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We consider the task of estimating a network cascade as fast as possible. The cascade is assumed to spread according to a general Susceptible-Infected process with heterogeneous transmission rates from an unknown source in the network.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-13 Anirudh Sridhar , Tirza Routtenberg , H. Vincent Poor

In network embedding, random walks play a fundamental role in preserving network structures. However, random walk based embedding methods have two limitations. First, random walk methods are fragile when the sampling frequency or the number…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-14 Yong Shi , Minglong Lei , Peng Zhang , Lingfeng Niu

The understanding of cascading failures in complex systems has been hindered by the lack of realistic large-scale modeling and analysis that can account for variable system conditions. Here, using the North American power grid, we identify,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-23 Yang Yang , Takashi Nishikawa , Adilson E. Motter

Localized perturbations in a real-world network have the potential to trigger cascade failures at the whole system level, hindering its operations and functions. Standard approaches analytically tackling this problem are mostly based either…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-19 Angelo Valente , Manlio De Domenico , Oriol Artime

Research on information diffusion generally assumes complete knowledge of the underlying network. However, in the presence of factors such as increasing privacy awareness, restrictions on application programming interfaces (APIs) and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-05-22 Václav Belák , Afra Mashhadi , Alessandra Sala , Donn Morrison

A characteristic property of networks is their ability to propagate influences, such as infectious diseases, behavioral changes, and failures. An especially important class of such contagious dynamics is that of cascading processes. These…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-26 Adilson E. Motter , Yang Yang

We propose a phase model to study cascade failure in power grids composed of generators and loads. If the power demand is below a critical value, the model system of power grids maintains the standard frequency by feedback control. On the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Tatsuma Matsuo

With the sharp increase of power demand, large-scale blackouts in power grids occur frequently around the world. Cascading failures are the main causes of network outages. Therefore, revealing the complicated cascade mechanism in grids is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-31 Yubo Huang , Junguo Lu , Weidong Zhang

Cascading failures in power systems propagate non-locally, making the control and mitigation of outages extremely hard. In this work, we use the emerging concept of the tree partition of transmission networks to provide an analytical…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-20 Linqi Guo , Chen Liang , Alessandro Zocca , Steven H. Low , Adam Wierman

Ideas, behaviors, and opinions spread through social networks. If the probability of spreading to a new individual is a non-linear function of the fraction of the individuals' affected neighbors, such a spreading process becomes a "complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-30 Julian Kates-Harbeck , Michael M. Desai

An information outbreak occurs on social media along with the COVID-19 pandemic and leads to infodemic. Predicting the popularity of online content, known as cascade prediction, allows for not only catching in advance hot information that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Ninghan Chen , Xihui Chen , Zhiqiang Zhong , Jun Pang

Large scale networks delineating collective dynamics often exhibit cascading failures across nodes leading to a system-wide collapse. Prominent examples of such phenomena would include collapse on financial and economic networks.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-07 Sudarshan Kumar , Tiziana Di Matteo , Anindya S. Chakrabarti

Current understanding holds that financial contagion is driven mainly by the system-wide interconnectedness of institutions. A distinction has been made between systematic and idiosyncratic channels of contagion, with shocks transmitted…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-04 Daniel Ahelegbey , Luis Carvalho , Eric Kolaczyk

An effective way to suppress the cascading failure risk is the branch capacity upgrade, whose optimal decision making, however, may incur high computational burden. A practical way is to find out some critical branches as the candidates in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Chao Luo , Jun Yang

Current approaches for modeling propagation in networks (e.g., spread of disease) are unable to adequately capture temporal properties of the data such as order and duration of evolving connections or dynamic likelihoods of propagation…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Aparajita Haldar , Shuang Wang , Gunduz Demirci , Joe Oakley , Hakan Ferhatosmanoglu

Can evolving networks be inferred and modeled without directly observing their nodes and edges? In many applications, the edges of a dynamic network might not be observed, but one can observe the dynamics of stochastic cascading processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Elahe Ghalebi , Baharan Mirzasoleiman , Radu Grosu , Jure Leskovec

Sudden failure of a single transmission element in a power grid can induce a domino effect of cascading failures, which can lead to the isolation of a large number of consumers or even to the failure of the entire grid. Here we present…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-09-14 Martin Rohden , Daniel Jung , Samyak Tamrakar , Stefan Kettemann

The prediction for information diffusion on social networks has great practical significance in marketing and public opinion control. It aims to predict the individuals who will potentially repost the message on the social network. One type…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Wenjin Xie , Xiaomeng Wang , Tao Jia

This paper presents a complex systems overview of a power grid network. In recent years, concerns about the robustness of the power grid have grown because of several cascading outages in different parts of the world. In this paper,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2010-06-24 Sakshi Pahwa , Amelia Hodges , Caterina Scoglio , Sean Wood

Cascading failures (CFs) in electrical power grids propagate nonlocally; After a local disturbance, the second failure may be distant. To study the avalanche dynamics and mitigation strategy of nonlocal CFs, numerical simulation is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-03 Bukyoung Jhun , Hoyun Choi , Yongsun Lee , Jongshin Lee , Cook Hyun Kim , B. Kahng
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