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As the impact of wildfires has become increasingly more severe over the last decades, there is continued pressure for improvements in our ability to predict wildland fire behavior over a wide range of conditions. One approach towards this…

Reliable performance metrics are necessary prerequisites to building large-scale end-to-end integrated workflows for collaborative scientific research, particularly within context of use-inspired decision making platforms with many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-01 H. Ahmed , R. Shende , I. Perez , D. Crawl , S. Purawat , I. Altintas

Forecasting bushfire spread is an important element in fire prevention and response efforts. Empirical observations of bushfire spread can be used to estimate fire response under certain conditions. These observations form rate-of-spread…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-24 Andrew Bolt , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

This paper presents a novel approach in wildfire prediction through the integration of multisource spatiotemporal data, including satellite data, and the application of deep learning techniques. Specifically, we utilize an ensemble model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Ayoub Jadouli , Chaker El Amrani

An integrated computational framework is introduced to study complex engineering systems through physics-based ensemble simulations on heterogeneous supercomputers. The framework is primarily designed for the quantitative assessment of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Kazuki Maeda , Thiago Teixeira , Jonathan M. Wang , Jeffrey M. Hokanson , Caetano Melone , Mario Di Renzo , Steve Jones , Javier Urzay , Gianluca Iaccarino

Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

High-fidelity experimental characterization of turbulent premixed flames remains limited by the cost and complexity of advanced diagnostics, particularly under elevated pressures and intense turbulence where measurements of coupled flame…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Saghar Zolfaghari , Yu Xie , Junfeng Yang , Safa Jamali

Accurate assessment of fuel conditions is a prerequisite for fire ignition and behavior prediction, and risk management. The method proposed herein leverages diverse data sources including Landsat-8 optical imagery, Sentinel-1 (C-band)…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Riyaaz Uddien Shaik , Mohamad Alipour , Eric Rowell , Bharathan Balaji , Adam Watts , Ertugrul Taciroglu

The understanding and prediction of large wildland fire events around the world is a growing interdisciplinary research area advanced rapidly by development and use of computational models. Recent models bidirectionally couple computational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-06 J. L. Coen , W. Schroeder , S. Conway , L. Tarnay

Wildfires are a significant threat to ecosystems and human infrastructure, leading to widespread destruction and environmental degradation. Recent advancements in deep learning and generative models have enabled new methods for wildfire…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Hao Wang , Sayed Pedram Haeri Boroujeni , Xiwen Chen , Ashish Bastola , Huayu Li , Wenhui Zhu , Abolfazl Razi

Forest fires pose a natural threat with devastating social, environmental, and economic implications. The rapid and highly uncertain rate of spread of wildfires necessitates a trustworthy digital tool capable of providing real-time…

High-resolution simulation models are essential for representing complex physical systems, yet their substantial computational cost severely limits the number of feasible high-fidelity (HF) evaluations. This problem is often addressed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Hossein Mohammadi

Predicting future states in uncertain environments, such as wildfire spread, medical diagnosis, or autonomous driving, requires models that can consider multiple plausible outcomes. While diffusion models can effectively learn such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Sebastian Gerard , Josephine Sullivan

This paper presents "FireFly", a synthetic dataset for ember detection created using Unreal Engine 4 (UE4), designed to overcome the current lack of ember-specific training resources. To create the dataset, we present a tool that allows the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Yue Hu , Xinan Ye , Yifei Liu , Souvik Kundu , Gourav Datta , Srikar Mutnuri , Namo Asavisanu , Nora Ayanian , Konstantinos Psounis , Peter Beerel

Computational simulations of wildfire spread typically employ empirical rate-of-spread calculations under various conditions (such as terrain, fuel type, weather). Small perturbations in conditions can often lead to significant changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Andrew Bolt , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert , Joel Janek Dabrowski , James Hilton , Conrad Sanderson

We present an overview of a modeling environment, consisting of a coupled atmosphere-wildfire model, utilities for visualization, data processing, and diagnostics, open source software repositories, and a community wiki. The fire model,…

Wildfire smoke is transparent, amorphous, and often visually confounded with clouds, making early-stage detection particularly challenging. In this work, we introduce a benchmark, called SmokeBench, to evaluate the ability of multimodal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Tianye Qi , Weihao Li , Nick Barnes

This simulation study compares statistical approaches for estimating extreme quantile regression, with a specific application to fire risk forecasting. A simulation-based framework is designed to evaluate the effectiveness of different…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Amina El Bernoussi , Mohamed El Arrouchi

Fine-grained wildfire spread prediction is crucial for enhancing emergency response efficacy and decision-making precision. However, existing research predominantly focuses on coarse spatiotemporal scales and relies on low-resolution…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Nan Zhou , Huandong Wang , Jiahao Li , Han Li , Yali Song , Qiuhua Wang , Yong Li , Xinlei Chen

In recent years, the increasing threat of devastating wildfires has underscored the need for effective prescribed fire management. Process-based computer simulations have traditionally been employed to plan prescribed fires for wildfire…

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