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Standard statistical learning theory predicts that Large Language Models (LLMs) should overfit because their parameter counts vastly exceed the number of training tokens. Yet, in practice, they generalize robustly. We propose that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Dibyanayan Bandyopadhyay , Asif Ekbal

Traditionally, spline or kernel approaches in combination with parametric estimation are used to infer the linear coefficient (fixed effects) in a partially linear mixed-effects model for repeated measurements. Using machine learning…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-03 Corinne Emmenegger , Peter Bühlmann

The focus of modern biomedical studies has gradually shifted to explanation and estimation of joint effects of high dimensional predictors on disease risks. Quantifying uncertainty in these estimates may provide valuable insight into…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Zhe Fei , Yi Li

Rank regression offers robustness to outliers and heavy-tailed response distributions, invariance to monotonic transformations, and improved efficiency under non-Gaussian errors, making it a versatile tool for analyzing complex data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Jiyuan Tu , Suqi Wu , Yichen Zhang , Wen-Xin Zhou

Model-assisted, two-stage forest survey sampling designs provide a means to combine airborne remote sensing data, collected in a sampling mode, with field plot data to increase the precision of national forest inventory estimates, while…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-20 Hans-Erik Andersen , Göran Ståhl , Bruce D. Cook , Douglas C. Morton , Andrew O. Finley

We propose SWA-Gaussian (SWAG), a simple, scalable, and general purpose approach for uncertainty representation and calibration in deep learning. Stochastic Weight Averaging (SWA), which computes the first moment of stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Wesley Maddox , Timur Garipov , Pavel Izmailov , Dmitry Vetrov , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Small Language Models (SLMs) offer compelling advantages in deployment cost and latency, but their accuracy often lags behind larger models, particularly for complex domain-specific tasks. While supervised fine-tuning can help bridge this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Huan Song , Deeksha Razdan , Yiyue Qian , Arijit Ghosh Chowdhury , Parth Patwa , Aman Chadha , Shinan Zhang , Sharlina Keshava , Hannah Marlowe

Undirected graphical models are a key component in the analysis of complex observational data in a large variety of disciplines. In many of these applications one is interested in estimating the undirected graphical model underlying a…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-21 Jonas M. B. Haslbeck , Lourens J. Waldorp

Surrogate modeling is of great practical significance for parametric differential equation systems. In contrast to classical numerical methods, using physics-informed deep learning methods to construct simulators for such systems is a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Xili Wang , Kejun Tang , Jiayu Zhai , Xiaoliang Wan , Chao Yang

We propose a Bayesian variable selection method in the framework of modal regression for heavy-tailed responses. An efficient expectation-maximization algorithm is employed to expedite parameter estimation. A test statistic is constructed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Jiasong Duan , Hongmei Zhang , Xianzheng Huang

Linear mixed models are able to handle an extraordinary range of complications in regression-type analyses. Their most common use is to account for within-subject correlation in longitudinal data analysis. They are also the standard vehicle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Y. Zhao , J. Staudenmayer , B. A. Coull , M. P. Wand

We propose a new model specification test for multiple-equation systems with cross-equation error and dynamic regressor--error dependences. Conventional tests often rely on exogeneity conditions strong enough to ensure consistency of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Koichiro Moriya , Akihiko Noda

This article introduces lassopack, a suite of programs for regularized regression in Stata. lassopack implements lasso, square-root lasso, elastic net, ridge regression, adaptive lasso and post-estimation OLS. The methods are suitable for…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-17 Achim Ahrens , Christian B. Hansen , Mark E. Schaffer

Supervised topic models with a logistic likelihood have two issues that potentially limit their practical use: 1) response variables are usually over-weighted by document word counts; and 2) existing variational inference methods make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-10-10 Jun Zhu , Xun Zheng , Bo Zhang

Accurate power and sample size (PSS) calculations are essential for designing studies that use quasi-likelihood (QL) models, which extend generalized linear models (GLMs) to settings where the full distribution of the outcome is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Shijie Yuan , Amy Cochran , Paul Rathouz

We develop sampling methods, which consist of Gaussian invariant versions of random walk Metropolis (RWM), Metropolis adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA) and second order Hessian or Manifold MALA. Unlike standard RWM and MALA we show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-27 Michalis K. Titsias , Angelos Alexopoulos , Siran Liu , Petros Dellaportas

For some variants of regression models, including partial, measurement error or error-in-variables, latent effects, semi-parametric and otherwise corrupted linear models, the classical parametric tests generally do not perform well. Various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-25 Pranab K. Sen , Jana Jureckova , Jan Picek

We construct a modular generalized Springer correspondence for any classical group, by generalizing to the modular setting various results of Lusztig in the case of characteristic-$0$ coefficients. We determine the cuspidal pairs in all…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Pramod N. Achar , Anthony Henderson , Daniel Juteau , Simon Riche

Building on Dryden et al. (2021), this note presents the Bayesian estimation of a regression model for size-and-shape response variables with Gaussian landmarks. Our proposal fits into the framework of Bayesian latent variable models and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Antonio Di Noia , Gianluca Mastrantonio , Giovanna Jona Lasinio

Theoretically understanding stochastic gradient descent (SGD) in overparameterized models has led to the development of several optimization algorithms that are widely used in practice today. Recent work by~\citet{zou2021benign} provides…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Alexandru Meterez , Depen Morwani , Costin-Andrei Oncescu , Jingfeng Wu , Cengiz Pehlevan , Sham Kakade