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In this work, we propose an approach for assessing sensitivity to unobserved confounding in studies with multiple outcomes. We demonstrate how prior knowledge unique to the multi-outcome setting can be leveraged to strengthen causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-26 Jiajing Zheng , Jiaxi Wu , Alexander D'Amour , Alexander Franks

Distributed estimation in the context of sensor networks is considered, where distributed agents are given a set of sensor measurements, and are tasked with estimating a target variable. A subset of sensors are assumed to be faulty. The…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-26 Marian Temprana Alonso , Farhad Shirani , S. Sitharama Iyengar

We investigate the prominent class of fair representation learning methods for bias mitigation. Using causal reasoning to define and formalise different sources of dataset bias, we reveal important implicit assumptions inherent to these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Charles Jones , Fabio de Sousa Ribeiro , Mélanie Roschewitz , Daniel C. Castro , Ben Glocker

In the partially-observed outcome setting, a recent set of proposals known as "prediction-powered inference" (PPI) involve (i) applying a pre-trained machine learning model to predict the response, and then (ii) using these predictions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Runjia Zou , Daniela Witten , Brian Williamson

This paper considers the problem of design-based inference for the average treatment effect in finely stratified experiments. Here, by "design-based'' we mean that the only source of uncertainty stems from the randomness in treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-08 Yuehao Bai , Xun Huang , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh , Max Tabord-Meehan

Single-parameter summaries of variable effects in regression settings are desirable for ease of interpretation. However (partially) linear models for example, which would deliver these, may fit poorly to the data. On the other hand, an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Harvey Klyne , Rajen D. Shah

Data integration approaches are increasingly used to enhance the efficiency and generalizability of studies. However, a key limitation of these methods is the assumption that outcome measures are identical across datasets -- an assumption…

In cases of uncertainty, a multi-class classifier preferably returns a set of candidate classes instead of predicting a single class label with little guarantee. More precisely, the classifier should strive for an optimal balance between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Thomas Mortier , Marek Wydmuch , Krzysztof Dembczyński , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

This paper provides robust estimators and efficient inference of causal effects involving multiple interacting mediators. Most existing works either impose a linear model assumption among the mediators or are restricted to handle…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-12 Haoyu Wei , Hengrui Cai , Chengchun Shi , Rui Song

Many machine learning algorithms can be interpreted as procedures for estimating functions defined on the data distribution. In this paper we present a conceptual framework that formulates a wide range of learning problems as variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 K. Lakshmanan

We consider the problem of estimation of a function by a system consisting of two agents and a fusion center. The two agents collect data comprising of samples of an independent variable and the corresponding value of a dependent variable.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-18 Aneesh Raghavan , Karl Henrik Johansson

As society transitions towards an AI-based decision-making infrastructure, an ever-increasing number of decisions once under control of humans are now delegated to automated systems. Even though such developments make various parts of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Drago Plecko , Elias Bareinboim

Existing effect measures for compositional features are inadequate for many modern applications, for example, in microbiome research, since they display traits such as high-dimensionality and sparsity that can be poorly modelled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Anton Rask Lundborg , Niklas Pfister

Sequential Bayesian inference over predictive functions is a natural framework for continual learning from streams of data. However, applying it to neural networks has proved challenging in practice. Addressing the drawbacks of existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Freddie Bickford Smith , Qixuan Feng , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

We address the problem of integrating data from multiple, possibly biased, observational and interventional studies, to eventually compute counterfactuals in structural causal models. We start from the case of a single observational dataset…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas , David Huber

The era of big data has witnessed an increasing availability of multiple data sources for statistical analyses. We consider estimation of causal effects combining big main data with unmeasured confounders and smaller validation data with…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-24 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

We present an objective function for learning with unlabeled data that utilizes auxiliary expectation constraints. We optimize this objective function using a procedure that alternates between information and moment projections. Our method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Kedar Bellare , Gregory Druck , Andrew McCallum

Prediction models are often employed in estimating parameters of optimization models. Despite the fact that in an end-to-end view, the real goal is to achieve good optimization performance, the prediction performance is measured on its own.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Nam Ho-Nguyen , Fatma Kılınç-Karzan

Creating impact in real-world settings requires artificial intelligence techniques to span the full pipeline from data, to predictive models, to decisions. These components are typically approached separately: a machine learning model is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-22 Bryan Wilder , Bistra Dilkina , Milind Tambe

Causal inference necessarily relies upon untestable assumptions; hence, it is crucial to assess the robustness of obtained results to violations of identification assumptions. However, such sensitivity analysis is only occasionally…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-19 Tobias Freidling , Qingyuan Zhao
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