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This paper studies the degree to which a bivariate copula fails to be symmetric under coordinate permutation, a property known as non-exchangeability. Working within an axiomatic framework that quantifies this asymmetry through a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Manuel Úbeda-Flores

Many testing problems are readily amenable to randomised tests such as those employing data splitting. However despite their usefulness in principle, randomised tests have obvious drawbacks. Firstly, two analyses of the same dataset may…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 F. Richard Guo , Rajen D. Shah

The synthetic control method is often applied to problems with one treated unit and a small number of control units. A common inferential task in this setting is to test null hypotheses regarding the average treatment effect on the treated.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Lihua Lei , Timothy Sudijono

We propose the Cyclic Permutation Test (CPT) to test general linear hypotheses for linear models. This test is non-randomized and valid in finite samples with exact Type I error $\alpha$ for an arbitrary fixed design matrix and arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-01 Lihua Lei , Peter J. Bickel

There has been much interest in the nonparametric testing of conditional independence in the econometric and statistical literature, but the simplest and potentially most useful method, based on the sample partial correlation, seems to have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-27 Wicher Bergsma

We propose a method for variable selection in multiple regression with random predictors. This method is based on a criterion that permits to reduce the variable selection problem to a problem of estimating suitable permutation and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-29 Alban Mbina Mbina , Guy Martial Nkiet , Assi Nguessan

Distribution shifts are ubiquitous in real-world machine learning applications, posing a challenge to the generalization of models trained on one data distribution to another. We focus on scenarios where data distributions vary across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Steven Wilkins-Reeves , Xu Chen , Qi Ma , Christine Agarwal , Aude Hofleitner

Meta-learning, or learning-to-learn, seeks to design algorithms that can utilize previous experience to rapidly learn new skills or adapt to new environments. Representation learning -- a key tool for performing meta-learning -- learns a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Nilesh Tripuraneni , Chi Jin , Michael I. Jordan

Real-world deployment of machine learning models is challenging because data evolves over time. While no model can work when data evolves in an arbitrary fashion, if there is some pattern to these changes, we might be able to design methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Rasool Fakoor , Jonas Mueller , Zachary C. Lipton , Pratik Chaudhari , Alexander J. Smola

We study the properties of conformal prediction for network data under various sampling mechanisms that commonly arise in practice but often result in a non-representative sample of nodes. We interpret these sampling mechanisms as selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-14 Robert Lunde

Clinical machine learning applications are often plagued with confounders that are clinically irrelevant, but can still artificially boost the predictive performance of the algorithms. Confounding is especially problematic in mobile health…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-29 Elias Chaibub Neto

An artificial intelligence (AI) model can be viewed as a function that maps inputs to outputs in high-dimensional spaces. Once designed and well trained, the AI model is applied for inference. However, even optimized AI models can produce…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Sha Hu

Statistical evaluation aims to estimate the generalization performance of a model using held-out i.i.d.\ test data sampled from the ground-truth distribution. In supervised learning settings such as classification, performance metrics such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Shashaank Aiyer , Yishay Mansour , Shay Moran , Han Shao

Along with accurate prediction, understanding the contribution of each feature to the making of the prediction, i.e., the importance of the feature, is a desirable and arguably necessary component of a machine learning model. For a complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Aaron Foote , Danny Krizanc

Model selection in non-linear models often prioritizes performance metrics over statistical tests, limiting the ability to account for sampling variability. We propose the use of a statistical test to assess the equality of variances in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-16 Argimiro Arratia , Alejandra Cabaña , Ernesto Mordecki , Gerard Rovira-Parra

Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we consider a statistical classification task in a sequential setting where test samples arrive sequentially. In addition, the generating distributions are unknown and only a set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mahdi Haghifam , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Ashish Khisti

In nutritional and environmental epidemiology, exposures are impractical to measure accurately, while practical measures for these exposures are often subject to substantial measurement error. Regression calibration is among the most used…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Zexiang Li , Donna Spiegelman , Molin Wang , Zuoheng Wang , Xin Zhou

In this paper, we generalize the metric-based permutation test for the equality of covariance operators proposed by Pigoli et al. (2014) to the case of multiple samples of functional data. To this end, the non-parametric combination…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-05 Alessandra Cabassi , Davide Pigoli , Piercesare Secchi , Patrick A. Carter

In this paper, we develop invariance-based procedures for testing and inference in high-dimensional regression models. These procedures, also known as randomization tests, provide several important advantages. First, for the global null…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Wenxuan Guo , Panos Toulis

Typically, machine learning models are trained and evaluated without making any distinction between users (e.g, using traditional hold-out and cross-validation). However, this produces inaccurate performance metrics estimates in multi-user…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Enrique Garcia-Ceja , Luciano Garcia-Banuelos , Nicolas Jourdan