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This work addresses a classic problem of online prediction with expert advice. We assume an adversarial opponent, and we consider both the finite-horizon and random-stopping versions of this zero-sum, two-person game. Focusing on an…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Nadejda Drenska , Robert V. Kohn

This work addresses the classic machine learning problem of online prediction with expert advice. We consider the finite-horizon version of this zero-sum, two-person game. Using verification arguments from optimal control theory, we view…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Vladimir A. Kobzar , Robert V. Kohn , Zhilei Wang

Recent work on Path-Dependent Partial Differential Equations (PPDEs) has shown that PPDE solutions can be approximated by a probabilistic representation, implemented in the literature by the estimation of conditional expectations using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Jiang Yu Nguwi , Nicolas Privault

We study online algorithms with predictions using distributional advice, a type of prediction that arises when leveraging expert knowledge or historical data. To demonstrate the usefulness and versatility of this framework, we focus on the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Clément L. Canonne , Kenny Chen , Julián Mestre

For the problem of prediction with expert advice in the adversarial setting with geometric stopping, we compute the exact leading order expansion for the long time behavior of the value function. Then, we use this expansion to prove that as…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Ibrahim Ekren , Yili Zhang

We consider a sequence of repeated prediction games and formally pass to the limit. The supersolutions of the resulting non-linear parabolic partial differential equation are closely related to the potential functions in the sense of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-03 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

We explicitly solve the nonlinear PDE that is the continuous limit of dynamic programming of \emph{expert prediction problem} in finite horizon setting with $N=4$ experts. The \emph{expert prediction problem} is formulated as a zero sum…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-04 Erhan Bayraktar , Ibrahim Ekren , Xin Zhang

We investigate an optimization problem governed by an elliptic partial differential equation with uncertain parameters. We introduce a robust optimization framework that accounts for uncertain model parameters. The resulting non-linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Alessandro Alla , Michael Hinze , Philip Kolvenbach , Oliver Lass , Stefan Ulbrich

The numerical solution methods for partial differential equation (PDE) solution allow obtaining a discrete field that converges towards the solution if the method is applied to the correct problem. Nevertheless, the numerical methods…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Alexander Hvatov

Decision making in modern large-scale and complex systems such as communication networks, smart electricity grids, and cyber-physical systems motivate novel game-theoretic approaches. This paper investigates big strategic (non-cooperative)…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-09-22 Tansu Alpcan , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein , Christopher Leckie

Online prediction from experts is a fundamental problem in machine learning and several works have studied this problem under privacy constraints. We propose and analyze new algorithms for this problem that improve over the regret bounds of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Hilal Asi , Vitaly Feldman , Tomer Koren , Kunal Talwar

We study the classical problem of prediction with expert advice in the adversarial setting with a geometric stopping time. In 1965, Cover gave the optimal algorithm for the case of 2 experts. In this paper, we design the optimal algorithm,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-12 Nick Gravin , Yuval Peres , Balasubramanian Sivan

The method of defensive forecasting is applied to the problem of prediction with expert advice for binary outcomes. It turns out that defensive forecasting is not only competitive with the Aggregating Algorithm but also handles the case of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-08-13 Vladimir Vovk

We study the multiclass online learning problem where a forecaster makes a sequence of predictions using the advice of $n$ experts. Our main contribution is to analyze the regime where the best expert makes at most $b$ mistakes and to show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Simina Brânzei , Yuval Peres

The numerical methods for differential equation solution allow obtaining a discrete field that converges towards the solution if the method is applied to the correct problem. Nevertheless, the numerical methods have the restricted class of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-03 Alexander Hvatov , Tatiana Tikhonova

This paper develops a probabilistic numerical method for solution of partial differential equations (PDEs) and studies application of that method to PDE-constrained inverse problems. This approach enables the solution of challenging inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-12 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Tim Sullivan , Mark Girolami

Online learning with expert advice is a fundamental problem of sequential prediction. In this problem, the algorithm has access to a set of $n$ "experts" who make predictions on each day. The goal on each day is to process these…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Vaidehi Srinivas , David P. Woodruff , Ziyu Xu , Samson Zhou

Despite the considerable success enjoyed by machine learning techniques in practice, numerous studies demonstrated that many approaches are vulnerable to attacks. An important class of such attacks involves adversaries changing features at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-07 Liang Tong , Sixie Yu , Scott Alfeld , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

This work addresses the classic machine learning problem of online prediction with expert advice. A new potential-based framework for the fixed horizon version of this problem has been recently developed using verification arguments from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Vladimir A. Kobzar , Robert V. Kohn , Zhilei Wang

This paper presents a new exponential lower bound for the two most popular deterministic variants of the strategy improvement algorithms for solving parity, mean payoff, discounted payoff and simple stochastic games. The first variant…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Oliver Friedmann
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