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In the quest for advanced propulsion and power-generation systems, high-fidelity simulations are too computationally expensive to survey the desired design space, and a new design methodology is needed that combines engineering physics,…

We present a hybrid sampling-surrogate approach for reducing the computational expense of uncertainty quantification in nonlinear dynamical systems. Our motivation is to enable rapid uncertainty quantification in complex mechanical systems…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-27 Hang Yang , Yuji Fujii , K. W. Wang , Alex A. Gorodetsky

Subsurface flow problems usually involve some degree of uncertainty. Consequently, uncertainty quantification is commonly necessary for subsurface flow prediction. In this work, we propose a methodology for efficient uncertainty…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-02 Nanzhe Wang , Haibin Chang , Dongxiao Zhang

We present a computational framework for dimension reduction and surrogate modeling to accelerate uncertainty quantification in computationally intensive models with high-dimensional inputs and function-valued outputs. Our driving…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Helen Cleaves , Alen Alexanderian , Bilal Saad

Image-based computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling enables derivation of hemodynamic information, which has become a paradigm in cardiovascular research and healthcare. Nonetheless, the predictive accuracy largely depends on precisely…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-07-20 Han Gao , Xueyu Zhu , Jian-Xun Wang

We build surrogate models for dynamic 3D subsurface single-phase flow problems with multiple vertical producing wells. The surrogate model provides efficient pressure estimation of the entire formation at any timestep given a stochastic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Rui Xu , Dongxiao Zhang , Nanzhe Wang

Traditional physics-based models of geophysical flows, such as debris flows and landslides that pose significant risks to human lives and infrastructure are computationally expensive, limiting their utility for large-scale parameter sweeps,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-11 Palak Patel , Luke McGuire , Abani Patra

Existing deep learning-based surrogate models facilitate efficient data generation, but fall short in uncertainty quantification, efficient parameter space exploration, and reverse prediction. In our work, we introduce SurroFlow, a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Jingyi Shen , Yuhan Duan , Han-Wei Shen

Accurate modeling of contamination in subsurface flow and water aquifers is crucial for agriculture and environmental protection. Here, we demonstrate a parallel method to quantify the propagation of the uncertainty in the dispersal of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Alexander Litvinenko , Dmitry Logashenko , Raul Tempone , Gabriel Wittum , David Keyes

Despite the progress in high performance computing, Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations are still computationally expensive for many practical engineering applications such as simulating large computational domains and highly…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-10-26 Botros N Hanna , Nam T. Dinh , Robert W. Youngblood , Igor A. Bolotnov

Stochastic collocation (SC) is a well-known non-intrusive method of constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification. In dynamical systems, SC is especially suited for full-field uncertainty propagation that characterizes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Saibal De , Reese E. Jones , Hemanth Kolla

Numerical simulations on fluid dynamics problems primarily rely on spatially or/and temporally discretization of the governing equation into the finite-dimensional algebraic system solved by computers. Due to complicated nature of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-07-23 Luning Sun , Han Gao , Shaowu Pan , Jian-Xun Wang

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) provides high-fidelity simulations of fluid flows but remains computationally expensive for many-query applications. In recent years deep learning (DL) has been used to construct data-driven fluid-dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 David Ramos , Lucas Lacasa , Fermín Gutiérrez , Eusebio Valero , Gonzalo Rubio

Machine learning (ML) surrogate models are increasingly used in engineering analysis and design to replace computationally expensive simulation models, significantly reducing computational cost and accelerating decision-making processes.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Xiaoping Du

Fiber orientation is decisive for the mechanical performance of composite materials. During manufacturing, variations in material and process parameters can influence fiber orientation. We employ multilevel polynomial surrogates to model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Stjepan Salatovic , Sebastian Krumscheid , Florian Wittemann , Luise Kärger

In Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) studies composed of the coupling of different simulations, the uncertainty in one stage may be propagated to the following stage and affect the accuracy of the prediction. In this paper, a framework for…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-29 F. -J. Granados-Ortiz , J. Ortega-Casanova , C. -H. Lai

The effect of uncertainties and noise on a quantity of interest (model output) is often better described by its probability density function (PDF) than by its moments. Although density estimation is a common task, the adequacy of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-21 Adi Ditkowski , Gadi Fibich , Amir Sagiv

We introduce a conditional pseudo-reversible normalizing flow for constructing surrogate models of a physical model polluted by additive noise to efficiently quantify forward and inverse uncertainty propagation. Existing surrogate modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Minglei Yang , Pengjun Wang , Ming Fan , Dan Lu , Yanzhao Cao , Guannan Zhang

This paper presents an efficient surrogate modeling strategy for the uncertainty quantification and Bayesian calibration of a hydrological model. In particular, a process-based dynamical urban drainage simulator that predicts the discharge…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-14 Joseph B. Nagel , Jörg Rieckermann , Bruno Sudret

The high computational cost of phase field simulations remains a major limitation for predicting dendritic solidification in metals, particularly in additive manufacturing, where microstructural control is critical. This work presents a…

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