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In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

We consider the problem of breakpoint detection in a regression modeling framework. To that end, we introduce a novel method, the max-EM algorithm which combines a constrained Hidden Markov Model with the Classification-EM (CEM) algorithm.…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-14 Modibo Diabaté , Grégory Nuel , Olivier Bouaziz

In this paper, we consider the problem of identifying a linear map from measurements which are subject to intermittent and arbitarily large errors. This is a fundamental problem in many estimation-related applications such as fault…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-08-09 Laurent Bako , Henrik Ohlsson

Existing approaches to model uncertainty typically either compare models using a quantitative model selection criterion or evaluate posterior model probabilities having set a prior. In this paper, we propose an alternative strategy which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-26 Vik Shirvaikar , Stephen G. Walker , Chris Holmes

We study the problem of robust mean estimation and introduce a novel Hamming distance-based measure of distribution shift for coordinate-level corruptions. We show that this measure yields adversary models that capture more realistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Zifan Liu , Jongho Park , Theodoros Rekatsinas , Christos Tzamos

In this article, we study the statistical and asymptotic properties of break-point estimators in nonstationary autoregressive and predictive regression models for testing the presence of a single structural break at an unknown location in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-29 Christis Katsouris

This paper tackles the challenge of detecting unreliable behavior in regression algorithms, which may arise from intrinsic variability (e.g., aleatoric uncertainty) or modeling errors (e.g., model uncertainty). First, we formally introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Andres Altieri , Marco Romanelli , Georg Pichler , Florence Alberge , Pablo Piantanida

In longitudinal data a response variable is measured over time, or under different conditions, for a cohort of individuals. In many situations all intended measurements are not available which results in missing values. If the missing value…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-10 Ahmed M. Gad , Nesma M. Darwish

Sampled network data are widely used in empirical research because collecting complete network information is costly. However, empirical analyses based on sampled networks may lead to biased estimators. We propose a nonparametric imputation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Ge Sun , Weisheng Zhang

Robust inference based on the minimization of statistical divergences has proved to be a useful alternative to classical techniques based on maximum likelihood and related methods. Basu et al. (1998) introduced the density power divergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Subhrajyoty Roy , Abir Sarkar , Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

As in other estimation scenarios, likelihood based estimation in the normal mixture set-up is highly non-robust against model misspecification and presence of outliers (apart from being an ill-posed optimization problem). A robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-20 Soumya Chakraborty , Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh

Robust estimators of location and dispersion are often used in the elliptical model to obtain an uncontaminated and highly representative subsample by trimming the data outside an ellipsoid based in the associated Mahalanobis distance. Here…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Juan A. Cuesta-Albertos , Carlos Matrán , Agustín Mayo-Iscar

The advanced operation of future electricity distribution systems is likely to require significant observability of the different parameters of interest (e.g., demand, voltages, currents, etc.). Ensuring completeness of data is, therefore,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-07 Cristian Genes , Iñaki Esnaola , Samir. M. Perlaza , Luis F. Ochoa , Daniel Coca

Many statistical estimators are defined as the fixed point of a data-dependent operator, with estimators based on minimizing a cost function being an important special case. The limiting performance of such estimators depends on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan , Bin Yu

This study proposes a point estimator of the break location for a one-time structural break in linear regression models. If the break magnitude is small, the least-squares estimator of the break date has two modes at the ends of the finite…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-04 Yaein Baek

In this paper, we develop efficient randomized algorithms for estimating probabilistic robustness margin and constructing robustness degradation curve for uncertain dynamic systems. One remarkable feature of these algorithms is their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

We explore why many recently proposed robust estimation problems are efficiently solvable, even though the underlying optimization problems are non-convex. We study the loss landscape of these robust estimation problems, and identify the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-29 Banghua Zhu , Jiantao Jiao , Jacob Steinhardt

The finite sensitivity of instruments or detection methods means that data sets in many areas of astronomy, for example cosmological or exoplanet surveys, are necessarily systematically incomplete. Such data sets, where the population being…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-14 Adam B. Mantz

For a partial structural change in a linear regression model with a single break, we develop a continuous record asymptotic framework to build inference methods for the break date. We have T observations with a sampling frequency h over a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

Cellwise outliers are likely to occur together with casewise outliers in modern data sets with relatively large dimension. Recent work has shown that traditional robust regression methods may fail for data sets in this paradigm. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Andy Leung , Hongyang Zhang , Ruben H. Zamar
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