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We propose a new system identification method, called Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS), for constructing non-asymptotic confidence regions under mild statistical assumptions. SPS is introduced for linear regression models, including but not…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-24 Balázs Cs. Csáji , Marco C. Campi , Erik Weyer

We study the sample complexity of the Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) method, which constructs exact, non-asymptotic confidence regions for the true system parameters under mild statistical assumptions, such as independent and symmetric noise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-04 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

Sign-Perturbed Sum (SPS) is a powerful finite-sample system identification algorithm which can construct confidence regions for the true data generating system with exact coverage probabilities, for any finite sample size. SPS was developed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-30 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

Hypothesis testing methods that do not rely on exact distribution assumptions have been emerging lately. The method of sign-perturbed sums (SPS) is capable of characterizing confidence regions with exact confidence levels for linear…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-03 Sándor Kolumbán , István Vajk , Johan Schoukens

We propose a generalization of the recently developed system identification method called Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS). The proposed construction is based on the instrumental variables estimate and, unlike the original SPS, it can construct…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-17 Valerio Volpe , Balázs Cs. Csáji , Algo Carè , Erik Weyer , Marco C. Campi

Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) is a system identification method that constructs confidence regions for the unknown system parameters. In this paper, we study SPS for ARX systems, and establish that the confidence regions are guaranteed to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-20 Algo Carè , Erik Weyer , Balázs Cs. Csáji , Marco C. Campi

The paper suggests a generalization of the Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) finite sample system identification method for the identification of closed-loop observable stochastic linear systems in state-space form. The solution builds on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

The least squares (LS) estimate is the archetypical solution of linear regression problems. The asymptotic Gaussianity of the scaled LS error is often used to construct approximate confidence ellipsoids around the LS estimate, however, for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-11 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

We consider the problem of testing whether a single coefficient is equal to zero in linear models when the dimension of covariates $p$ can be up to a constant fraction of sample size $n$. In this regime, an important topic is to propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Kaiyue Wen , Tengyao Wang , Yuhao Wang

Random permutation set (RPS) is a recently proposed framework designed to represent order-structured uncertain information. Measuring the distance between permutation mass functions is a key research topic in RPS theory (RPST). This paper…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Ruolan Cheng , Yong Deng , Serafín Moral , José Ramón Trillo

The Random Permutation Set (RPS) is a new type of set proposed recently, which can be regarded as the generalization of evidence theory. To measure the uncertainty of RPS, the entropy of RPS and its corresponding maximum entropy have been…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Jiefeng Zhou , Zhen Li , Kang Hao Cheong , Yong Deng

In pattern recognition, handling uncertainty is a critical challenge that significantly affects decision-making and classification accuracy. Dempster-Shafer Theory (DST) is an effective reasoning framework for addressing uncertainty, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Juntao Xu , Tianxiang Zhan , Yong Deng

We propose a trust-region method for finite-sum minimization with an adaptive sample size adjustment technique, which is practical in the sense that it leads to a globally convergent method that shows strong performance empirically without…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-09 Robert Mohr , Oliver Stein

In both observational data and randomized control trials, researchers select statistical models to articulate how the outcome of interest varies with combinations of observable covariates. Choosing a model that is too simple can obfuscate…

Random permutation set (RPS), as a recently proposed theory, enables powerful information representation by traversing all possible permutations. However, the repetition of items is not allowed in RPS while it is quite common in real life.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Wenran Yang , Yong Deng

We use the Sum of Squares method to develop new efficient algorithms for learning well-separated mixtures of Gaussians and robust mean estimation, both in high dimensions, that substantially improve upon the statistical guarantees achieved…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-11-21 Samuel B. Hopkins , Jerry Li

Sparse Representation (SR) techniques encode the test samples into a sparse linear combination of all training samples and then classify the test samples into the class with the minimum residual. The classification of SR techniques depends…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-01 Chun-Mei Feng , Yong Xu , Zuoyong Li , Jian Yang

This paper proposes a new test for a change point in the mean of high-dimensional data based on the spatial sign and self-normalization. The test is easy to implement with no tuning parameters, robust to heavy-tailedness and theoretically…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Feiyu Jiang , Runmin Wang , Xiaofeng Shao

Inverse problems are fundamental to science and engineering, where the goal is to infer an underlying signal or state from incomplete or noisy measurements. Recent approaches employ diffusion models as powerful implicit priors for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Bilal Ahmed , Joseph G. Makin

We study a linear observation model with an unknown permutation called \textit{permuted/shuffled linear regression}, where responses and covariates are mismatched and the permutation forms a discrete, factorial-size parameter. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Hirofumi Ota , Masaaki Imaizumi
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