recent theoretical works have characterized the dynamics of wide shallow neural networks trained via gradient descent in an asymptotic mean-field limit when the width tends towards infinity. At initialization, the random sampling of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Zhengdao Chen , Grant M. Rotskoff , Joan Bruna , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We study central limit theorems for linear statistics in high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with product priors. Unlike the existing literature where the focus is on posterior contraction, we work under a non-contracting regime…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-01 Seunghyun Lee , Nabarun Deb , Sumit Mukherjee

This paper studies the Variational Inference (VI) used for training Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) in the overparameterized regime, i.e., when the number of neurons tends to infinity. More specifically, we consider overparameterized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-11 Tom Huix , Szymon Majewski , Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Anna Korba

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) establishes that sufficiently large sequences of independent and identically distributed random variables converge in probability to a normal distribution. This makes the CLT a fundamental building block of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Henning Basold , Oisín Flynn-Connolly , Chase Ford , Hao Wang

In this work, we consider a wide two-layer neural network and study the behavior of its empirical weights under a dynamics set by a stochastic gradient descent along the quadratic loss with mini-batches and noise. Our goal is to prove a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-02 Arnaud Descours , Arnaud Guillin , Manon Michel , Boris Nectoux

We obtain the law of large numbers (LLN) and the central limit theorem (CLT) for weakly dependent non-stationary arrays of random fields with asymptotically unbounded moments. The weak dependence condition for arrays of random fields is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-15 Yue Pan , Jiazhu Pan

Central limit theorems (CLTs) have a long history in probability and statistics. They play a fundamental role in constructing valid statistical inference procedures. Over the last century, various techniques have been developed in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Arisina Banerjee , Arun K Kuchibhotla

In this work, we advocate for the importance of singular learning theory (SLT) as it pertains to the theory and practice of variational inference in Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). To begin, using SLT, we lay to rest some of the confusion…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-14 Susan Wei , Edmund Lau

We propose a new Bayesian Neural Net formulation that affords variational inference for which the evidence lower bound is analytically tractable subject to a tight approximation. We achieve this tractability by (i) decomposing ReLU…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-13 Manuel Haussmann , Fred A. Hamprecht , Melih Kandemir

This work invokes the notion of $f$-divergence to introduce a novel upper bound on the Bayes error rate of a general classification task. We show that the proposed bound can be computed by sampling from the output of a parameterized model.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Mohammadreza Tavasoli Naeini , Ali Bereyhi , Morteza Noshad , Ben Liang , Alfred O. Hero

We present a new approach, inspired by Stein's method, to prove a central limit theorem (CLT) for linear statistics of $\beta$-ensembles in the one-cut regime. Compared with the previous proofs, our result requires less regularity on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Gaultier Lambert , Michel Ledoux , Christian Webb

We recapitulate the Bayesian formulation of neural network based classifiers and show that, while sampling from the posterior does indeed lead to better generalisation than is obtained by standard optimisation of the cost function, even…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-09 Robert J. N. Baldock , Nicola Marzari

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is one of the most fundamental results in statistics. It states that the standardized sample mean of a sequence of $n$ mutually independent and identically distributed random variables with finite first and…

Linear structural error-in-variables models with univariate observations are revisited for studying modified least squares estimators of the slope and intercept. New marginal central limit theorems (CLT's) are established for these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Yuliya V. Martsynyuk

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) work well on large datasets. But labelled data is hard to collect, and in some applications larger amounts of data are not available. The problem then is how to use CNNs with small data -- as CNNs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-19 Yarin Gal , Zoubin Ghahramani

We study the distribution of a fully connected neural network with random Gaussian weights and biases in which the hidden layer widths are proportional to a large constant $n$. Under mild assumptions on the non-linearity, we obtain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Stefano Favaro , Boris Hanin , Domenico Marinucci , Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

Current approaches in approximate inference for Bayesian neural networks minimise the Kullback-Leibler divergence to approximate the true posterior over the weights. However, this approximation is without knowledge of the final application,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-11 Adam D. Cobb , Stephen J. Roberts , Yarin Gal

We introduce a novel combination of Bayesian Models (BMs) and Neural Networks (NNs) for making predictions with a minimum expected risk. Our approach combines the best of both worlds, the data efficiency and interpretability of a BM with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mathias Löwe , Per Lunnemann Hansen , Sebastian Risi

In randomized controlled trials without interference, regression adjustment is widely used to enhance the efficiency of treatment effect estimation. This paper extends this efficiency principle to settings with network interference, where a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Xinyuan Fan , Chenlei Leng , Weichi Wu
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