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In this paper, we consider statistical estimation of time-inhomogeneous aggregate Markov models. Unaggregated models, which corresponds to Markov chains, are commonly used in multi-state life insurance to model the biometric states of an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-11 Jamaal Ahmad , Mogens Bladt

This paper proposes a data-driven distributionally robust shortest path (DRSP) model where the distribution of the travel time in the transportation network can only be partially observed through a finite number of samples. Specifically, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Zhuolin Wang , Keyou You , Shiji Song , Yuli Zhang

There are numerous randomized algorithms to generate spanning trees in a given ambient graph; several target the uniform distribution on trees (UST), while in practice the fastest and most frequently used draw random weights on the edges…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Eric Babson , Moon Duchin , Annina Iseli , Pietro Poggi-Corradini , Dylan Thurston , Jamie Tucker-Foltz

In this paper, we investigate the classical and Bayesian estimation of unknown parameters of the Gumbel type-II distribution based on adaptive type-II progressive hybrid censored sample (AT-II PHCS). The maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs)…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-17 Subhankar Dutta , Suchandan Kayal

In using the Bayesian network (BN) to construct the complex multistate system's reliability model as described in Part I, the memory storage requirements of the node probability table (NPT) will exceed the random access memory (RAM) of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao , Xiaoqian Chen

We propose a Bayesian framework for planning simple step-stress accelerated life tests when items are subject to two independent competing failure modes We assume that the competing risks are independent, with lifetimes following Weibull…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Kiran Prajapat

In the context of regressing a response $Y$ on a predictor $X$, we consider estimating the local modes of the distribution of $Y$ given $X=x$ when $X$ is prone to measurement error. We propose two nonparametric estimation methods, with one…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-28 Haiming Zhou , Xianzheng Huang

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is now a well established method for performing approximate Bayesian parameter estimation for simulation-based models that do not possess a tractable likelihood function. BSL approximates an intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-04 Ziwen An , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi

We present a Bayesian nonparametric model for conditional distribution estimation using Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). The generative model we use is based on rejection sampling from a base model. Typical of BART models, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-02 Yinpu Li , Antonio R. Linero , Jared S. Murray

Robust Bayesian inference is the calculation of posterior probability bounds given perturbations in a probabilistic model. This paper focuses on perturbations that can be expressed locally in Bayesian networks through convex sets of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman

Many modern products are highly reliable, often exhibiting long lifetimes. As a result, conducting experiments under normal operating conditions can be prohibitively time-consuming to collect sufficient failure data for robust statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 María Jaenada , Juan Millán , Leandro Pardo

We recently developed a new method riAFT-BART to draw causal inferences about population treatment effect on patient survival from clustered and censored survival data while accounting for the multilevel data structure. The practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-14 Liangyuan Hu

In this article, we consider models for time-to-event data obtained from experiments in which stress levels are altered at intermediate stages during the observation period. These experiments, known as step-stress tests, belong to the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-04 Nandini Kannan , Debasis Kundu

Spatial survival analysis has received a great deal of attention over the last 20 years due to the important role that geographical information can play in predicting survival. This paper provides an introduction to a set of programs for…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-25 Haiming Zhou , Timothy Hanson , Jiajia Zhang

Kernel-based nonparametric hazard rate estimation is considered with a special class of infinite-order kernels that achieves favorable bias and mean square error properties. A fully automatic and adaptive implementation of a density and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Arthur Berg , Dimitris N Politis , Kagba Suaray , Hui Zeng

Structural equation models comprise a large class of popular statistical models, including factor analysis models, certain mixed models, and extensions thereof. Model estimation is complicated by the fact that we typically have multiple…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-18 Edgar C. Merkle , Ellen Fitzsimmons , James Uanhoro , Ben Goodrich

Nowadays, massive datasets are typically dispersed across multiple locations, encountering dual challenges of high dimensionality and huge sample size. Therefore, it is necessary to explore sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Hongying Li , Minyi Zhu , Yaqi Cao , Xinyi Xu

We introduce BLAST, Bayesian Linear regression with Adaptive Shrinkage for Transfer, a Bayesian multi-source transfer learning framework for high-dimensional linear regression. The proposed analytical framework leverages global-local…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Parsa Jamshidian , Donatello Telesca

While well-established methods for time-to-event data are available when the proportional hazards assumption holds, there is no consensus on the best inferential approach under non-proportional hazards (NPH). However, a wide range of…

Conventional survival analysis methods are typically ineffective to characterize heterogeneity in the population while such information can be used to assist predictive modeling. In this study, we propose a hybrid survival analysis method,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Bojian Hou , Hongming Li , Zhicheng Jiao , Zhen Zhou , Hao Zheng , Yong Fan
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