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Motivated by the increasing integration among electricity markets, in this paper we propose two different methods to incorporate market integration in electricity price forecasting and to improve the predictive performance. First, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-08 Jesus Lago , Fjo De Ridder , Peter Vrancx , Bart De Schutter

This paper presents a framework capable of accurately forecasting future sales in the retail industry and classifying the product portfolio according to the expected level of forecasting reliability. The proposed framework, that would be of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-18 Emir Zunic , Kemal Korjenic , Kerim Hodzic , Dzenana Donko

The need for multimodal data integration arises naturally when multiple complementary sets of features are measured on the same sample. Under a dependent multifactor model, we develop a fully data-driven orchestrated approximate message…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Sagnik Nandy , Zongming Ma

In retail sales forecasting, accurately predicting future sales is crucial for inventory management and strategic planning. Traditional methods like LR often fall short due to the complexity of sales data, which includes seasonality and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Priyam Ganguly , Isha Mukherjee

Efficient management of spare parts inventory is crucial in the automotive aftermarket, where demand is highly intermittent and uncertainty drives substantial cost and service risks. Forecasting is therefore central, but the quality of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-03 So Fukuhara , Abdallah Alabdallah , Nuwan Gunasekara , Slawomir Nowaczyk

In recent years, data mining researchers have developed efficient association rule algorithms for retail market basket analysis. Still, retailers often complain about how to adopt association rules to optimize concrete retail marketing-mix…

Databases · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Tom Brijs , Bart Goethals , Gilbert Swinnen , Koen Vanhoof , Geert Wets

Sales forecasting plays a prominent role in business planning and business strategy. The value and importance of advance information is a cornerstone of planning activity, and a well-set forecast goal can guide sale-force more efficiently.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-17 Qiuping Xu , Vikas Sharma

Calibration sample selection and forecast combination are two simple yet powerful tools used in forecasting. They can be combined with a variety of models to significantly improve prediction accuracy, at the same time offering easy…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-20 Tomasz Serafin , Weronika Nitka

Deciding which predictors to use plays an integral role in deriving statistical models in a wide range of applications. Motivated by the challenges of predicting events across a telecommunications network, we propose a semi-automated, joint…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-10 Aaron Lowther , Paul Fearnhead , Matthew Nunes , Kjeld Jensen

In order to solve the problems such as difficult to extract effective features and low accuracy of sales volume prediction caused by complex relationships such as market sales volume in time series prediction, we proposed a time series…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-06 Jianyu Liu , Wei Chen , Yong Zhang , Zhenfeng Chen , Bin Wan , Jinwei Hu

Time-Series Forecasting is a powerful data modeling discipline that analyzes historical observations to predict future values of a time-series. It has been utilized in numerous applications, including but not limited to economics,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Wadie Skaf , Arzu Tosayeva , Dániel T. Várkonyi

The development of an intelligent agricultural decision-supporting system for crop selection and disease forecasting in Bangladesh is the main objective of this work. The economy of the nation depends heavily on agriculture. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Forkan Uddin Ahmed , Annesha Das , Md Zubair

Predicting the economy's short-term dynamics -- a vital input to economic agents' decision-making process -- often uses lagged indicators in linear models. This is typically sufficient during normal times but could prove inadequate during…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-21 James T. E. Chapman , Ajit Desai

Due to accessible big data collections from consumers, products, and stores, advanced sales forecasting capabilities have drawn great attention from many companies especially in the retail business because of its importance in decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Xuan Bi , Gediminas Adomavicius , William Li , Annie Qu

The equations of complex dynamical systems may not be identified by expert knowledge, especially if the underlying mechanisms are unknown. Data-driven discovery methods address this challenge by inferring governing equations from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Amit K. Chakraborty , Hao Wang , Pouria Ramazi

Accurate demand forecasting is vital for ensuring reliable access to contraceptive products, supporting key processes like procurement, inventory, and distribution. However, forecasting contraceptive demand in developing countries presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Harsha Chamara Hewage , Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Aris Syntetos , Federico Liberatore , Glenn Milano

Retail sales forecasting presents a significant challenge for large retailers such as Walmart and Amazon, due to the vast assortment of products, geographical location heterogeneity, seasonality, and external factors including weather,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Tong Zhou

Reliable demand forecasts are critical for the effective supply chain management. Several endogenous and exogenous variables can influence the dynamics of demand, and hence a single statistical model that only consists of historical sales…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-09 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Ali Eshragh , Jason Hurley , Behnam Fahimnia

Modern pretrained time-series foundation models can forecast without task-specific training, but they do not fully incorporate economic behavior. We show that teaching them basic economic logic improves how they predict demand using an…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-26 Victor H. Aguiar , Nail Kashaev

Many applications in different domains produce large amount of time series data. Making accurate forecasting is critical for many decision makers. Various time series forecasting methods exist which use linear and nonlinear models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-19 Ümit Çavuş Büyükşahin , Şeyda Ertekin