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We introduce a physically relevant stochastic representation of the rotating shallow water equations. The derivation relies mainly on a stochastic transport principle and on a decomposition of the fluid flow into a large-scale component and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-01-05 Rüdiger Brecht , Long Li , Werner Bauer , Etienne Mémin

Classical Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) of long-time processes with strongly separated time scales is computationally extremely demanding if not impossible. Consequently, the state-of-the-art description of such systems is not capable…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2016-08-08 Thomas Lichtenegger , Stefan Pirker

Process-based hydrologic models are invaluable tools for understanding the terrestrial water cycle and addressing modern water resources problems. However, many hydrologic models are computationally expensive and, depending on the…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-11 Timothy Dai , Kate Maher , Zach Perzan

Surrogate models, crucial for approximating complex simulation data across sciences, inherently carry uncertainties that range from simulation noise to model prediction errors. Without rigorous uncertainty quantification, predictions become…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-07 Yuhan Duan , Xin Zhao , Neng Shi , Han-Wei Shen

We consider the use of probabilistic neural networks for fluid flow {surrogate modeling} and data recovery. This framework is constructed by assuming that the target variables are sampled from a Gaussian distribution conditioned on the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-14 Romit Maulik , Kai Fukami , Nesar Ramachandra , Koji Fukagata , Kunihiko Taira

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is receiving more and more attention for engineering applications in particular from robust optimization. Indeed, running a computer experiment only provides a limited knowledge in terms of uncertainty and…

In stochastic simulation, input uncertainty refers to the output variability arising from the statistical noise in specifying the input models. This uncertainty can be measured by a variance contribution in the output, which, in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Henry Lam , Huajie Qian

Particle settling in inclined channels is an important phenomenon that occurs during hydraulic fracturing of shale gas production. Generally, in order to accurately simulate the large-scale (field-scale) proppant transport process,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-06-14 Pengfei Tang , Junsheng Zeng , Dongxiao Zhang , Heng Li

Production optimization in stress-sensitive unconventional reservoirs is governed by a nonlinear trade-off between pressure-driven flow and stress-induced degradation of fracture conductivity and matrix permeability. While higher drawdown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Mahammad Valiyev , Jodel Cornelio , Behnam Jafarpour

Biomolecules exhibit conformational fluctuations near equilibrium states, inducing uncertainty in various biological properties in a dynamic way. We have developed a general method to quantify the uncertainty of target properties induced by…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-02 Huan Lei , Xiu Yang , Bin Zheng , Guang Lin , Nathan A. Baker

Physics simulations like computational fluid dynamics (CFD) are a computational bottleneck in computer-aided design (CAD) optimization processes. To overcome this bottleneck, one requires either an optimization framework that is highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Harsh Vardhan , David Hyde , Umesh Timalsina , Peter Volgyesi , Janos Sztipanovits

In recent years, there have been a surge in applications of neural networks (NNs) in physical sciences. Although various algorithmic advances have been proposed, there are, thus far, limited number of studies that assess the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-17 Kai Fukami , Romit Maulik , Nesar Ramachandra , Koji Fukagata , Kunihiko Taira

In this work, we propose a novel transport model for soluble surfactants in two-phase flows. In a two-phase flow, the soluble surfactants can adsorb/desorb from/into the bulk of any of the phases to the interface and can modify the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-14 Suhas S. Jain

For decades, uncertainty quantification techniques based on the spectral approach have been demonstrated to be computationally more efficient than the Monte Carlo method for a wide variety of problems, particularly when the dimensionality…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-22 Hugo Esquivel , Arun Prakash , Guang Lin

A critical limitation of current methods based on Neural Radiance Fields (NeRF) is that they are unable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the learned appearance and geometry of the scene. This information is paramount in real…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Jianxiong Shen , Antonio Agudo , Francesc Moreno-Noguer , Adria Ruiz

Polynomial chaos expansion is a popular way to develop surrogate models for stochastic systems with arbitrary random variables. Standard techniques such as Galerkin projection, stochastic collocation, and least squares approximation, are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

Physics-informed polynomial chaos expansions (PC$^2$) provide an efficient physically constrained surrogate modeling framework by embedding governing equations and other physical constraints into the standard data-driven polynomial chaos…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-12 Qitian Lu , Himanshu Sharma , Michael D. Shields , Lukáš Novák

Stochastic simulation has been widely used to analyze the performance of complex stochastic systems and facilitate decision making in those systems. Stochastic simulation is driven by the input model, which is a collection of probability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-14 Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

Uncertainty quantification is critical for ensuring robustness in high-stakes machine learning applications. We introduce HybridFlow, a modular hybrid architecture that unifies the modeling of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Peter Van Katwyk , Karianne J. Bergen

In this work, Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) based on non-intrusive Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is applied to the CFD problem of the flow past an airfoil with parameterized angle of attack and inflow velocity. To limit the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Saddam Hijazi , Giovanni Stabile , Andrea Mola , Gianluigi Rozza